Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/27/2022

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jul 26, 2022
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 27, 2022
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Where to Watch:  NESN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +110, Red Sox -130; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +110, Red Sox -130; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +110, Red Sox -130; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

Cleveland Guardians:  48-47 (2nd place, AL Central)
Boston Red Sox:  49-48 (4th place, AL East)
 
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Recent Form
Cleveland Guardians:  5-5 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  2-8 last 10
 
 
 

Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis

 
The Guardians enter this game on a 3 game losing streak. They split their last series against the Chicago White Sox 2-2 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 48-47 record overall and have a road record of 23-28. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Red Sox on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .701 OPS. Bryan Shaw is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Cal Quantrill is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 7-5 with a 3.75 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Chicago White Sox. 
 
The Red Sox were on a 5 game losing streak and now enter this game off of a win. They lost their last series against the Toronto Blue Jays getting swept 3-0 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 49-48 record overall and have a home record of 24-23. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Guardians on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .728 OPS. Josh Winckowski is on the mound on Tuesday while Nathan Eovaldi will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-3 with a 4.30 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 9 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 8 hits through 2.2 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays. 

 

Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction

The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as a slight favorite in this game. They have not been playing very well in their recent games as they have been allowing so many runs in their last few games. They finally stopped the bleeding on Monday with a win against the Guardians 3-1, and their pitching effort was a lot better in that game as well. The Guardians have been very inconsistent in their play recently as they are winning and losing games without putting any real streaks together. Eovaldi is starting for the Red Sox here and he has always been a very consistent and reliable pitcher for them. He is coming off of a very bad start where he allowed 9 runs against the Jays, but it is not very often that happens to him and he will be eager to bounce back with a much better performance here. Quantrill has been good recently but the Red Sox hitters are starting to heat up a bit, and the Guardians bullpen has not been great in their recent games either. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game as they will start to bounce back from their awful play recently.
 
Guardians Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 27, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 5 Guardians 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Cleveland Guardians: 14-20 (-6.7 Units) ML when the money line is +125 to -125. 19-34 (-9 Units) ML against AL East opponents. 29-22 OVER against AL East opponents.
Boston Red Sox: 113-101 (+4 Units) ML against right-handed starters. 33-20 (+9.6 Units) ML against AL Central opponents. 13-8 OVER this season in July games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Cleveland Guardians:  A. Civale (SP) Mid Aug - Wrist. O. Gonzalez (LF) Early Aug - Ribs. C. Morris (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder.
Boston Red Sox:  E. Hernandez (CF) Early Aug - Hip Flexor. R. Devers (3B) Early Aug - Hamstring. T. Story (2B) Early Aug - Hand.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It was kind of an odd night. He didn't give up too many hits." - Terry Francona after his team’s loss against the Red Sox on Monday.
 
 
"We played good defense. I think that was the difference." - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Guardians on Monday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) LF
Amed Rosario (R) SS
Jose Ramirez (S) 3B
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
Franmil Reyes (R) DH
Andres Gimenez (L) 2B
Nolan Jones (L) RF
Austin Hedges (R) C
Myles Straw (R) CF
 
Boston Red Sox
Jarren Duran (L) CF
Rob Refsnyder (R) DH
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Christian Vazquez (R) C
Franchy Cordero (L) 1B
Bobby Dalbec (R) 3B
Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) RF
Yolmer Sanchez (S) 2B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Andres Gimenez (.304)
Hits:  Amed Rosario (106)
Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (19)
RBI:  Jose Ramirez (79)
Stolen Bases:  Jose Ramirez (13)
Wins:  Triston McKenzie (7)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (20)
ERA:  Ian Gibaut (0.00)
 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.500)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (113)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (22)
RBI:  Trevor Story (58)
Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (10)
Wins:  Nick Pivetta (8)
Saves:  Tanner Houck (6)
ERA:  Kevin Plawecki (0.00)
 
Managers:
Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (10th season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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