Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/26/2022

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jul 25, 2022
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, July 26, 2022
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Where to Watch:  NESN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +130, Red Sox -150; Over/Under:  10 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +130, Red Sox -150; Over/Under:  10 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +130, Red Sox -150; Over/Under:  10 runs
 

Season Record

Cleveland Guardians:  48-46 (2nd place, AL Central)
Boston Red Sox:  48-48 (4th place, AL East)
 
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Recent Form
Cleveland Guardians:  6-4 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  1-9 last 10
 
 
 

Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis

 
The Guardians enter this game on a 2 game losing streak. They split their last series against the Chicago White Sox 2-2 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 48-46 record overall and have a road record of 23-27. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Red Sox on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .703 OPS. Zach Plesac is their starting pitcher on Monday while there is no probable starting pitcher yet making his start in this game on Tuesday. 
 
The Red Sox enter this game on a 5 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Toronto Blue Jays getting swept 3-0 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 48-48 record overall and have a home record of 23-23. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Guardians on Tuesday with the 1st game still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .729 OPS. Nick Pivetta is on the mound on Monday while Josh Winckowski will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-4 with a 4.38 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays. 

 

Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as a favorite in this game. The Guardians have lost their last 2 games, splitting their series against the White Sox, but they have still been playing very well over the last 2 weeks. They are fighting to catch the Twins for the lead in the AL Central and they have plenty of motivation here to beat up on a struggling Red Sox team. The Red Sox have been awful in their last 5 games. They have lost all 5, getting swept by the Blue Jays and losing 2 games to the Yankees. Their pitching has been awful though as they have been allowing so many runs and have been averaging over 13 runs allowed per game in their last 5. Their bullpen has been awful but they have so many injured starters as well that their bullpen is being stressed too much and they have no one to replenish it either. Again, they have a player from the bullpen making a start here and the Guardians have already been scoring a lot of runs in their recent games. They will beat up on the Red Sox here like everyone else has been recently and the Guardians should be able to win this game, inching closer to the Twins for 1st place. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game.
 
Guardians Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 26, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Guardians 8 Red Sox 5.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Cleveland Guardians: 60-94 (-12.4 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 19-33 (-7.9 Units) ML against AL East opponents. 18-11 OVER as an underdog of +100 to +150.
Boston Red Sox: 23-14 (+7.5 Units) ML when the total is 9 to 9.5. 32-20 (+8.6 Units) ML against AL Central opponents. 18-13 OVER when the money line is -100 to -150.
 

Key Injuries

 
Cleveland Guardians:  A. Civale (SP) Mid Aug - Wrist. O. Gonzalez (LF) Early Aug - Ribs. C. Morris (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder.
Boston Red Sox:  E. Hernandez (CF) Early Aug - Hip Flexor. R. Devers (3B) Early Aug - Hamstring. T. Story (2B) Early Aug - Hand.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I'm still trying to figure out how that kid didn't make the All-Star team. He's one of the best pitchers in the game." - Terry Francona after his team’s loss against the White Sox on Sunday.
 
 
“It’s very challenging and tough, but no one will feel sorry for you, especially the opposing team. They feel it’s a perfect situation for them. We need to go out with the team and the lineup we have. We’re all here for a reason. We can play.” - Xander Bogaerts after their loss against the Blue Jays on Saturday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) LF
Amed Rosario (R) SS
Josh Naylor (L) DH
Franmil Reyes (R) RF
Andres Gimenez (L) 2B
Owen Miller (R) 1B
Ernie Clement (R) 3B
Austin Hedges (R) C
Myles Straw (R) CF
 
Boston Red Sox
Jarren Duran (L) CF
Christian Vazquez (R) C
Alex Verdugo (L) DH
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Franchy Cordero (L) LF
Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B
Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) RF
Yolmer Sanchez (S) 2B
Jeter Downs (R) 3B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Andres Gimenez (.304)
Hits:  Amed Rosario (106)
Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (19)
RBI:  Jose Ramirez (78)
Stolen Bases:  Jose Ramirez (13)
Wins:  Triston McKenzie (7)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (20)
ERA:  Ian Gibaut (0.00)
 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.500)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (113)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (22)
RBI:  Trevor Story (58)
Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (10)
Wins:  Nick Pivetta (8)
Saves:  Tanner Houck (6)
ERA:  Kevin Plawecki (0.00)
 
Managers:
Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (10th season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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