Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/18/2023

Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Monday, September 18, 2023

Venue:  Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Browns -2, Steelers +2; Over/Under:  40.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Browns -2, Steelers +2; Over/Under:  40 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Browns -2.5, Steelers +2.5; Over/Under:  40 points

Cleveland Browns:  1-0 (1st place, AFC North)

Pittsburgh Steelers:  0-1 (3rd place, AFC North)

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Cleveland Browns:  won their last game at home against the Cincinnati Bengals 24-3.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  lost their last game at home against the San Francisco 49ers 30-7.

The Browns are entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too.  They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 24-3. Deshaun Watson was the starting QB and he completed 16/29 passes for 154 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Nick Chubb led the team in rushing yards with 106. Elijah Moore led the receivers with 43 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Grant Delpit led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Ogbonnia Okoronkwo and Myles Garrett each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.

 

 

 

The Steelers are entering this game with a 0-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too.  They are 0-1 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the 49ers 30-7. Kenny Pickett was the starting QB and he completed 31/46 passes for 232 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Najee Harris led the team in rushing yards with 31. Allen Robinson led the receivers with 64 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Kwon Alexander led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while T. J. Watt led the defense in sacks with 3. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.

The current betting odds have the Steelers listed as a 2 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Steelers were absolutely embarrassed in their season opener as they lost 30-7 to the 49ers but the 49ers are a Super Bowl ready team while the Steelers are nowhere near there yet. They still have a great defense that will be looking to play a lot better in this game at home and the offense will also be looking to move the ball more in this divisional game. The Browns started their season on the right foot with a win at home over the Bengals but going on the road against Pittsburgh will be a much tough challenge, especially after they were embarrassed at home in their last game. The Steelers will come to play with their best effort in this home game in prime time and this is a game they can win as the Browns offense still struggled to score points on the Bengals. The Browns did play well on defense to hold the Bengals to just 3 points but the Bengals offense was also terrible in that game with Joe Burrow playing one of the worst games of his career. The Steelers are going to be looking to bounce back at home and Tomlin will have his team ready for this divisional matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Steelers to cover the spread in this game. 

Browns Steelers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Monday, September 18, 2023 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Steelers 20 Browns 13.

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Cleveland Browns: 5-10 ATS as a favorite. 12-27 ATS after a win by 14 or more points. 9-2 UNDER after a win by 21 or more points. 14-5 UNDER after allowing 6 points or less last game. 

Pittsburgh Steelers: 11-4 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 44-25 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 12-6 UNDER in home games. 14-5 UNDER after a loss by 21 or more points. 

Cleveland Browns:  J. Thornhill (S) Ques Mon - Calf. J. Conklin (OT) out for season - Knee. J. Kunaszyk (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Woods II (WR) Out indefinitely - Achilles. D. Forbes (G) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Grant Sr. (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Phillips (LB) I-R - Pectoral. D. Deaton (G) I-R - Knee. B. Keyes (CB) I-R - Finger. T. Graham Jr. (CB) I-R - Ankle. A. Wright (DE) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  D. Leal (DE) Ques Mon - Elbow. P. Freiermuth (TE) Ques Mon - Chest. D. Johnson (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Heyward (DT) Out indefinitely - Groin. R. Wren (DT) I-R - Achilles. C. Trice (DB) I-R - Leg.

“He's the best in the world. Best in the league and he’s going to continue to plug.” - Deshaun Watson on Nick Chubb after their win against the Bengals in their last game. 

“We got kicked in the teeth today, in a lot of ways.” - Mike Tomlin after his team’s loss against the 49ers in their last game. 

WR Cooper, Amari 

WR Peoples-Jones, Donovan 

WR Moore, Elijah 

TE Njoku, David 

QB Watson, Deshaun 

RB Chubb, Nick 

WR Johnson, Diontae 

WR Pickens, George 

WR ROBINSON II, ALLEN 

TE Freiermuth, Pat 

QB Pickett, Kenny 

RB Harris, Najee 

FB Heyward, Connor 

Passing: D. Watson (154)

Rushing: N. Chubb (106)

Receiving: E. Moore (43)

Touchdowns: H. Bryant (1)

Passing: K. Pickett (232)

Rushing: N. Harris (31)

Receiving: A. Robinson II (62)

Touchdowns: P. Freiermuth (1)

Coaches:

Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (4th season)

Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (17th season)