Cleveland Browns vs Houston Texans Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/13/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jan 08, 2024
Game Time: 4:30 pm ET, Saturday, January 13, 2024
Venue:  NRG Stadium, Houston, TX 
Where to Watch:  NBC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Browns -2.5, Texans +2.5; Over/Under:  44 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Browns -2.5, Texans +2.5; Over/Under:  44 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Browns -2.5, Texans +2.5; Over/Under:  44 points

Season Record

Cleveland Browns:  11-6 (2nd place, AFC North)
Houston Texans:  10-7 (1st place, AFC South)

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Recent Form
Cleveland Browns:  lost their last game on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals 31-14.
Houston Texans:  won their last game on the road against the Indianapolis Colts 23-19.


Cleveland Browns vs Houston Texans Preview and Analysis


The Browns are entering this game with an 11-6 record overall and they have a 3-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 8-1 in their home games, 3-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 31-14. Jeff Driskel was the starting QB and he completed 13/26 passes for 166 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Pierre Strong Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 65. David Bell led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 2 TDs. Jordan Kunaszyk led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Alex Wright, Isaiah McGuire, and Duron Harmon each led the defense in sacks with 1. D'Anthony Bell came away with the only interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
The Texans are entering this game with a 10-7 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-3 in their home games, 4-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Indianapolis Colts 23-19. CJ Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 20/26 passes for 264 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Devin Singletary led the team in rushing yards with 63 and 1 TD. Nico Collins led the receivers with 195 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. Christian Harris led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Christian Harris led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.


Browns vs Texans Prediction

The current betting odds have the Browns listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Browns have looked really good in their games this season with their 11-6 record overall but they had to settle for a Wild Card spot in the AFC with the strength of the AFC North this season. They are only 3-3 in their road games this season but they have looked a lot better in their games lately with Flacco taking over this offense. Meanwhile, the Texans have also looked great in their games this season with their 10-7 record overall which ended up winning the AFC South with the Jaguars loss to the Titans on Sunday. Now the Texans get to have a home game in the Wild Card Round instead of going on the road like they previously thought. The Texans have looked a lot better in their last 2 games since getting Stroud back from injury, but as good as they have looked in their games, this is going to a lot tougher against the Browns with one of the best defenses in the NFL. The Browns just went into Houston a few weeks ago and won that game too. The Texans were missing Stroud in that game but their offense still wasn't able to do anything against the Browns defense and this game will be really similar for Stroud still in his rookie season. The Texans offense has also been very explosive but not as consistent as the Browns offense with Flacco and this is a game where the Browns not only have the better record as the Wild Card team, but they also have the better team on both sides of the ball which gives them the edge here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Browns to cover the spread in this game. 

Browns Texans Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Saturday, January 13, 2024 (4:30 pm ET start time) is Browns 24 Texans 10.
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NFL Betting Trends


Cleveland Browns: 11-6 ATS in all games. 7-2 ATS as a favorite. 7-2 ATS off 1 or more straight overs. 6-3 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 6-3 UNDER after gaining 150 or less passing yards in the last game. 69-42 UNDER after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game.

Houston Texans: 20-31 ATS off a win against a division rival. 6-15 ATS off a close win by 7 points or less over a division rival. 15-23 ATS after being outrushed by 100 or more yards last game. 11-6 UNDER in all games. 8-2 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 10-3 UNDER revenging a loss against an opponent.

Key Injuries


Cleveland Browns:  M. Garrett (DE) day-to-day - Shoulder. G. Newsome II (CB) day-to-day - Knee. M. Goodwin (WR) day-to-day - Knee. J. Thornhill (S) day-to-day - Calf. M. Ford (CB) day-to-day - Calf. A. Cooper (WR) day-to-day - Heel. D. Hopkins (K) day-to-day - Hamstring. A. Walker Jr. (LB) I-R - Knee. D. Thompson-Robinson (QB) I-R - Hip. O. Okoronkwo (DE) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. G. Delpit (S) I-R - Groin. M. Hurst II (DT) I-R - Pectoral. D. Jones (OT) I-R - Knee. J. Wills Jr. (OT) I-R - Knee. M. Woods II (WR) out for season - Achilles. R. McLeod (S) I-R - Bicep. D. Watson (QB) I-R - Shoulder. D. Forbes (G) Out indefinitely - Back. N. Chubb (RB) I-R - Knee. J. Conklin (OT) I-R - Knee. J. Grant Sr. (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Phillips (LB) I-R - Pectoral. D. Deaton (G) I-R - Knee.

Houston Texans:  J. Greenard (DE) day-to-day - Ankle. R. Woods (WR) day-to-day - Hip. N. Brown (WR) day-to-day - Hip. J. Ward (S) I-R - Quadricep. D. Horton (DE) Out indefinitely - Illness. T. Thomas (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. Dell (WR) I-R - Leg. T. Howard (OT) I-R - Knee. G. Arnold (S) Out indefinitely - Calf. M. Stewart (S) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. H. Ridgeway (DT) Out indefinitely - Achilles. T. Quitoriano (TE) Out indefinitely - Groin. J. Patterson (C) Out indefinitely - Ankle. E. Murray (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. K. Green (C) I-R - Knee. K. Green (G) I-R - Shoulder. K. Zierer (OT) I-R - Ankle. T. Hairston (FB) I-R - Back. J. Matthews (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Scaife Jr. (OT) I-R - Leg. S. Quessenberry (C) I-R - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“When you look at these games, it’s about what’s best for your football team. I knew what this game was, a great opportunity for young guys to get some reps.” - Kevin Stefanski after his team’s loss against the Bengals in their last game. 


“Everybody's fighting till that last play, that's what it's about. We punched our ticket.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s win against the Colts in their last game.


Starting Lineups


Cleveland Browns
WR Cooper, Amari 
WR Tillman, Cedric 
WR Moore, Elijah 
TE Njoku, David 
QB Flacco, Joe
RB Ford, Jerome

Houston Texans
WR Collins, Nico 
WR Brown, Noah  
WR Woods, Robert 
TE Schultz, Dalton 
QB Stroud, C.J. 
RB Singletary, Devin 
FB Beck, Andrew 

Statistical Leaders


Cleveland Browns
Passing: J. Flacco (1616)
Rushing: J. Ford (813)
Receiving: A. Cooper (1250)
Touchdowns: K. Hunt (9)

Houston Texans
Passing: C. Stroud (4108)
Rushing: D. Singletary (898)
Receiving: N. Collins (1297)
Touchdowns: N. Collins (8) 

Coaches:
Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (4th season)
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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