Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/25/2022

by Rod Pearson

Sunday, Jul 24, 2022
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Monday, July 25, 2022
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Where to Watch:  NESN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -110, Red Sox -110; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -110, Red Sox -110; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -110, Red Sox -110; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

Cleveland Guardians:  48-45 (2nd place, AL Central)
Boston Red Sox:  48-47 (4th place, AL East)
 
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Recent Form
Cleveland Guardians:  7-3 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  2-8 last 10
 
 
 

Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis

 
The Guardians were on a 5 game winning streak but now enter this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the Detroit Tigers 3-0 completing the sweep in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 48-45 record overall and have a road record of 23-26. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Red Sox on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Chicago White Sox still to be played on Sunday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .701 OPS. Shane Bieber is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Zach Plesac is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 2-7 with a 4.02 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 6 hits through 3.2 IP against the Detroit Tigers. 
 
The Red Sox enter this game on a 4 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the New York Yankees 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 48-47 record overall and have a home record of 23-22. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the Guardians on Monday with the 3rd game of their series against the Toronto Blue Jays still to be played on Sunday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .729 OPS. Rookie pitcher Brayan Bello is on the mound on Sunday while Nick Pivetta will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Monday. He is 8-7 with a 4.50 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 7 ER, 2 HRs, and 3 BB with 4 Ks on 7 hits through 4.1 IP against the New York Yankees. 

 

Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as a slight favorite in this game but only as a pick 'em. They have been playing very well recently as they swept the Tigers going into the break and they won 2 games against the White Sox coming out. The Guardians have been scoring a lot of runs in these games as well, and they will likely keep that up here as their offense has been heating up. The Red Sox have also been dealing with a lot of issues when it comes to their starters and their pitching staff, they have allowed so many runs in their last 5 games that they averaged over 10 runs allowed per game in that span. The Guardians are going to have a field day with their hitting in this game and the Red Sox have been cold with their own batters recently as well. Pivetta is starting for the Red Sox but he just allowed 7 runs in his last start and has not been pitching well in his recent starts. Plesac has not been great this season but he has not been bad at all either and has pitched very well in his last few starts. The Guardians have a big advantage with their pitching in this game and they should be able to score runs here as the Red Sox are in a massive slump. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game.
 
Guardians Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, July 25, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Guardians 7 Red Sox 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Cleveland Guardians: 60-94 (-12.4 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 19-33 (-7.9 Units) ML against AL East opponents. 18-11 OVER as an underdog of +100 to +150.
Boston Red Sox: 23-14 (+7.5 Units) ML when the total is 9 to 9.5. 32-20 (+8.6 Units) ML against AL Central opponents. 18-13 OVER when the money line is -100 to -150.
 

Key Injuries

 
Cleveland Guardians:  A. Civale (SP) Mid Aug - Wrist. O. Gonzalez (LF) Early Aug - Ribs. C. Morris (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder.
Boston Red Sox:  E. Hernandez (CF) Early Aug - Hip Flexor. R. Devers (3B) Early Aug - Hamstring. T. Story (2B) Early Aug - Hand.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We're never scared to give up runs or be in a tie game going into a late ballgame because we know that we have the confidence as a team to string together some hits and put some runs on the board." - Triston McKenzie after their win against the White Sox in game 1 on Saturday.
 
 
"It's very challenging and tough, but no one will feel sorry for you, especially the opposing team. They feel it's a perfect situation for them. We need to go out with the team and the lineup we have. We're all here for a reason. We can play." - Xander Bogaerts after their loss against the Blue Jays on Saturday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) LF
Amed Rosario (R) SS
Josh Naylor (L) DH
Franmil Reyes (R) RF
Andres Gimenez (L) 2B
Owen Miller (R) 1B
Ernie Clement (R) 3B
Austin Hedges (R) C
Myles Straw (R) CF
 
Boston Red Sox
Jarren Duran (L) CF
Christian Vazquez (R) C
Alex Verdugo (L) DH
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Franchy Cordero (L) LF
Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B
Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) RF
Yolmer Sanchez (S) 2B
Jeter Downs (R) 3B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Andres Gimenez (.303)
Hits:  Amed Rosario (104)
Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (19)
RBI:  Jose Ramirez (78)
Stolen Bases:  Jose Ramirez (13)
Wins:  Triston McKenzie (7)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (20)
ERA:  Ian Gibaut (0.00)
 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.500)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (113)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (22)
RBI:  Trevor Story (58)
Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (10)
Wins:  Nick Pivetta (8)
Saves:  Tanner Houck (6)
ERA:  Kevin Plawecki (0.00)
 
Managers:
Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (10th season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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