Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/12/2022

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jul 11, 2022
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, July 12, 2022
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, The Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  YES

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +220, Yankees -260; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +220, Yankees -260; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +220, Yankees -260; Over/Under:  8 runs
 

Season Record

Cincinnati Reds:  32-54 (5th place, NL Central)
New York Yankees:  61-25 (1st place, AL East)
 
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Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds:  6-4 last 10
New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis

 
The Reds enter this game on a 4 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Tampa Bay Rays 3-0 completing the sweep in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 32-54 record overall and have a road record of 14-26. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday and they had Monday off as a rest day. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .687 OPS. Nick Lodolo is their starting pitcher on Monday while rookie pitcher Graham Ashcraft is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-2 with a 4.35 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 1 K on 10 hits through 6 IP against the New York Mets. 
 
The Yankees enter this game on a 2 game losing streak. They split their last series against the Boston Red Sox 2-2 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 61-25 record overall and have a home record of 34-9. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Tuesday and they had Monday off as a rest day. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .771 OPS. Jameson Taillon is on the mound on Monday while Gerrit Cole will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Tuesday. He is 8-2 with a 3.26 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 2 HRs, and 3 BB with 7 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Boston Red Sox. 

 

Reds vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a massive favorite in this game. The Yankees have lost their last 2 games straight now against their rival, the Red Sox, splitting that series against them. They do not string losses together that often this season and they will be hungry to bounce back here against the Reds who have one of the worst records in the MLB. The Yankees also have their ace on the mound here in Cole and he should be able to keep this bad offense from scoring a lot of runs in this game. The Reds have Ashcraft starting who is still a rookie and he is about to face the team with the best record in the MLB and the number 1 offense. The Yankees are also getting healthier with all of their key batters back in the lineup for this series so they should crush the Reds in every game here and get back on track. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.
 
Reds Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 12, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 7 Reds 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Cincinnati Reds: 32-54 (-13.1 Units) ML in all games. 14-26 (-6.4 Units) ML in road games. 7-1 UNDER against AL East opponents.
New York Yankees: 61-25 (+21.8 Units) ML in all games. 34-9 (+18.8 Units) ML in home games. 12-7 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Cincinnati Reds:  J. Votto (1B) Out indefinitely - Back. A. Garcia (C) Late July - Finger. A. Aquino (RF) Late July - Ankle.
New York Yankees:  J. Loaisiga (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. C. Green (RP) out for season - Elbow. D. German (SP) Mid July - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It is important. We played some pretty good teams. This whole home stand was important. We had a winning record. More importantly it's the way we went about it. Our team has gotten healthier and gotten better. We have a long way to go. A lot of good things happened. It was an exciting day with Moose getting to 200 home runs." - David Bell after his team’s win against the Rays on Sunday.
 
 
"First with Clay, he got beat by a ground ball through the hole, a good job of hitting by Verdugo. Wandy fell behind and Verdugo put a very good swing on it." - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Red Sox on Saturday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Cincinnati Reds
Jonathan India (R) 2B
Brandon Drury (R) 3B
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Tyler Naquin (L) RF
Tyler Stephenson (R) C
Donovan Solano (R) DH
Mike Moustakas (L) 1B
Albert Almora Jr. (R) CF
Matt Reynolds (R) SS
 
New York Yankees
DJ LeMahieu (R) 2B
Aaron Judge (R) RF
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Giancarlo Stanton (R) LF
Josh Donaldson (R) 3B
Matt Carpenter (L) DH
Aaron Hicks (S) CF
Jose Trevino (R) C
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average:  Tyler Stephenson (.320)
Hits:  Brandon Drury (80)
Home Runs:  Brandon Drury (18)
RBI:  Brandon Drury (50)
Stolen Bases:  Tommy Pham (7)
Wins:  Graham Ashcraft (4)
Saves:  Tony Santillan (4)
ERA:  Connor Overton (1.82)
 
New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Matt Carpenter (.344)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (90)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (30)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (65)
Stolen Bases:  Isiah Kiner-Falefa (13)
Wins:  Jameson Taillon (9)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (16)
ERA:  David McKay (0.00)
 
Managers:
Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (4th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (5th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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