Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/16/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Jun 15, 2023
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Friday, June 16, 2023
Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Where to Watch:  BSAZ


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +120, D-Backs -140; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +120, D-Backs -140; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +120, D-Backs -140; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Cleveland Guardians:  31-36 (2nd place, AL Central)
Arizona Diamondbacks:  41-27 (1st place, NL West)

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Recent Form
Cleveland Guardians:  6-4 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks:  6-4 last 10



Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview and Analysis


The Guardians are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak but won their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 31-36 record overall and have a road record of 15-19. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Friday with the series finale of their series against the San Diego Padres still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .672 OPS. Logan Allen is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Triston McKenzie is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA this season. His team lost their last game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 5 Ks on 7 hits through 5 IP against the Houston Astros.

The Diamondbacks are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak but completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-27 record overall and have a home record of 21-16. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Friday with the 4th game of their series against the Philadelphia Phillies still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .768 OPS. Ryne Nelson is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Zac Gallen is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 7-2 with a 3.09 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 10 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.


Guardians vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Diamondbacks listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Diamondbacks have been having a great start to their season with a top 10 offense in the MLB right now and they also have the best record in the NL West. They hit a snag in their last series against the Phillies who have started to get hot now but they will be looking to bounce back at home here. The Guardians haven't been having a great season as they have a losing record overall and they also have one of the worst offenses in the league too. They have McKenzie on the mound here but he hasn't made many starts this season and the games he has started in he has given up quite a few runs in them. Gallen is on the mound for the D-Backs and he has been a stud for them this season with a 7-2 record and hasn't been giving up many runs at all in his starts either. The Diamondbacks need a bounce back win here as their offense has been good but their pitching has been letting them down and Gallen will make sure to give them the good outing they need to get back on track here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Diamondbacks to win this game.

Guardians Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 16, 2023 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Diamondbacks 6 Guardians 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Cleveland Guardians: 31-36 (-11.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 6-11 (-9.2 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 11-6 UNDER in an inter-league game. 28-14 UNDER against right-handed starters. 

Arizona Diamondbacks: 41-27 (+17.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 28-16 (+14 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 20-14 UNDER in home games. ZAC GALLEN is 25-18 UNDER in home games. 

Key Injuries


Cleveland Guardians:  C. Quantrill (SP) Late June - Shoulder. P. Battenfield (RP) Late July - Shoulder.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  K. Marte (2B) Ques Thurs - Back. C. Sulser (RP) Late June - Shoulder. M. Melancon (RP) Late July - Shoulder. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“He’s kind of painting up there. When he's locked in like that, it's definitely fun to watch.” - Josh Bell after their win against the Astros in their game on Sunday.


“It's just two very eager, young players going after the same ball. I've told you guys at times we're going to bounce a ball off our foot, but you've got to learn from it.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) LF
Amed Rosario (R) SS
Jose Ramirez (S) 3B
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
Josh Bell (S) DH
Andres Gimenez (L) 2B
Myles Straw (R) CF
Will Brennan (L) RF
Mike Zunino (R) C

Arizona Diamondbacks
Pavin Smith (L) RF
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Corbin Carroll (L) LF
Christian Walker (R) 1B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) DH
Josh Rojas (L) 3B
Jake McCarthy (L) CF
Gabriel Moreno (R) C
Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS

Statistical Leaders


Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Josh Naylor (.286)
Hits:  Jose Ramirez (70)
Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (10)
RBI:  Josh Naylor (48)
Stolen Bases:  Steven Kwan (11)
Wins:  Shane Bieber (5)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (20)
ERA:  Konnor Pilkington (0.00)

Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average:  Emmanuel Rivera (.333)
Hits:  Corbin Carroll (71)
Home Runs:  Corbin Carroll (14)
RBI:  Christian Walker (42)
Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (19)
Wins:  Merrill Kelly (8)
Saves:  Andrew Chafin (8)
ERA:  Austin Adams (1.23)

Managers:
Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (11th season)
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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