Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/28/2025

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Monday, April 28, 2025

Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL 

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Cavaliers -8.5, Heat +8.5; Over/Under:  210 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Cavaliers -8.5, Heat +8.5; Over/Under:  210.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Cavaliers -8.5, Heat +8.5; Over/Under:  210.5 points

Cleveland Cavaliers:  64-18 (1st place, Central Division)

Miami Heat:  37-45 (2nd place, Southeast Division)

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Cleveland Cavaliers:  7-3 last 10

Miami Heat:  4-6 last 10

The Cavaliers are entering the playoffs with a 64-18 record overall this season and they were 30-11 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Miami Heat 3 times in a row. Jarrett Allen led the team in points in that game with 22 while De'Andre Hunter was next on the team with 21 points. Ty Jerome led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Jarrett Allen led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 53.5% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 85% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.4 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 50-34-1 this season and their O/U record is 53-32.

The Heat are entering the playoffs with a 37-45 record overall this season and they were 19-22 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Cleveland Cavaliers 3 times in a row. Bam Adebayo led the team in points in that game with 22 while Davion Mitchell was next on the team with 16 points. Davion Mitchell led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 42.1% from the field, 47.1% from 3-point range, and 70% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 41-45-1 this season and their O/U record is 47-40.

The current betting odds have the Cavaliers listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Cavaliers and the 8th seeded Heat from the Eastern Conference for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. The Cavaliers are leading this series 3-0 after winning game 3 on the road. The Cavaliers took a 3-0 series lead with a 124-87 win over the Heat in the 3rd game of this series and even though it was their first road game in this series, it was the largest margin of victory for the Cavaliers in this series so far. The Cavaliers have won 2 of the 3 games in this series by double digits already and even the 2nd game was still a 9 point win for them. They were the best team in the East all season and were great in road games with their 30-11 road record while the Heat were only 19-22 on their home court, but the Heat were also a really bad team with a 37-45 record overall. The Heat looked great in the play-in tournament to earn this spot, but it is a lot different to beat up on other bad teams than it is to play the best team in the conference. The Heat haven't really shown any fight in any of these 3 games so far and they don't have the talent to compete with a team like the Cavs. This series is already over and the Cavaliers will make sure they end it in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cavaliers to cover the spread in this game. 

Cavaliers Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, April 28, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Cavaliers 116 Heat 92.

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Cleveland Cavaliers: 25-16 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 73-45 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 26-18 ATS on the road as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 71-49 OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more.

Miami Heat: 26-38 ATS against Central division opponents. 16-24 ATS as a home underdog. 3-7 ATS off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more. 9-4 OVER in the first round of the playoffs. 7-3 OVER off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more.

Cleveland Cavaliers:  D. Garland (PG) Day To Day - Toe.

Miami Heat:  T. Rozier (PG) Day To Day - Ankle. K. Love (PF) Day To Day - Personal. D. Smith (PG) Out For Season - Achilles.

“Our guys knew that was the key, rebounding and winning the rebounding battle. We really executed defensively.” - Kenny Atkinson after his team’s win against the Heat in game 3 of this series on Saturday.

“Look, our guys really want this and it probably looks like our guys don't. But I know what our last six weeks have been like, just to fight and scratch and claw to get into this.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s loss against the Cavaliers in game 3 of this series on Saturday.

PG Ty Jerome

SG Donovan Mitchell

SF Max Strus

PF Evan Mobley

C Jarrett Allen

PG Tyler Herro 

SG Davion Mitchell

SF Andrew Wiggins

PF Bam Adebayo

C Kel'el Ware

PPG: D. Mitchell (24)

APG: D. Garland (6.7)

Reb/G: J. Allen (9.7)

PPG: T. Herro (23.9)

APG: T. Herro (5.5)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.6)

Coaches:

Cleveland Cavaliers: Kenny Atkinson (1st season)

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (17th season)