by Chuck Sommers
Thursday, Nov 10, 2022
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
Where to watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Dolphins -4
FanDuel: Dolphins -3.5
BetMGM: Dolphins -3.5
Caesars: Dolphins -3.5
Season record
Browns: 3-5 (3rd place, AFC North)
Dolphins: 6-3 (T-2nd place, AFC East)
We have officially hit the halfway mark and if you haven't enjoyed the parity in the NFL this season, what are you even doing? There are so many quality teams with winning records that may, or may not, challenge for the Super Bowl, but it's going to at least make these final couple of months really interesting in all division races. And as the races get tighter and the football gets more intensified, it's all about the winning plays that you can find at bigal.com. If you need the right person to go off of for those winning plays, look no further than Sean Murphy going 20-14-0 over the last month in what's been a profitable 30 days for him. Oskeim Sports has also been solid at 9-5-1 over the last 30 days, with Al McMordie posting a 17-14-1 mark. No matter who you go with, you know you're getting the right call with our champion handicappers at bigal.com.
Browns - Dolphins preview, analysis and prediction
Last week
Browns: Bye (won 32-13 vs. Bengals in Week 8)
Dolphins: won 35-32 at Bears; third straight win
The AFC East is suddenly wide open, and no team may be more thrilled for such happenings than the Miami Dolphins on a 3-game winning streak. Tua Tagovailoa being healthy has also helped, but the Dolphins keep finding ways to win games and that’s really the most important thing right now.
The AFC East is suddenly wide open, and no team may be more thrilled for such happenings than the Miami Dolphins on a 3-game winning streak. Tua Tagovailoa being healthy has also helped, but the Dolphins keep finding ways to win games and that’s really the most important thing right now.
The Dolphins will try to keep things rolling when they return home to take on the 3-5 Cleveland Browns, who had a long, happy bye week after beating the Cincinnati Bengals on Halloween night two weeks ago. But as it pertains to the Dolphins, this will be a much more difficult task than facing a Bengals team that didn’t have Ja’Marr Chase.
Miami has won nearly every game its won by just one score, but with the Dolphins, it’s all about just winning in general when they’re trying to get back to the playoffs. The Dolphins are coming off a 35-32 win in Chicago last week over the struggling Bears, but Miami was the first team to have some serious struggles against Justin Fields. But Tua was Tua, and that’s all that matters.
Tagovailoa went 21 of 30 for 302 yards and three touchdowns, one of those going to Tyreek Hill along with a game-high 143 yards on 7 catches. Hill has eclipsed 1,000 yards and reaching 2,000 is most certainly within reach. The Dolphins continue to win games, and that’s really all that matters at this rate.
"The resiliency of our team, the resiliency of our guys to continue to fight, to continue to not give up on the game," Tagovailoa said. "Regardless of how close the game is, or how out of hand it might be, we continue to fight, so that's what I am proud of our team to this point."
What’s more surprising of this whole year has just been how good Tua has been. With all the flack he took coming into this year that he couldn’t throw the football, adding Hill has been a godsend for him. Not to mention, he’s really good at being a quarterback and it’s just a good thing to shut everyone else on.
The Browns haven’t had the Tua-like effect at QB, but they’ve gotten a steady hand from Jacoby Brissett during this run. Brissett threw for a season-high 278 yards and a touchdown in Cleveland’s 32-13 win over the defending AFC champs who, once again, were without their No. 1 receiver. But that didn’t stop Myles Garrett from having 1.5 sacks and Deion Jones recording his first sack of the year after being acquired by the Falcons in a trade deadline deal.
"Myles was very good," Browns coach Kevin Stefanki said with a smile. "He does what No. 95 does. He was playing dominant out there. He is very difficult for people to block one on one. He gets a ton of attention, and when that happens, others are getting one on ones."
Prediction
The Browns are going to need Garrett to wreak havoc in order to give themselves a chance to win. They’re within arm’s reach of getting Deshaun Watson back from his 11-game suspension, and if they can get a win here, it’ll be huge. But the way Tua and the Dolphins offense is humming right now, I can’t say I have full confidence in the Browns to get a win on the road. Dolphins by 13
Betting trends
Browns are 5-1 ATS the last three years as an underdog between 3.5 and 9.5.
Browns are 12-8 ATS as an underdog the last three years; 3-1 this season.
Browns are 6-8 ATS since 1992 after playing Monday Night Football the last game.
Dolphins are 6-3 ATS the last three years as a home favorite.
Dolphins are 8-2 ATS in November the last three years.
Dolphins are 6-1 ATS the last three years after allowing 150 passing yards or fewer in the last game.
Statistical leaders
Browns:
Passing: Jacoby Brissett -- 1,862 yards, 7 TD, 5 INT
Rushing: Nick Chubb -- 841 yards, 10 TD
Receiving: Amari Cooper -- 553 yards, 5 TD
Defense: Myles Garrett -- 7.5 sacks
Dolphins:
Passing: Tua Tagovailoa -- 1,980 yards, 15 TD, 3 INT
Rushing: Raheem Mostert -- 478 yards, 2 TD
Receiving: Tyreek Hill -- 1,104 yards, 3 TD
Defense: Bradley Chubb -- 5.5 sacks
Don't miss our champion handicappers' free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Cleveland Browns - Miami Dolphins prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily NFL projections and previews.
Chuck Sommers
About the Author:
Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.
