by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Sep 26, 2024
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, September 29, 2024
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Browns +2, Raiders -2; Over/Under: 37 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Browns +2, Raiders -2; Over/Under: 37 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Browns +2, Raiders -2; Over/Under: 37 points
Season Record
Cleveland Browns: 1-2 (3rd place, AFC North)
Las Vegas Raiders: 1-2 (3rd place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Cleveland Browns: lost their last game at home against the New York Giants 21-15.
Las Vegas Raiders: lost their last game at home against the Carolina Panthers 36-22.
Cleveland Browns vs Las Vegas Raiders Preview and Analysis
The Browns are entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the New York Giants 21-15. Deshaun Watson was the starting QB and he completed 21/37 passes for 196 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jerome Ford led the team in rushing yards with 37. Amari Cooper led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 2 TDs. Grant Delpit led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Za'Darius Smith and Ogbonnia Okoronkwo each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Raiders are entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Carolina Panthers 36-22. Gardner Minshew II was the starting QB and he completed 18/28 passes for 214 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception before getting replaced by Aidan O'Connell who completed 9/12 passes for 82 yards and 1 TD. Zamir White led the team in rushing yards with 34. Tre Tucker led the receivers with 96 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Marcus Epps led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Robert Spillane led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Browns vs Raiders Prediction
The current betting odds have the Browns listed as a 2 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Browns haven't looked good in their games this season with their 1-2 record overall. They got their first win of the season on the road against the Jaguars, but now they are coming off another home loss to the Giants. Meanwhile, the Raiders haven't looked good in their games this season with their 1-2 record overall. They also got their first win of the season in week 2 with a big upset win over the Ravens on the road, but they looked terrible last week in their home opener, losing to the Panthers in a blow out. Neither team has been good to start the season with both offenses struggling a lot, but the Browns do have a bit of an edge here with their better defense. The Browns also won their only game this season in their only road game played so they should have less stress on them here considering all of the drama surrounding Deshaun Watson. Even with Adams, the Browns still have the much better overall offense and they should be able to do enough to win this game with the defense keeping the Raiders off the board. The best way to place a bet here is on the Browns to cover the spread in this game.
Browns Raiders Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 29, 2024 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Browns 16 Raiders 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Cleveland Browns: 5-1 ATS off a home loss. 11-5 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 4-1 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 4-1 UNDER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more. 5-1 1H UNDER off a home loss. 11-5 1H UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses.
Las Vegas Raiders: 11-6 ATS in home games. 9-4 ATS as a home favorite. 12-7 ATS in dome games. 12-6 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 5-1 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game. 11-4 UNDER after playing a game at home.
Key Injuries
Cleveland Browns: J. Bitonio (G) Injured - Knee. J. Hicks (LB) Injured - Ribs. J. Hudson (T) Injured - Shoulder. J. Ford (RB) Injured - Knee. J. Cohen (G) Injured - Back. D. Tomlinson (DT) Injured - Thigh. P. Strong (RB) Injured - Hamstring. D. Jones (T) Injured - Knee. M. Garrett (DE) Injured - Foot. D. Njoku (TE) Injured - Ankle. D. Ward (CB) Injured - Shoulder. J. Conklin (T) Injured - Hamstring. J. Jeudy (WR) Injured - Knee. J. Wills (T) Injured - Knee. J. Owusu-Koramoah (LB) Injured - Hand. A. Wright (DE) Injured - Triceps.
Las Vegas Raiders: T. Munford (T) Injured - Knee. M. Crosby (DE) Injured - Ankle. C. Wilkins (DT) Injured - Knee. D. Deablo (LB) Injured - Oblique. K. Miller (T) Injured - Shoulder. T. Wilson (DE) Injured - Knee. D. Richardson (CB) Injured - Hamstring.
Notable Quotes
“A whole lot of things going on. It’s part of the game. I’m not gonna make excuses. Excuses don’t win this game.” - Myles Garrett after their loss against the Giants in their last game.
“The scheme wasn’t good enough, the design of the plays wasn’t good enough today, what we thought was going to work didn’t work and on the grass we didn’t execute. Nor did we put forth the effort, to me, that we put up in games past.” - Antonio Pierce after his team’s loss against the Panthers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Cleveland Browns
WR Cooper, Amari
WR Jeudy, Jerry
WR Moore, Elijah
TE Akins, Jordan
QB Watson, Deshaun
RB Ford, Jerome
Las Vegas Raiders
WR Adams, Davante
WR Meyers, Jakobi
WR Tucker, Tre
TE Bowers, Brock
QB Minshew II, Gardner
RB White, Zamir
Statistical Leaders
Cleveland Browns
Passing: D. Watson (551)
Rushing: J. Ford (145)
Receiving: J. Jeudy (125)
Touchdowns: A. Cooper (2)
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: G. Minshew (747)
Rushing: Z. White (102)
Receiving: D. Adams (209)
Touchdowns: A. Mattison (3)
Coaches:
Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (5th season)
Las Vegas Raiders: Antonio Pierce (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
