Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, Odds and Preview - 06/24/2022

by James Q

Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, Odds and Preview - 06/24/2022


Game Time: 10:15 pm ET, Friday, June 24th, 2022

Venue: Oracle Park, San Francisco, California

Where to Watch: MLBN

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: Moneyline:  Reds +160, Giants -179; O/U 8.5
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  
PointsBet:  Moneyline: 

Season Record

Reds: 23-45, 5th place NL Central
Giants:  38-29, 3rd place NL West

A national League matchup between the NL Central worst and the NL West’s middle.  These teams are not terribly close… but the Giants have some issues.  The Reds are only issues… who will play?... Have you ever heard of him?.  However these are the games that bettors look for… where a disappointing better team starts a mook against a bad team and levels the playing field.  Vegas will give you a big payday to bet on the Reds… The Giants are not pushing to win from every angle.  The any given Sunday rule means simply that the Reds could take it… and the payoff is worth the gamble.  

The Cincinnati Reds are on a 6-game losing streak.  They have only won 3 of their last 10 games.  In gambling parlance they are due.  They went 0-2 against the Los Angeles Dodgers, 0-3 to the Milwaukee Brewers, 3-1 against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and 0-1 against the ASt Louis Cardinals.  So, in the stretch they have only beaten the Arizona Diamondbacks. 

The San Francisco Giants have won 6 of their last ten games.  They went 1-2 against the Atlanta Braves, 2-1 against the Pittsburgh Pirates, 2-1 against the Kansas City Royals, and 0-1 against the Los Angeles Dodgers.  The Giants win and lose and hang in the 3rd place of the NL West spot.  The Reds have a clear chance in Game 1 because the Ginats are taking a deep breather after facing the Braves over the last 3 games.  

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Reds vs Giants Preview and Analysis

Recent Form

The Reds are 23-45 on the season, 35-30-3 O/U, 11-23 on the road.
The Giants are 38-29 on the season, 33-31-3 O/U, 19-15 on the road.

Offensive Analysis
The Reds are 18th in scoring with 4.31 runs per game, 21st in batting average with .237, and 21st in OBP with .307.  The bats need a wake up call.

The Giants are 4th in scoring with 4.91 runs per game, 17th in batting average with .240, and 5th in OBP with .324.  The bats are scattered throughout the line-up.

Defensive Analysis
The Reds are 30th in team ERA with 5.31… This is why starting this kid with a big arm is important.  27th in WHIP with 1.42, and the fielders are 18th in errors with 39 on the season so far.  The Reds pitching gives up runs… any game they don’t they win… which has only been 23 so far on the season.

The Giants are 15th in Team ERA with 3.94, 16th in WHIP with 1.26, and the fielders are 15th in errors with 37 on the season so far.  The pitching is what needs the big boost.  The Giants are leaving wins on the table since they are 4th in scoring… but 3rd in their division.  They should leave no rock unturned while looking for a guy who can fill a starter spot.

Reds vs Giants Prediction

Our prediction for Friday, June 24th is…  Reds 5 - Giants 4

Take the Reds already.  The Giants have disrespected this matchup by starting Alex Cobb against a young hot rookie.  Alex is falling apart and would need a big game to match the pitch speed and control of the kid.  He won’t.  The Reds will score early… Cob will get yanked… The bullpens will duel to protect or make up that score.  The Giants will fall short.  Alex Cobb goes by the nickname “Swan”... and this season may be his swansong.  

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MLB Betting Trends

The Giants are 7-3 (+2.9 Units) against Cincinnati over the last 3 seasons.
The Reds are 2-1 against the Giants this season.
2 of 3 games have gone UNDER.

Key Injuries

Reds: CF T. Naquin (quad) Out ** RF A. Aquino (ankle) Out ** CF J. Fraley (knee) Out ** C T. Stephenson (thumb) Out 

Giants: SS Brandon Crawfor (knee) Out ** CF S. Duggar (oblique) Out ** LF L. Wade Jr (knee) Out 

Players to Watch


Reds: RHP Graham Ashcraft, 3-1, 3.51 ERA, 19 strikeouts in 33 innings pitched.  1.17 WHIP.  The 24 year old has the same career numbers as year-long numbers… since he debuted 5/22/2022.  This is a greenhorn with a big arm.  His strikeouts are low, but some wins for the Reds is a pretty nice start.

Giants: RHP Alex Cobb, 3-2, 5.62 ERA, 49 strikeouts in 41 innings pitched.  1.46 WHIP.  The 34 year old has quality stats and lots and lots of experience.  His ERA has ballooned this season.  

Starting Lineups

Reds: 2B Jonathan India, DH Brandon Drury, LF Tommy Pham, 1B Joey Votto, SS Kyle Farmer, 3B Donovan Solano, RF Matt Reynolds, RF Albert Almora Jr, C Aramis Garcia

Giants: RF Luis Gonzalez, CF Mike Yastremski, 3B Evan Longoria, LF Joc Pederson, 1B Brandon Belt, 2B Thairo Estrada, DH Tommy La Stella, SS Brandon Crawford, C Austin Wynns

Manager:

Reds: David Bell
Giants:  Gabe Kapler

Weather Forecast 

Clear with periodic clouds.  65*, Humidity 70%.  Wind 9 mph.  San Francisco cools down in the evening and tomorrow won’t be any exception.  With a 7PM West Coast time start… the Giants and Reds will; have cool weather… high humidity.


 


James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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