Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/18/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Sunday, Apr 17, 2022
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Monday, April 18, 2022
Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch:  BSSD

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +145, Padres -165; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +140, Padres -165; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +140, Padres -165; Over/Under:  8 runs
 

Season Record

Cincinnati Reds:  2-7 (5th place, NL Central)
San Diego Padres:  5-5 (4th place, NL West)
 
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Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds:  2-7 last 10
San Diego Padres:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Cincinnati Reds Analysis

The Reds are coming into this game with a 2-7 record overall and they are 2-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 7 of their last 8 games and are coming into this one on a 5 game losing streak. They just lost their 2-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-0 and they are playing the series opener of a 3-game series with the Padres on Monday night. This will be the 1st game of the series on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Los Angeles Dodgers still to be played on Sunday. Tyler Mahle is the starting pitcher for them on Sunday while rookie pitcher Nick Lodolo will be on the mound for them here on Monday. He is 0-1 with a 11.25 ERA this season. His team lost his first game this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 2 HRs, and 3 BB with 4 Ks on 7 hits in 4 IP against the Cleveland Guardians. They scored 6 runs in their last series averaging 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 17 runs against them averaging just under 6 runs allowed per game with the final game of that series still to be played on Sunday.
 

San Diego Padres Analysis

The Padres are coming into this game with a 5-5 record overall and they are 1-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 and they are playing the series opener of a 3-game series with the Reds on Monday night. This will be the 1st game of the series on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Atlanta Braves still to be played on Sunday. Yu Darvish is the starter for them on Sunday while Sean Manaea will be throwing the first pitch for them here on Monday. He is 1-1 with a 1.38 ERA this season. His team lost their last game with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 6 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the San Francisco Giants. They scored 16 runs in their last series averaging just over 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging just under 4 runs allowed per game with the final game of that series still to be played on Sunday.
 

 

Reds vs Padres Prediction

The Padres have not been playing well in their recent games as their bats have gone cold recently and they have not been able to get many hits or score many runs in their games against the Braves in their last series. They have Manaea starting though and he is coming off of a very good start in his first game. The Padres may not be hitting well recently but they have a good chance of winning this game with their pitching with Manaea on the mound and their bats should also wake up a little in this game as Lodolo is on the mound for the Reds and he is coming off of an awful start where he allowed 5 runs and was credited with the loss. The Reds have already hit a slump less than 10 games into the season and they are on a big losing streak coming into this one. The Padres have not been great recently either but they will get hits and score runs on Lodolo here while Manaea keeps the Reds at bay. The best here is on the Padres to win.
 
Reds Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, April 18, 2022 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Padres 6 Reds 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Cincinnati Reds: 19-18 (+9.3u) ML as an underdog of +125 to +175. 17-10 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175. 
San Diego Padres: 96-70 (-20.2u) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 123-115 (-32.4u) ML in all games. 335-250 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175.
 

Key Injuries

 
Cincinnati Reds:  J. India (2B) Ques Sun - Hamstring injury. N. Senzel (CF) Out indefinitely - Illness. M. Minor (SP) Late April - Shoulder injury.
San Diego Padres:  F. Tatis Jr. (SS) Mid June - Wrist injury. B. Snell (SP) Out indefinitely - Groin injury. L. Garcia (RP) Ques Sun - Oblique injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
“I strictly focused on shortstop, which was cool. Being able to not have to put on the catcher’s gear was really nice, and not having to do blocking drills and worry about that. It’s hard to concentrate on catching and infield, because it’s two polar-opposite positions.” - Kyle Farmer after their loss against the Dodgers on Saturday.
 
 
"We're swinging at some first pitches that aren't strikes and doing the pitcher some favors at times. Especially for a guy (Anderson) that didn't have great command last time, we kind of let him off the hook. He didn't have to work as hard as we would have liked." - Bob Melvin on his team’s loss against the Braves on Saturday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Cincinnati Reds
Kyle Farmer (R) SS
Tyler Naquin (L) DH
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Joey Votto (L) 1B
Tyler Stephenson (R) C
Aristides Aquino (R) RF
Mike Moustakas (L) 3B
Brandon Drury (R) 2B
Jake Fraley (L) CF
 
San Diego Padres
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Austin Nola (R) C
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
Luke Voit (R) DH
Eric Hosmer (L) 1B
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
Matt Beaty (L) RF
C.J. Abrams (L) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average:  Kyle Farmer (.300)
Hits:  Kyle Farmer (9)
Home Runs:  Tyler Stephenson (2)
RBI:  Tyler Stephenson (6)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Farmer (1)
Wins:  Hunter Greene (1)
Saves:  Tony Santillan (1)
ERA:  Alexis Diaz (0.00)
 
San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Jose Azocar (.500)
Hits:  Manny Machado (14)
Home Runs:  Jurickson Profar (3)
RBI:  Jurickson Profar (9)
Stolen Bases:  Manny Machado (3)
Wins:  Steven Wilson (2)
Saves:  Taylor Rogers (3)
ERA:  Taylor Rogers (0.00)
 
Managers:
Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (4th season)
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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