Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/11/2026

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 11, 2026

Venue:  LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +123, Marlins -149; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +125, Marlins -150; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +125, Marlins -150; Over/Under:  8 runs

Cleveland Guardians:  48-46 (2nd place, AL Central)

Miami Marlins:  52-42 (3rd place, NL East)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Wayne Root is on a HOT STREAK in MLB on an 8-2 MLB RUN for +$6,000 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Cleveland Guardians:  4-6 last 10

Miami Marlins:  8-2 last 10

The Guardians are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-46 record overall and have a road record of 24-24. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 29th in the MLB with a .679 OPS. Parker Messick is their starting pitcher on Friday while Tanner Bibee is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-9 with a 4.06 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 6 ER, 3 HR, and 1 BB with 1 SO on 6 hits through 4 IP against the Chicago White Sox.

The Marlins are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-42 record overall and have a home record of 31-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .745 OPS. Sandy Alcantara is their starting pitcher on Friday while Eury Pérez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-6 with a 3.84 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 walks with 8 strikeouts on 0 hits through 7 innings pitched against the Athletics.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Marlins have looked really good in their games this season with their 52-42 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL East. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 31-17 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Guardians have looked good in their games this season with their 48-46 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL Central. They haven't been a great road team though with their 24-24 road record this year. The Marlins have been rolling in their games lately as they are 8-2 in their last 10 games while the Guardians are just 4-6. The Guardians also have one of the worst offenses in the league this season while the Marlins offense has been really hot lately, and the Marlins are going to have the better pitching matchup here too. The Marlins are going with Perez in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 5-6 with a 3.84 ERA and the team has been having success with him lately. They have won 3 of their last 4 games with him starting and he is coming off a great start in which he gave up no runs. The Guardians are going with Bibee in this one and he hasn't looked great this year. He is 2-9 with a 4.06 ERA and he was starting to pitch better after a terrible start to the season, but lately he has been regressing again. His team has lost 2 games in a row now with him starting and he is coming off another bad start in which he gave up 6 earned runs, something that has been a common theme for him this season. The Marlins are hot right now and all signs are pointing to them winning this game with the better offense and better pitching. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game. 

Guardians Marlins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 11, 2026 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Marlins 6 Guardians 3.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Cleveland Guardians Miami Marlins prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.

Cleveland Guardians: 22-16 (+8.1 units) on the moneyline against NL East opponents. 233-197 (+32.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 110-105 (+21.7 units) on the moneyline in road games. 7-4 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%).

Miami Marlins: 99-111 (-3.8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 46-49 (-14.2 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 3-10 (-6.4 units) on the moneyline after 6 consecutive games versus interleague opponents. 26-18 OVER when playing against a team  with a winning record.

Cleveland Guardians:  T. Herrin (RP) Fifteen Day - Elbow. A. Martinez (LF) Ten Day IL - Foot. J. Ramirez (3B) Ten Day IL - Hand.

Miami Marlins:  J. King (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Ankle. O. Caissie (RF) Ten Day - Calf. A. Bender (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shin. J. Ekness (RP) Sixty Day IL - Calf. A. Nardi (RP) Sixty Day IL - Ribs. R. Snelling (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Mazur (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Henriquez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“That was exactly what we needed. We couldn't have asked for anything more from Gavin today. It was seven innings of shutdown baseball.” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Thursday.

“He really put it together in the last three innings, filled it up. He had a good fastball tonight and complemented well with his other stuff. He held it there till the end. Really nice to have Janson back in there for us.” - Clayton McCullough after his team’s win against the Mariners in their game on Thursday.

Travis Bazzana (L) 2B

Brayan Rocchio (S) SS

Chase DeLauter (L) DH

Kyle Manzardo (L) 1B

Kahlil Watson (L) RF

Gabriel Arias (R) 3B

Daniel Schneemann (L) CF

Patrick Bailey (S) C

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Liam Hicks (L) C

Otto Lopez (R) SS

Xavier Edwards (S) 2B

Kyle Stowers (L) 1B

Heriberto Hernández (R) DH

Griffin Conine (L) LF

Esteury Ruiz (R) RF

Jakob Marsee (L) CF

Leo Jiménez (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Austin Hedges (.288)

Hits:  Brayan Rocchio (83)

Home Runs:  Angel Martínez (11)

RBI:  Chase DeLauter (43)

Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (24)

Wins:  Gavin Williams (10)

Saves:  Cade Smith (27)

ERA:  Logan Allen (0.00)

Batting Average:  Otto Lopez (.345)

Hits:  Otto Lopez (127)

Home Runs:  Liam Hicks (13)

RBI:  Liam Hicks (57)

Stolen Bases:  Esteury Ruiz (19)

Wins:  Sandy Alcantara (10)

Saves:  Pete Fairbanks (13)

ERA:  Josh Ekness (1.69)

Managers:

Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (3rd season)

Miami Marlins: Clayton McCullough (2nd season)