by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Aug 23, 2022
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Wednesday, August 24, 2022
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch: NBCS-PH
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Reds +205, Phillies -245; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Reds +210, Phillies -250; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Reds +200, Phillies -250; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Cincinnati Reds: 48-72 (4th place, NL Central)
Philadelphia Phillies: 67-55 (3rd place, NL East)
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Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds: 4-6 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies: 4-6 last 10
Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis
The Reds were on a 2 game winning streak but now enter this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 48-72 record overall and have a road record of 22-36. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .685 OPS. Rookie pitcher Nick Lodolo is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Graham Ashcraft is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-3 with a 3.97 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 9 hits through 6.2 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
The Phillies won 2 of their last 3 games and enter this game off of a win. They lost their last series against the New York Mets 3-1 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 67-55 record overall and have a home record of 34-29. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Reds on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .735 OPS. Ranger Suárez is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Aaron Nola is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 8-10 with a 3.25 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 9 Ks on 8 hits through 5 IP against the New York Mets.
Reds vs Phillies Prediction
The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a big favorite in this game. The Phillies have been a much better team than the Reds have been all season and the Phillies have been playing well in their recent games as well. They did not play great in their last series but they still put up a fight in every game against the Mets, keeping all of those games close, and they are fighting for a wild card spot this season while the Reds are nowhere close to getting one. This is a game and a series that the Phillies need to win against a bad Reds team with one of the worst records in the MLB. Nola is starting for the Phillies here and he has been their best starter all season, he is coming off of a bad start where he allowed 5 runs but, he has been so good all season he will surely bounce back with a better start here against this bad offense. The Reds have Ashcraft starting and he has not been bad in his recent starts but he has still been consistently allowing runs in his starts and he will get into trouble here against this experienced Phillies lineup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game at home on the runline.
Reds Phillies Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, August 24, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Phillies 7 Reds 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Cincinnati Reds: 48-72 (-9.4 Units) ML in all games. 10-18 (-6 Units) ML against NL East opponents. 16-11 UNDER against NL East opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies: 67-55 (+6.7 Units) ML in all games. 35-23 (+6.4 Units) ML against NL Central opponents. 15-7 UNDER against NL Central opponents.
Key Injuries
Cincinnati Reds: J. Votto (1B) out for season - Shoulder. A. Garcia (C) Out indefinitely - Finger. T. Stephenson (C) out for season - Collarbone.
Philadelphia Phillies: B. Harper (RF) Early Sept - Thumb. B. Marsh (CF) Early Sept - Knee. C. Knebel (RP) Early Sept - Back.
Notable Quotes
"He's always been able to hit. I haven't seen him as much as people here, but he definitely looks like the same guy. He's in great shape. It looks like he's swinging the bat well." - David Bell after his team’s loss against the Phillies on Monday.
"My time here so far has been amazing. I feel like I'm on cloud nine." - Noah Syndergaard after their win against the Reds on Monday.
Starting Lineups
Cincinnati Reds
Jake Fraley (L) RF
Jonathan India (R) 2B
Kyle Farmer (R) 3B
Mike Moustakas (L) 1B
Donovan Solano (R) DH
Nick Senzel (R) CF
TJ Friedl (L) LF
Jose Barrero (R) SS
Austin Romine (R) C
Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
J.T. Realmuto (R) C
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Bryson Stott (L) SS
Jean Segura (R) 2B
Nick Maton (L) LF
Bradley Zimmer (L) CF
Statistical Leaders
Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average: Donovan Solano (.321)
Hits: Kyle Farmer (98)
Home Runs: Joey Votto (11)
RBI: Kyle Farmer (55)
Stolen Bases: TJ Friedl (6)
Wins: Graham Ashcraft (5)
Saves: Hunter Strickland (7)
ERA: Alexis Diaz (1.70)
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average: Nick Maton (.321)
Hits: Alec Bohm (127)
Home Runs: Kyle Schwarber (34)
RBI: Kyle Schwarber (71)
Stolen Bases: J.T. Realmuto (15)
Wins: Zack Wheeler (11)
Saves: Corey Knebel (12)
ERA: Sam Coonrod (0.00)
Managers:
Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (4th season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (Interim)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
