Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/21/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, May 20, 2022
Game Time: 3:07 pm ET, Saturday, May 21, 2022
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  SNET

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +180, Blue Jays -220; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +180, Blue Jays -220; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +180, Blue Jays -220; Over/Under:  8 runs
 

Season Record

Cincinnati Reds:  11-26 (5th place, NL Central)
Toronto Blue Jays:  20-18 (3rd place, AL East)
 
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Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds:  7-3 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  3-7 last 10
 
 
 

Cincinnati Reds Analysis

The Reds are coming into this game with a 11-26 record overall and they are 6-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game winning streak. They just won their 2-game series against the Cleveland Guardians completing the sweep 2-0 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Luis Castillo is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while rookie pitcher Hunter Greene is on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 1-6 with a 6.21 ERA this season. His team lost their last 6 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 5 BB with 9 Ks on 0 hits in 7.1 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates. They scored 9 runs in their last series averaging 4.5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 6 runs against them averaging 3 runs allowed per game.
 

Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

The Blue Jays are coming into this game with a 20-18 record overall and they are 12-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Hyun Jin Ryu is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Alek Manoah will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 4-1 with a 1.71 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 4 strikeouts on 5 hits in 6 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays. They scored 10 runs in their last series averaging just over 3 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 7 runs against them averaging just over 2 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Reds vs Blue Jays Prediction

The Blue Jays are coming into this game as a big favorite with the current betting odds and for good reason. They have not been playing great in their recent games but they did get off to a great start while the Reds have been awful since the start of the season. The Reds have started to heat up recently and are winning a lot more games but they are still a bad team and they are missing a lot of their key players in the lineup for this game. The Blue Jays have been missing players all season but have recently got a lot of them back and the team is starting to gel together again with everyone back. The Blue Jays will feed on the Reds here as they have a much better team and their starting pitcher for this game, Alek Manoah, has arguably been their best pitcher all season. Hunter Greene, the starter for the Reds in this game, is not only a rookie but he has already been credited with 6 losses this season and has been allowing a lot of runs in his starts. The best bet here is on the Blue jays to win this game on the runline as their offense will wake up here and Manoah will do a good job of keeping the Reds off the board.
 
Reds Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, May 21, 2022 (3:07 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 9 Reds 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Cincinnati Reds: 125-136 (-27.5 Units) ML in all games. 42-66 (-8.8 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 39-46 (-9.8 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5.
Toronto Blue Jays: 32-13 (+6.4 Units) ML as a favorite of -175 to -250. 105-85 (+3.1 Units) ML against right-handed starters. 24-16 (+5.7 Units) ML in an inter-league game.
 

Key Injuries

 
Cincinnati Reds:  J. Votto (1B) Prob Fri - Illness. N. Senzel (CF) Late May - Illness. J. India (2B) Early June - Hamstring.
Toronto Blue Jays:  J. Romano (RP) Out indefinitely - Illness. L. Gurriel Jr. (LF) Ques Fri - Hamstring. T. Mayza (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"That's the key to the game right there." - David Bell after his team’s win against the Guardians on Thursday.
 
 
"It felt like I got through 50 pitches in the first inning." - Kevin Gausman after their loss against the Mariners on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Cincinnati Reds
TJ Friedl (L) RF
Brandon Drury (R) 2B
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Mike Moustakas (L) 3B
Tyler Stephenson (R) C
Tyler Naquin (L) DH
Colin Moran (L) 1B
Kyle Farmer (R) SS
Albert Almora Jr. (R) CF
 
Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) CF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Vladimir Guerrero (R) 1B
Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF
Alejandro Kirk (R) DH
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Santiago Espinal (R) 2B
Danny Jansen (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average:  Tyler Stephenson (.325)
Hits:  Tommy Pham (30)
Home Runs:  Brandon Drury (7)
RBI:  Brandon Drury (22)
Stolen Bases:  TJ Friedl (4)
Wins:  Luis Cessa (2)
Saves:  Tony Santillan (2)
ERA:  Alexis Diaz (0.00)
 
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Danny Jansen (.353)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (38)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (7)
RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (21)
Stolen Bases:  Bo Bichette (4)
Wins:  Adam Cimber (4)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (12)
ERA:  Bowden Francis (0.00)
 
Managers:
Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (4th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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