Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/22/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, May 21, 2022
Game Time: 1:37 pm ET, Sunday, May 22, 2022
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  SNET

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +215, Blue Jays -265; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +215, Blue Jays -265; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +215, Blue Jays -265; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Cincinnati Reds:  11-27 (5th place, NL Central)
Toronto Blue Jays:  21-18 (3rd place, AL East)
 
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Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds:  6-4 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Cincinnati Reds Analysis

The Reds are coming into this game with a 11-27 record overall and they are 6-18 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this game off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 2-game series against the Cleveland Guardians completing the sweep 2-0 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Sunday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Rookie pitcher Hunter Greene is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Connor Overton is on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 1-0 with a 1.82 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 2 Ks on 3 hits in 7.2 IP against the Cleveland Guardians. They scored 9 runs in their last series averaging 4.5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 6 runs against them averaging 3 runs allowed per game.
 

Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

The Blue Jays are coming into this game with a 21-18 record overall and they are 13-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Reds on Sunday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Alek Manoah is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Yusei Kikuchi will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 2-1 with a 3.38 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 6 strikeouts on 1 hit in 6 innings played against the Seattle Mariners. They scored 10 runs in their last series averaging just over 3 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 7 runs against them averaging just over 2 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Reds vs Blue Jays Prediction

The Blue Jays are coming into this game as a massive favorite with the current betting odds. They have not been playing well recently but they have been winning some games now and they already took the first game of this series with the Reds. The Reds are missing some of their key players in the lineup here and they have Overton on the mound for this game who has pitched well this season but also has not pitched in many games at all yet. Kikuchi is on the mound for the jays here and although he has had a tough start this season, he has pitched much better in their recent games and will likely continue to pitch well here as he finds his rhythm. The Reds have been awful this season and the Jays have a team that will likely be in the playoffs this season. This is a series that the Jays need to sweep and they should be able to no problem. The best bet here is on the Jays to win this game on the runline.
 
Reds Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, May 22, 2022 (1:37 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 6 Reds 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Cincinnati Reds: 125-137 (-28.5 Units) ML in all games. 39-47 (-10.8 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 36-24 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10.
Toronto Blue Jays: 33-13 (+7.4 Units) ML as a favorite of -175 to -250. 106-85 (+4.1 Units) ML against right-handed starters. 12-5 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Cincinnati Reds:  B. Drury (3B) Out indefinitely - Personal. N. Senzel (CF) Early June - Illness. J. India (2B) Early June - Hamstring.
Toronto Blue Jays:  N. Pearson (SP) Early June - Illness. L. Gurriel Jr. (LF) Prob Sat - Hamstring. T. Mayza (RP) Mid June - Forearm.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It's great to have him back in the lineup. He looks good, he looks healthy." - David Bell after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays on Friday.
 
 
"He commanded his pitches, he's throwing his breaking pitches for a strike. When you see that, that's when he pitches good. And that's what he's done his last two starts." - Charlie Montoyo after his team’s win against the Reds on Friday. 
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Cincinnati Reds
TJ Friedl (L) CF
Tyler Naquin (L) RF
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Joey Votto (L) DH
Tyler Stephenson (R) C
Mike Moustakas (L) 3B
Colin Moran (L) 1B
Alejo Lopez (S) 2B
Matt Reynolds (R) SS
 
Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) CF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Vladimir Guerrero (R) DH
Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF
Santiago Espinal (R) 2B
Alejandro Kirk (R) C
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) 1B
Raimel Tapia (L) LF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average:  Tyler Stephenson (.309)
Hits:  Tommy Pham (30)
Home Runs:  Brandon Drury (7)
RBI:  Brandon Drury (22)
Stolen Bases:  TJ Friedl (4)
Wins:  Luis Cessa (2)
Saves:  Tony Santillan (2)
ERA:  Jared Solomon (0.00)
 
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Danny Jansen (.300)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (39)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (7)
RBI:  George Springer (22)
Stolen Bases:  Bo Bichette (4)
Wins:  Adam Cimber (4)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (13)
ERA:  Bowden Francis (0.00)
 
Managers:
Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (4th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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