Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/29/2025

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, January 29, 2025

Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  FDSSUN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Cavaliers -7.5, Heat +7.5; Over/Under:  228 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Cavaliers -7.5, Heat +7.5; Over/Under:  228 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Cavaliers -7.5, Heat +7.5; Over/Under:  228.5 points

Cleveland Cavaliers:  37-9 (1st place, Central Division)

Miami Heat:  23-22 (1st place, Southeast Division)

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Cleveland Cavaliers:  5-5 last 10

Miami Heat:  5-5 last 10

The Cavaliers are entering this game with a 37-9 record overall this season and they are 15-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Detroit Pistons. Darius Garland led the team in points in that game with 22 while Donovan Mitchell was next on the team with 21 points. Darius Garland led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Evan Mobley led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 44% from the field, 27.3% from 3-point range, and 78.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.1 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 30-16 this season and their O/U record is 30-16.

The Heat are entering this game with a 23-22 record overall this season and they are 12-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Brooklyn Nets and the Orlando Magic. Tyler Herro led the team in points in that game with 30 while Bam Adebayo was next on the team with 26 points. Tyler Herro led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Bam Adebayo and Kel'el Ware each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 52.2% from the field, 36.6% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 111 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.4 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 20-25 this season and their O/U record is 25-20.

The current betting odds have the Cavaliers listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cavaliers have looked great in their games this season with their 37-9 record overall which leads the East with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team this season too with their 15-6 road record. Meanwhile, The Heat have looked good in their games this season with their 23-22 record overall which has them right in the middle of the East and in a playoff spot at the moment. They have looked good on their home court too with their 12-9 home record, but they haven't looked that great as they have been a really up and down team all year. They are coming into this one with some momentum on their side as they have won 2 games in a row now, but they are still just 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Cavaliers have also been struggling lately as they are 5-5 in their last 10 games, but they were dealing with some injuries over the last week and those players are now back in the lineup. They are coming off a win over the Pistons in their last one and they will be looking to get back on a roll now since they have been one of the most consistent teams in the NBA all year. The Heat have been better lately, but they don't have the talent that the Cavs have on their side, especially with Jimmy Butler causing a lot of distractions for the team off the court. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cavaliers to cover the spread in this game. 

Cavaliers Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, January 29, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Cavaliers 116 Heat 107.

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Cleveland Cavaliers: 55-37 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 32-23 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days. 59-37 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 31-24 UNDER when playing 8 or more games in 14 days. 30-24 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent.

Miami Heat: 21-30 ATS against Central division opponents. 9-19 ATS as a home underdog. 18-30 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 32-18 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less. 20-14 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog. 

Cleveland Cavaliers:  D. Wade (PF) Out - Knee. C. LeVert (SG) Day To Day - Wrist. I. Okoro (SG) Day To Day - Shoulder.

Miami Heat:  J. Jaquez Jr. (SF) Day To Day - Illness. J. Richardson (SG) Day To Day - Heel. D. Smith Out For Season - Achilles.

"Elite defensive performance. Started with Max Strus on [Cade] Cunningham and just laying a body on him and wearing him down. I said he was going to take 30 shots, he took 26. We really made it difficult on him, and that started with Max, it was great. And then Jaylon [Tyson] came in, you know, you've got to have a big body on him." - Kenny Atkinson after his team’s win against the Pistons in their game on Monday.

"We didn't even talk about anything today other than preparing for the Magic. I get it, what you guys all want right now. I figure that's why this media room is full right now. We're trying to quiet the noise. We're just focusing on the task at hand. There's no better place to be than just the present moment." - Erik Spoelstra on the drama surrounding Jimmy Butler.

PG Darius Garland

SG Donovan Mitchell

SF Max Strus

PF Evan Mobley

C Jarrett Allen

PG Tyler Herro

SG Duncan Robinson

SF Haywood Highsmith

PF Bam Adebayo

C Kel'el Ware

PPG: D. Mitchell (23.7)

APG: D. Garland (6.8)

Reb/G: J. Allen (10)

PPG: T. Herro (24.1)

APG: T. Herro (5.4)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10)

Coaches:

Cleveland Cavaliers: Kenny Atkinson (1st season)

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (17th season)