by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 08, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 13, 2024
Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Browns +8.5, Eagles -8.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Browns +8.5, Eagles -8.5; Over/Under: 43 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Browns +8.5, Eagles -8.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Season Record
Cleveland Browns: 1-4 (3rd place, AFC North)
Philadelphia Eagles: 2-2 (3rd place, NFC East)
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Cleveland Browns: lost their last game on the road against the Washington Commanders 34-13.
Philadelphia Eagles: lost their last game on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 33-16.
Cleveland Browns vs Philadelphia Eagles Preview and Analysis
The Browns are entering this game with a 1-4 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Washington Commanders 34-13. Deshaun Watson was the starting QB and he completed 15/28 passes for 125 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Jerome Ford led the team in rushing yards with 47. Amari Cooper led the receivers with 60 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Devin Bush led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah and Za'Darius Smith each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Eagles are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 33-16. Jalen Hurts was the starting QB and he completed 18/30 passes for 158 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Saquon Barkley led the team in rushing yards with 84. Dallas Goedert led the receivers with 62 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Darius Slay Jr. led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Brandon Graham and Josh Sweat each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Browns vs Eagles Prediction
The current betting odds have the Eagles listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Eagles haven't looked great in their games this season with their 2-2 record overall. They lost their last game on the road against the Buccaneers and were embarrassed in that one, but now they are coming out of their bye week with some extra time to prepare and they will be motivated to come out hot with 2 teams now ahead of them in the NFC East. Meanwhile, the Browns have looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-4 record overall. Their only win came against the Jaguars in week 2 and the Jags just got their first win of the season last week. The defense has been worse than it has been in previous years and Watson has looked terrible in this offense. The Eagles haven't really been blowing teams out in their 2 wins, but they don't have a win at home this season and will be looking to pick up their first here. This is a great team to come out of their bye week against since the Browns have been a complete mess and the Eagles can use this game to get themselves right. Expect the Eagles to step up on defense against this offense that has been terrible, and the Eagles will eventually wear down the Browns defense with their run game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Eagles to cover the spread in this game.
Browns Eagles Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 13, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Eagles 31 Browns 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
Cleveland Browns: 18-10 ATS in games played on a grass field. 7-3 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 3-0 ATS after a 2 game road trip. 13-7 OVER in road games. 6-3 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 6-3 OVER off a road loss. 8-4 OVER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game.
Philadelphia Eagles: 1-7 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 2-10 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 1-7 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 11-4 OVER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 5-1 OVER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 5-1 OVER vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season.
Key Injuries
Cleveland Browns: Z. Smith (DE) Injured - Neck. E. Pocic (C) Injured - Ankle. M. Dunn (G) Questionable - Illness. N. Chubb (RB) Out - Knee. O. Okoronkwo (DE) Injured - Illness. N. Hines (RB) Out - Knee. G. Newsome (CB) Injured - Personal. J. Hicks (LB) Out - Ribs. J. Hudson (T) Out - Shoulder. P. Strong (RB) Questionable - Hamstring. D. Jones (T) Injured - Knee. M. Garrett (DE) Injured - Achilles. D. Njoku (TE) Questionable - Ankle. A. Wright (DE) Out - Triceps. J. Conklin (T) Questionable - Hamstring. J. Jeudy (WR) Injured - Knee. J. Wills (T) Questionable - Knee. J. Owusu-Koramoah (LB) Injured - Hand. M. Emerson (CB) Injured - Concussion.
Philadelphia Eagles: A. Vera-Tucker (G) Injured - Ankle. A. Rodgers (QB) Injured - Knee. L. Fotu (DT) Doubtful - Hamstring. M. Moses (OL) Out - Knee. C. Mosley (LB) Doubtful - Toe. T. Smith (OL) Injured - Rest.
Notable Quotes
“Nobody likes where we are. I don’t feel good about 1-4. It eats at you.” - Kevin Stefanski after his team’s loss against the Commanders in their last game.
“We didn’t play well enough, and that’s always going to start with me. If we go out there and lay an egg and we’re down 24-0, that’s going to start on me." - Nick Sirianni after his team’s loss against the Bucs in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Cleveland Browns
WR Cooper, Amari
WR Jeudy, Jerry
WR Moore, Elijah
TE Njoku, David
QB Watson, Deshaun
RB Ford, Jerome
Philadelphia Eagles
WR Brown, A.J.
WR Dotson, Jahan
WR Smith, DeVonta
TE Goedert, Dallas
QB Hurts, Jalen
RB Barkley, Saquon
Statistical Leaders
Cleveland Browns
Passing: D. Watson (852)
Rushing: J. Ford (250)
Receiving: J. Jeudy (213)
Touchdowns: A. Cooper (2)
Philadelphia Eagles
Passing: J. Hurts (930)
Rushing: S. Barkley (435)
Receiving: D. Goedert (301)
Touchdowns: S. Barkley (5)
Coaches:
Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (5th season)
Philadelphia Eagles: Nick Sirianni (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
