Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/17/2023

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jun 16, 2023
Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Saturday, June 17, 2023
Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -130, D-Backs +110; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -130, D-Backs +110; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -135, D-Backs +115; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

Cleveland Guardians:  32-36 (2nd place, AL Central)
Arizona Diamondbacks:  41-28 (1st place, NL West)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Sean Murphy is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB: 61-47 (+$7.7K) start this season! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.


Recent Form
Cleveland Guardians:  6-4 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks:  6-4 last 10



Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview and Analysis


The Guardians are entering this game off of a win in their last game but lost their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 32-36 record overall and have a road record of 16-19. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .675 OPS. Triston McKenzie is their starting pitcher on Friday while Shane Bieber is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-3 with a 3.29 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 9 Ks on 3 hits through 7 IP against the Houston Astros.

The Diamondbacks are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak and lost their 4-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-28 record overall and have a home record of 21-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .765 OPS. Zac Gallen is their starting pitcher on Friday while Tommy Henry is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-1 with a 4.86 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 9 hits through 4.2 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.


Guardians vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Cleveland Guardians listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians haven't been having a great season as they have a losing record and are trailing the Twins for the lead of their division but they have been playing a lot better lately and are starting to climb up the standings now. The Diamondbacks are off to a really hot start this season as they have the best record in the NL West at the moment but they haven't been good lately with a series loss to the Phillies during the week and their offense is going to struggle to put up runs with the good pitching in this game. Bieber is on the mound for the Guardians and he has been having a great season as he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts. He will keep the Diamondbacks at bay here as they haven't been great lately and Henry is their starter in this game too. Henry is coming off a start allowing 5 earned runs and he has had a big problem with giving up runs in his starts this season. The Guardians don't have a great offense but they will be able to put up some runs here and defend their lead with good pitching. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game.

Guardians Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 17, 2023 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Guardians 5 Diamondbacks 1.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Cleveland Guardians Arizona Diamondbacks prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.

MLB Betting Trends


Cleveland Guardians: 32-36 (-10.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 7-11 (-8.2 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 21-11 UNDER as a favorite of -110 or higher. 40-25 UNDER in all games. 

Arizona Diamondbacks: 41-28 (+16.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 28-17 (+13 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 20-14 UNDER in home games. 18-12 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10. 

Key Injuries


Cleveland Guardians:  C. Quantrill (SP) Late June - Shoulder. P. Battenfield (RP) Late July - Shoulder.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  C. Sulser (RP) Late June - Shoulder. M. Melancon (RP) Late July - Shoulder. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“Boy, he sure helped us. He made some good throws. And he helped us offensively and that was good.” - Terry Francona after his team’s win against the Padres in their game on Thursday.


“They're the defending National League champions for a reason. It's nice to go toe-to-toe with them, but I'm not about moral victories, I'm into wins. Period.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Cleveland Guardians
Andres Gimenez (L) 2B
Amed Rosario (R) SS
Jose Ramirez (S) 3B
Josh Bell (S) 1B
Josh Naylor (L) DH
Gabriel Arias (R) RF
David Fry (R) C
Will Brennan (L) LF
Myles Straw (R) CF

Arizona Diamondbacks
Pavin Smith (L) RF
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Corbin Carroll (L) LF
Christian Walker (R) 1B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) DH
Josh Rojas (L) 3B
Jake McCarthy (L) CF
Gabriel Moreno (R) C
Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS

Statistical Leaders


Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Jose Ramirez (.289)
Hits:  Jose Ramirez (73)
Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (10)
RBI:  Josh Naylor (50)
Stolen Bases:  Steven Kwan (11)
Wins:  Shane Bieber (5)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (21)
ERA:  Konnor Pilkington (0.00)

Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average:  Emmanuel Rivera (.331)
Hits:  Corbin Carroll (71)
Home Runs:  Corbin Carroll (14)
RBI:  Christian Walker (42)
Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (19)
Wins:  Merrill Kelly (8)
Saves:  Andrew Chafin (8)
ERA:  Austin Adams (1.23)

Managers:
Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (11th season)
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2024 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.