by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 06, 2026
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 11, 2026
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Browns +2.5, Jets -2.5; Over/Under: 39.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Browns +2.5, Jets -2.5; Over/Under: 39.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Browns +2, Jets -2; Over/Under: 40 points
Season Record
Cleveland Browns: 3-1 (1st place, AFC North)
New York Jets: 1-3 (3rd place, AFC East)
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Recent Form
Cleveland Browns: won their last game at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers 27-24.
New York Jets: lost their last game on the road against the Chicago Bears 23-12.
Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets Preview and Analysis
The Browns are entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 27-24. Deshaun Watson was the starting QB and he completed 24/33 passes for 268 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Quinshon Judkins led the team in rushing yards with 53 and 1 TD. Denzel Boston led the receivers with 89 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Carson Schwesinger led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles while Maliek Collins, Adin Huntington, Isaiah McGuire, Sam Williams, and Michael Hall Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. Grant Delpit and Denzel Ward each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
The Jets are entering this game with a 1-3 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Chicago Bears 23-12. Geno Smith was the starting QB and he completed 8/15 passes for 119 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Braelon Allen led the team in rushing yards with 59. Isaiah Williams led the receivers with 73 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Minkah Fitzpatrick led the defense in that game with 16 solo tackles while Demario Davis led the defense in sacks with 1. Minkah Fitzpatrick came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Browns vs Jets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Browns listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Browns have looked good in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall which has them right near the top of the AFC North. They haven't been a great road team though with their 1-1 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Jets haven't looked great in their games this season with their 1-3 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AFC East. They haven't looked great on their home field either with their 0-1 home record this season. The Jets looked like they were going to start turning things around this season when they picked up an easy win over the Titans in week 1. They have lost 3 games in a row now since that 1st win and things are starting to crumble now. They haven't looked that bad as they have been in every loss, but they blew a big lead in one of those losses and now they are dealing with some injuries too. The Browns have been the complete opposite this season. They started the year with a bad loss to the Jaguars and it looked like it was going to be another season of disaster for them, but now they have won 3 games in a row and have a ton of momentum on their side. They beat the Buccaneers when they were much healthier with their starting QB still playing, managed to beat the Panthers even with the offense having a bad game, and now they are coming off a 27-24 win over the Steelers in a game that they actually looked good in. The defense has looked good all season and was a big positive last season, even in a bad year, and now their offense is starting to click with Watson not making many mistakes. They also played on Thursday, so they have had extra time to prepare for this game and can take advantage of a Jets team that feels down on their luck. The best way to place a bet here is on the Browns to cover the spread in this game.
Browns Jets Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 11, 2026 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Browns 24 Jets 21.
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NFL Betting Trends
Cleveland Browns: 13-23 ATS off a home win against a division rival. 5-12 ATS off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog. 26-43 ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 rushing yards/game or less. 23-13 OVER off a home win against a division rival. 16-5 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins.
New York Jets: 4-1 ATS against AFC North division opponents. 22-11 ATS at home when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 34-27 1H ATS after a 2 game road trip. 8-3 OVER in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 9-3 OVER after scoring 14 points or less last game.
Key Injuries
Cleveland Browns: None.
New York Jets: None.
Notable Quotes
“Happy for Deshaun. Not happy about the sack there at the end, but three straight fourth-quarter comebacks really cool for him and our team.” - Todd Monken after his team’s win against the Steelers in their last game.
“We have to do a better job of complementing each other and that did not show up today at all. When you have the discrepancy of 89 plays and 32 plays, it’s something we have to look at and something we have to continue to work on. That’s the only thing we can do is continue to work.” - Aaron Glenn after his team’s loss against the Bears in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Cleveland Browns
WR Boston, Denzel
WR Jeudy, Jerry
WR Concepcion, KC
TE Fannin Jr., Harold
QB Watson, Deshaun
RB Judkins, Quinshon
FB Burton, Michael
New York Jets
WR McClain, Malik
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Williams, Isaiah
TE Sadiq, Kenyon
QB Smith, Geno
RB Allen, Braelon
FB Beck, Andrew
Statistical Leaders
Cleveland Browns
Passing: Deshaun Watson (855)
Rushing: Quinshon Judkins (177)
Receiving: Denzel Boston (284)
Touchdowns: Harold Fannin Jr. (3)
New York Jets
Passing: Geno Smith (902)
Rushing: Breece Hall (163)
Receiving: Garrett Wilson (270)
Touchdowns: Garrett Wilson (2)
Coaches:
Cleveland Browns: Todd Monken (1st season)
New York Jets: Aaron Glenn (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
