Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/14/2022

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Jul 13, 2022
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Thursday, July 14, 2022
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, The Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  YES

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +140, Yankees -165; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +140, Yankees -165; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +140, Yankees -165; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Cincinnati Reds:  33-54 (5th place, NL Central)
New York Yankees:  61-26 (1st place, AL East)
 
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Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds:  7-3 last 10
New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis

 
The Reds enter this game on a 5 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Tampa Bay Rays 3-0 completing the sweep in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 33-54 record overall and have a road record of 15-26. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .685 OPS. Mike Minor is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Luis Castillo is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 3-4 with a 2.92 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays. 
 
The Yankees enter this game on a 3 game losing streak. They split their last series against the Boston Red Sox 2-2 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 61-26 record overall and have a home record of 34-10. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .770 OPS. Luis Severino is on the mound on Wednesday while Nestor Cortes will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Thursday. He is 7-3 with a 2.74 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 2 HRs, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 8 hits through 3.2 IP against the Boston Red Sox. 

 

Reds vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game. The Yankees have lost 3 games straight with 2 losses against the Red Sox and now 1 loss against the Reds in the series opener. They did not even play bad in that game as they took a very early lead and played the whole game like that. They were up 3-0 going into the 9th inning and Holmes blew the game allowing 4 runs as he is coming off of an injury. That will not happen again here and the Yankees will not allow the Reds, who have one of the worst records in the MLB, win this series or even take another game from them. Cortes is starting for them and he has been throwing nasty pitches all season, turning into one of their best pitchers on staff. The Reds have Castillo starting here and he has also been very good in his starts all season but he has not faced a lineup like the Yankees all year and he will be in for a lot in this game. The Yankees have an amazing record at home as well, along with the best overall record in the MLB, and they are going to bounce back here with another series win. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees at this very cheap price as they have been a money machine all season.
 
Reds Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 14, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Reds 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Cincinnati Reds: 33-54 (-10.6 Units) ML in all games. 5-17 (-7.2 Units) ML as a road underdog of +150 or more. 8-1 UNDER against AL East opponents.
New York Yankees: 61-26 (+18.8 Units) ML in all games. 34-10 (+15.8 Units) ML in home games. 25-18 UNDER in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Cincinnati Reds:  J. Fraley (CF) Out indefinitely - Knee. A. Garcia (C) Late July - Finger. A. Aquino (RF) Late July - Ankle.
New York Yankees:  J. Loaisiga (RP) Late July - Shoulder. C. Green (RP) out for season - Elbow. D. German (SP) Late July - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"To get down 0-2 right there in that situation, it takes a big at-bat to win the game and he came through. He wants to be the guy in those situations." - David Bell after his team’s win against the Yankees on Tuesday.
 
 
"I think this is just an outlier. We certainly pay attention to it, but I don't think it was anything more than him being of whack tonight." - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Reds on Tuesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Cincinnati Reds
Jonathan India (R) 2B
Brandon Drury (R) 3B
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Joey Votto (L) 1B
Tyler Stephenson (R) C
Tyler Naquin (L) RF
Kyle Farmer (R) SS
Mike Moustakas (L) DH
Nick Senzel (R) CF
 
New York Yankees
DJ LeMahieu (R) 1B
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Anthony Rizzo (L) DH
Giancarlo Stanton (R) RF
Josh Donaldson (R) 3B
Aaron Hicks (S) CF
Jose Trevino (R) C
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) SS
Joey Gallo (L) LF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average:  Tyler Stephenson (.320)
Hits:  Brandon Drury (81)
Home Runs:  Brandon Drury (18)
RBI:  Brandon Drury (50)
Stolen Bases:  Tommy Pham (7)
Wins:  Graham Ashcraft (4)
Saves:  Tony Santillan (4)
ERA:  Connor Overton (1.82)
 
New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Matt Carpenter (.344)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (90)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (30)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (65)
Stolen Bases:  Isiah Kiner-Falefa (13)
Wins:  Jameson Taillon (9)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (16)
ERA:  David McKay (0.00)
 
Managers:
Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (4th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (5th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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