by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Tuesday, Dec 21, 2021
Game Time: 4:30 pm ET, Saturday, December 25, 2021
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Where to Watch: Fox
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Browns +7.5, Packers -7.5; Over/Under: 45 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Browns +8, Packers -8; Over/Under: 45 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Browns +7.5, Packers -7.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Season Record
Cleveland Browns: 7-7 (4th place, AFC North)
Green Bay Packers: 11-3 (1st place, NFC North)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Ben Burns was on FIRE last weekend with a 6-1 WEEK 15 (NFL)! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Cleveland Browns: lost at home on Dec. 20 against the Las Vegas Raiders 16-14.
Green Bay Packers: won on the road on Dec. 19 against the Baltimore Ravens 31-30.
Cleveland Browns Analysis
The Browns are coming into this game with a 7-7 record overall and they are 2-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. Their last win was against the Baltimore Ravens while their 2 losses came against the Ravens and the Las Vegas Raiders in their last time out on Monday night. Both Baker Mayfield and Case Keenum did not play in that game due to covid-19. Nick Mullens was the starting quarterback and he completed 20/30 passes for 147 yards and 1 touchdown. Nick Chubb led the team in rushing in that game with 91 yards and 1 touchdown on 23 carries. Donovan Peoples-Jones led the receivers with 48 yards on 4 receptions while Harrison Bryant caught the lone touchdown pass in that one. M.J. Stewart led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Sheldon Day and Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah both combined for the only sack in that game while Andraez Williams came up with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 278 points in their 14 games this season averaging 19.9 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 289 points against them allowing 20.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 324.2 YPG while their defense is allowing 298.3 YPG.
Green Bay Packers Analysis
The Packers are coming into this game in NFL week 16 with an 11-3 record overall and they are 6-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 3 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Minnesota Vikings while their 4 wins in that span came against the Seattle Seahawks, the Los Angeles Rams, the Chicago Bears, and the Baltimore Ravens in their last game. Aaron Rodgers completed 23/31 passes for 268 total yards, 3 touchdowns and no turnovers in that one. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing with 58 yards on 13 carries while AJ Dillon had 22 yards and 1 touchdown on 7 carries. Marquez Valdes-Scantling led the receivers with 98 yards and 1 touchdown on 5 receptions while Davante Adams had 44 yards and 1 TD on 6 receptions. Jones caught the other touchdown pass in that one. Rasul Douglas led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles. De'Vondre Campbell recorded the only sack for them in that game while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception in that one. They have scored 359 points in their 14 games this season averaging 25.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 302 points against them allowing 21.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 360.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 325.8 YPG.
Browns vs Packers Prediction
The Packers are coming into this matchup as a 7.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Packers have been having a great season and they have been playing very well recently winning 3 straight games coming into this one. The Packers are not just winning games though, they have been winning a lot of their games by double-digits and they have beaten a lot of good opponents recently on their schedule. The Packers are a team that are playing well enough to be in the Super Bowl while the Browns have been inconsistent all season and have quite a few injuries for this game. This could be a game where this Browns team ends up kicking a bunch of field goals without getting into the end zone depending on who is playing for them here. The best wager to place in this game is on the Packers to cover the spread here.
Browns Packers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Saturday, December 25, 2021 (4:30 pm ET start time) is Packers 34 Browns 14.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Cleveland Browns Green Bay Packers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NFL predictions and previews.
NFL Betting Trends
Cleveland Browns: 18-28 ATS in all games. 5-10 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 11-24 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 11-19 ATS against NFC North division opponents. 13-21 ATS in games played on a grass field. 3-7 ATS in December games. 9-23 ATS after the first month of the season.
Green Bay Packers: 16-9 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 11-3 ATS in all games. 23-15 ATS as a favorite. 16-8 ATS as a home favorite. 6-0 ATS in home games. 8-2 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest. 217-153 ATS in games played on a grass field. 8-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins.
Key Injuries
Cleveland Browns: B. Mayfield (QB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder injury. K. Hunt (RB) Out indefinitely - Ankle injury. A. Hooper (TE) Out indefinitely - Illness. J. Landry (WR) Out indefinitely - Illness.
Green Bay Packers: D. Bakhtiari (T) day-to-day - Knee injury. J. Alexander (CB) day-to-day - Shoulder injury. D. Dafney (TE) day-to-day - Ankle injury.
Notable Quotes
"That locker room right now is hurting. That's the most I've seen it in that kind of pain. You're upset when you lose. Obviously you're joyous when you win. But when you lose that type of game, that was tough. They're pretty down right now." - Acting head coach Mike Priefer on his team’s loss against the Raiders in their last game.
"I think at moments like this, it's important, as much as you win with class, you have to savor these a little bit. These are special. I think it's important to keep that perspective on how special accomplishing this is three years in a row." - Aaron Rodgers on clinching the NFC North 3 straight seasons.
Starting Lineups
Cleveland Browns
WR Landry, Jarvis
WR Donovan Peoples-Jones
TE Hooper, Austin
QB Mayfield, Baker
RB Chubb, Nick
FB Janovich, Andy
Green Bay Packers
WR Adams, Davante
WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez
TE LEWIS, MARCEDES
TE Davis, Tyler
QB RODGERS, AARON
RB Aaron Jones
FB Deguara, Josiah
Statistical Leaders
Cleveland Browns
Passing: B. Mayfield (2603)
Rushing: N. Chubb (1017)
Receiving: D. Peoples-Jones (478)
Touchdowns: N. Chubb (8)
Green Bay Packers
Passing: A. Rodgers (3487)
Rushing: A. Jones (657)
Receiving: D. Adams (1248)
Touchdowns: A. Jones (10)
Coaches:
Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (2nd season)
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (3rd season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
