Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Sunday, November 26, 2023
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Browns +1.5, Broncos -1.5; Over/Under: 37 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Browns +1.5, Broncos -1.5; Over/Under: 37 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Browns +1.5, Broncos -1.5; Over/Under: 37 points
Season Record
Cleveland Browns: 7-3 (2nd place, AFC North)
Denver Broncos: 5-5 (2nd place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Cleveland Browns: won their last game at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers 13-10.
Denver Broncos: won their last game at home against the Minnesota Vikings 21-20.
Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos Preview and Analysis
The Browns are entering this game with a 7-3 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 13-10. Dorian Thompson-Robinson was the starting QB and he completed 24/43 passes for 165 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kareem Hunt led the team in rushing yards with 36. Elijah Moore led the receivers with 60 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Myles Garrett led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
The Broncos are entering this game with a 5-5 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 21-20. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 27/35 passes for 259 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing yards with 37. Courtland Sutton led the receivers with 66 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Alex Singleton led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Baron Browning and Jonathon Cooper each led the defense in sacks with 1. Ja'Quan McMillian came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Browns vs Broncos Prediction
The current betting odds have the Broncos listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Broncos haven't looked good this season with their 5-5 record overall but a lot of their struggles came at the beginning of the season. They were one of the worst teams in the NFL this year to start the season but now they have turned things around lately, entering this game as the hottest team in the NFL right now. They have been winning a lot of their games lately as their offense has been much better and their defense has also been giving up less points too. Meanwhile, the Browns have looked really good this season with their 7-3 record overall but they have been winning a lot of those games with good defense as they do have one of the best defenses in the NFL this season. Their offense has not looked good though with all 3 of their QBs this year and this is going to be a really tough road start for Dorian Thompson-Robinson. The Browns keep finding ways to win games with their defense but it isn't sustainable with how bad their offense has been and the Broncos have been improving week after week lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Broncos to cover the spread in this game.
Browns Broncos Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 26, 2023 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Broncos 20 Browns 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Cleveland Browns: 12-6 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 7-3 ATS in all games. 21-7 UNDER after allowing 100 or less passing yards in their last game. 9-4 UNDER off a home win. 8-3 UNDER after scoring 14 points or less last game.
Denver Broncos: 6-16 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 6-11 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 17-6 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 15-8 UNDER in home games. 11-6 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points.
Key Injuries
Cleveland Browns: S. Takitaki (LB) Prob Sun - Knee. O. Okoronkwo (DE) Prob Sun - Groin. G. Newsome II (CB) Prob Sun - Calf. M. Goodwin (WR) Out Sun - Concussion. D. Ward (CB) Out Sun - Shoulder. W. Teller (G) Prob Sun - Ankle. D. Jones (OT) Prob Sun - Knee. M. Ford (CB) Prob Sun - Thumb. M. Adams (LB) Prob Sun - Quadricep. A. Walker Jr. (LB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. G. Delpit (S) Ques Sun - Thigh. J. Kunaszyk (LB) Ques Sun - Knee. R. McLeod (S) I-R - Bicep. J. Thornhill (S) Ques Sun - Calf. D. Watson (QB) I-R - Shoulder. D. Forbes (G) Out indefinitely - Back. C. Mitchell (CB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Wills Jr. (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. S. Ika (DT) Out indefinitely - Foot. N. Chubb (RB) I-R - Knee. J. Conklin (OT) I-R - Knee. M. Woods II (WR) Out indefinitely - Achilles. J. Grant Sr. (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Phillips (LB) I-R - Pectoral. D. Deaton (G) I-R - Knee. T. Graham Jr. (CB) I-R - Ankle.
Denver Broncos: P. Locke (S) Prob Sun - Knee. D. Jones (DT) Prob Sun - Knee. D. Washington (RB) Ques Sun - Illness. J. Jewell (LB) Prob Sun - Back. M. Fraboni (LS) Prob Sun - Back. S. Perine (RB) Prob Sun - Knee. M. Purcell (DL) Prob Sun - Elbow. B. Browning (LB) Prob Sun - Wrist. N. Bonitto (LB) Prob Sun - Shoulder. R. Perkins (DE) Ques Sun - Quadricep. K. Jackson (S) Elig Week 16 - Suspension. B. Johnson (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. E. Uwazurike (DL) out for season - Suspension. G. Dulcich (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Williams (CB) I-R - Ankle. C. Sterns (S) I-R - Knee. A. Palczewski (OT) Out indefinitely - Hand. J. Virgil (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Griffith (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Patrick (WR) I-R - Achilles.
Notable Quotes
“He came through. He made some big plays throughout that drive, made big plays throughout the game. I know it wasn’t perfect at all times, but he came through when it mattered.” - Kevin Stefanski after his team’s win against the Steelers in their last game.
“Man, he's a lot slippier than I ever (realized) ... he was tough to get down. And he's taller. I turned to (offensive coordinator Joe) Lombardi in pregame and said, ‘Gosh, I don’t remember Dobbs being 6-3.' And I didn't realize how well he can move in the pocket. And we all kind of lived it in that last 2-minute drive. It was just one escape after the other and finally we got off the field.” - Sean Payton on Josh Dobbs after his team’s win against the Vikings in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Cleveland Browns
WR Cooper, Amari
WR Goodwin, Marquise
WR Moore, Elijah
TE Njoku, David
QB Thompson-Robinson, Dorian
RB Ford, Jerome
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland
WR Mims Jr., Marvin
WR Jeudy, Jerry
TE Trautman, Adam
QB Wilson, Russell
RB Williams, Javonte
FB Burton, Michael
Statistical Leaders
Cleveland Browns
Passing: D. Watson (1115)
Rushing: J. Ford (563)
Receiving: A. Cooper (749)
Touchdowns: K. Hunt (6)
Denver Broncos
Passing: R. Wilson (2065)
Rushing: J. Williams (473)
Receiving: C. Sutton (499)
Touchdowns: C. Sutton (8)
Coaches:
Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (4th season)
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (1st season)