Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/10/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jul 09, 2024
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Wednesday, July 10, 2024
Venue:  Comerica Park, Detroit, MI 
Where to Watch:  BSDET


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -148, Tigers +124; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -150, Tigers +125; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -150, Tigers +125; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Cleveland Guardians:  56-33 (1st place, AL Central)
Detroit Tigers:  43-48 (4th place, AL Central)

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Recent Form
Cleveland Guardians:  5-5 last 10
Detroit Tigers:  6-4 last 10



Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Preview and Analysis


The Guardians are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-33 record overall and have a road record of 26-22. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Tigers on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Guardians lost the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .728 OPS. Ben Lively is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Tanner Bibee is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 7-3 with a 3.67 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 6 Ks on 6 hits through 4.2 IP against the San Francisco Giants.

The Tigers are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-48 record overall and have a home record of 20-22. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Guardians on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Tigers won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .671 OPS. Kenta Maeda is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Reese Olson is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 3-8 with a 3.22 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 8 strikeouts on 3 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds.


Guardians vs Tigers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Tigers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 43-48 record overall which has them near the bottom of the AL Central and they are also 20-22 in their home games. Meanwhile, The Guardians have looked great in their games this season with their 56-33 record overall which has them leading the AL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked good in their road games with their 26-22 road record. The Guardians lost the 1st game of this series against the Tigers, but they did win their series over the weekend and will be looking to bounce back here. They only lost in a 1-0 game on Monday and they have the better pitching matchup in this one. Bibee is on the mound in this one and he is 7-3 with a 3.67 ERA. He did give up 4 earned runs in his last start, but he hasn't been giving up a lot of runs in his starts and the team has been finding success with him too, winning 3 of the last 4 games he started in. The Tigers will have Olson on the mound here and he is 3-8 with a 3.22 ERA, but his team hasn't been finding a ton of success with him this year. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and he hasn't been giving up a ton of runs this season, but he hasn't been getting a ton of run support in his starts and that is a big reason why he has 8 losses. They have won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but the Tigers aren't going to have the offense to win this one with Bibee on the other side. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game. 

Guardians Tigers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 10, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Guardians 4 Tigers 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Cleveland Guardians: 57-33 (+17.37 units) on the moneyline in their last 90 games. 47-43 (+9.30 units) on the runline in their last 90 games. 53-37 to the over with their team total in their last 90 games.

Detroit Tigers: 25-36 (-13.05 units) on the moneyline in their last 61 games. 38-49 (-13.85 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 87 games. 42-33 to the over in their last 75 games.

Key Injuries


Cleveland Guardians:  N. Sandlin (RP) - Back. E. Morgan (RP) - Elbow. S. Bieber (SP) - Elbow. T. Stephan (RP) - Elbow. J. Karinchak (RP) - Shoulder.

Detroit Tigers:  E. Báez (SS) - Spine. A. Faedo (RP) - Hip. K. Carpenter (RF) - Spine. S. Gipson-Long (SP) - Groin.


Notable Quotes


“That's a play he makes 99 out of 100. Just unfortunate timing.” - Stephen Vogt on Brayan Rocchio after his team’s loss against the Tigers in their game on Monday.


“Jake's a good baserunner, not necessarily the fastest, but you still put pressure on them to field it cleanly and make a throw. We were fortunate.” - A.J. Hinch after his team’s win against the Guardians in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Cleveland Guardians
S Kwan (L) LF
A Martínez (S) CF
J Ramírez (S) 3B
J Naylor (L) 1B
D Fry (R) DH
A Gimenez (L) 2B
D Schneemann (L) RF
B Rocchio (S) SS
B Naylor (L) C

Detroit Tigers
W Pérez (S) RF
C Keith (L) 2B
M Canha (R) DH
R Greene (L) CF
G Urshela (R) 1B
Z McKinstry (L) 3B
J Báez (R) SS
A Baddoo (L) LF
J Rogers (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Angel Martínez (.400)
Hits:  José Ramírez (93)
Home Runs:  José Ramírez (23)
RBI:  José Ramírez (76)
Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (16)
Wins:  Logan Allen (8)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (27)
ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Detroit Tigers
Batting Average:  Andy Ibáñez (.285)
Hits:  Riley Greene (85)
Home Runs:  Riley Greene (17)
RBI:  Riley Greene (45)
Stolen Bases:  Javier Báez (6)
Wins:  Tarik Skubal (10)
Saves:  Jason Foley (14)
ERA:  Tarik Skubal (2.37)

Managers:
Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)
Detroit Tigers: A.J. Hinch (4th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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