Cleveland Cavaliers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/08/2026

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Jan 07, 2026
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, January 8, 2026
Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch:  FDSOH, FDSNO


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Cavaliers +3.5, Timberwolves -3.5; Over/Under:  238.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Cavaliers +3.5, Timberwolves -3.5; Over/Under:  238.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Cavaliers +3.5, Timberwolves -3.5; Over/Under:  238.5 points

Season Record

Cleveland Cavaliers:  21-17 (2nd place, Central Division)
Minnesota Timberwolves:  24-13 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
Cleveland Cavaliers:  6-4 last 10
Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10


Cleveland Cavaliers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Preview and Analysis


The Cavaliers are entering this game with a 21-17 record overall this season and they are 8-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Indiana Pacers. Darius Garland led the team in points in that game with 29 while Evan Mobley was next on the team with 20 points. Craig Porter Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Jarrett Allen led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 55.7% from the field, 38.5% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.8 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 12-26 this season and their O/U record is 17-21.



The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 24-13 record overall this season and they are 13-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Miami Heat, the Washington Wizards, and the Heat again. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 26 while Jaden McDaniels was next on the team with 19 points. Julius Randle and Bones Hyland each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 45.9% from the field, 35.9% from 3-point range, and 78.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.1 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 16-21 this season and their O/U record is 17-20.


Cavaliers vs Timberwolves Prediction

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Timberwolves have looked great in their games this season with their 24-13 record overall which has them right in the top half of the West. They have looked great on their home court too with their 13-6 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers have looked good in their games this season with their 21-17 record overall which has them in the top half of the East. They haven't been a great road team though with their 8-8 road record this year. The Cavaliers went from being one of the best teams in the NBA last season, to struggling a lot this season. They haven't been a bad team this year, but the roster hasn't really changed and it just hasn't been performing at the same level. They have looked better lately as they are off a win over the Pacers in their last one and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games too, but the Timberwolves have also looked really good lately as they have been getting hot. The Timberwolves are 7-3 in their last 10 games and they have some momentum on their side now with 3 wins in a row. They are off a big win over the Heat in their last one and they have been blowing out a lot of teams in their wins lately. The Timberwolves are the more talented team that is starting to get hot now and they can take advantage of the way this Cavs team has played in road games this year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Cavaliers Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, January 8, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 132 Cavaliers 124.
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NBA Betting Trends


Cleveland Cavaliers: 34-25 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 69-46 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 22-16 ATS on the road versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 15-7 OVER against Northwest division opponents. 44-26 OVER in non-conference games.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 8-15 ATS against Central division opponents. 11-25 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 14-19 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 23-14 OVER as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 34-27 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).

Key Injuries


Cleveland Cavaliers:  D. Wade (PF) Day To Day - Knee. L. Nance Jr. (PF) Out - Calf. M. Strus (SF) Out - Foot.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  T. Shannon Jr. (SG) Day To Day - Foot.


Notable Quotes


"I told the guys it’s tough to win in the NBA when you lose the possession game by 10. When I mean the possession game, I mean rebounding. [Pistons] dominated on both ends, which is their strength. We turned it over, we gotta look at the spacing. It usually comes down to the spacings not perfect, definitely some spacing issues out there." - Kenny Atkinson after his team’s loss against the Pistons in their game on Sunday.


“When he’s playing like this, he’s a one-man wrecking crew." - Chris Finch on Rudy Gobert after his team’s win against the Heat in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Cleveland Cavaliers
PG Darius Garland
SG Donovan Mitchell
SF Dean Wade
PF Evan Mobley
C Jarrett Allen

Minnesota Timberwolves
PG Donte DiVincenzo
SG Anthony Edwards
SF Jaden McDaniels
PF Julius Randle
C Rudy Gobert

Statistical Leaders


Cleveland Cavaliers
PPG: Donovan Mitchell (29.8)
APG: Darius Garland (8.9)
Reb/G: Evan Mobley (8.9)

Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: Anthony Edwards (29.4)
APG: Julius Randle (5.7)
Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (11.1)

Coaches:
Cleveland Cavaliers: Kenny Atkinson (2nd season)
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (6th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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