Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/30/2023

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, May 30, 2023

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  MASN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +125, Orioles -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +125, Orioles -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +125, Orioles -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Cleveland Guardians:  23-29 (3rd place, AL Central)

Baltimore Orioles:  34-19 (2nd place, AL East)

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Cleveland Guardians:  4-6 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10

The Guardians are entering this game off of a win in their last game after winning their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 23-29 record overall and have a road record of 11-14. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 30th in the MLB with a .638 OPS. Rookie pitcher Logan Allen is their starting pitcher on Monday while Cal Quantrill is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-3 with a 4.75 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 2 Ks on 4 hits through 4 IP against the Chicago White Sox.

The Orioles are entering this game off of a win in their last game but lost their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-19 record overall and have a home record of 16-10. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .747 OPS. Tyler Wells is their starting pitcher on Monday while Kyle Gibson is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 6-3 with a 3.82 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 3 strikeouts on 2 hits through 7 innings played against the New York Yankees.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have improved a lot this season and they now have one of the best records in the MLB along with one of the best offenses too. The Guardians have been doing the complete opposite of last season though as they have been terrible in their games and have the worst offense in the MLB right now. The Orioles already have a big advantage in this series with their offense but they also have Gibson starting here and he leads the Orioles in wins this season. He usually gets a lot of run support in his starts and he has been pitching a lot better in his starts lately too. The Guardians are going with Quantrill here and he hasn't been great this year. He has been giving up a lot of runs in his starts and that will be a problem against a really good Orioles offense like this. The Guardians have also struggled to put up runs themselves whether they are facing a good starter or one who has been giving up a ton of runs so Gibson is going to have another good start in this game as the Orioles offense carries them once again like they have been doing all season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Guardians Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, May 30, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 5 Guardians 2.

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Cleveland Guardians: 23-29 (-12.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 6-15 (-11.2 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 33-16 UNDER in all games. 22-9 UNDER against right-handed starters.

Baltimore Orioles: 34-19 (+16 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-7 (+16.7 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 25-12 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175. 18-8 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175. 

Cleveland Guardians:  T. McKenzie (SP) Early June - Arm. P. Battenfield (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Civale (SP) Early June - Oblique. C. Morris (SP) Early June - Shoulder.

Baltimore Orioles:  J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow. D. Tate (RP) Early June - Forearm.

“We brought Naylor in to face the guy that was throwing real hard because he’s our best fastball hitter. That didn’t work.” - Terry Francona after his team’s win against the Cardinals in their game on Sunday.

“It's a great win. It's always tough to get swept.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Rangers in their game on Sunday.

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Amed Rosario (R) SS

Jose Ramirez (S) DH

Josh Naylor (L) 1B

Gabriel Arias (R) 3B

Andres Gimenez (L) 2B

Myles Straw (R) CF

Will Brennan (L) RF

Cam Gallagher (R) C

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Austin Hays (R) LF

Anthony Santander (S) DH

Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B

Ramon Urias (R) 3B

James McCann (R) C

Adam Frazier (L) 2B

Ryan McKenna (R) RF

Jorge Mateo (R) SS

Batting Average:  Jose Ramirez (.273)

Hits:  Steven Kwan (52)

Home Runs:  Josh Naylor (7)

RBI:  Josh Naylor (32)

Stolen Bases:  Myles Straw (10)

Wins:  Shane Bieber (4)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (17)

ERA:  Konnor Pilkington (0.00)

Batting Average:  Austin Hays (.322)

Hits:  Austin Hays (56)

Home Runs:  Ryan Mountcastle (11)

RBI:  Cedric Mullins (39)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (15)

Wins:  Kyle Gibson (6)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (13)

ERA:  Yennier Cano (0.98)

Managers:

Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (11th season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)