Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/04/2024

Game Time: 1:05 pm ET, Thursday, July 4, 2024

Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Where to Watch:  BSOH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +142, Yankees -170; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +142, Yankees -170; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +142, Yankees -170; Over/Under:  9 runs

Cincinnati Reds:  40-45 (4th place, NL Central)

New York Yankees:  54-33 (2nd place, AL East)

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Cincinnati Reds:  4-6 last 10

New York Yankees:  3-7 last 10

The Reds are entering this series off a loss and split their 4-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 40-45 record overall and have a road record of 20-22. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Reds won the series opener of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .681 OPS. Andrew Abbott is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Frankie Montas is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 3-6 with a 4.23 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 5 Ks on 2 hits through 6 IP against the St Louis Cardinals.

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and split their 4-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-33 record overall and have a home record of 24-15. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Yankees lost the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .759 OPS. Carlos Rodón is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Marcus Stroman is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 7-3 with a 3.29 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 3 strikeouts on 5 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked good in their games this season with their 54-33 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB, trailing right behind the Orioles in 1st place. They have looked great in their home games with their 24-15 home record too. Meanwhile, the Reds haven't looked great in their games this season with their 40-45 record overall and their 20-22 road record which has them near the bottom of the NL Central and out of the playoff race right now. They managed to take the 1st game in this series, but the Yankees almost came back in that game, only losing 5-4. They will have the better pitching matchup in this game with Stroman on the mound here. He is 7-3 with a 3.29 ERA and the team has won their last 2 games with him starting. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start, but he hasn't been giving up a ton of runs in his starts. The Reds are going to have Montas on the mound here and he hasn't looked great this year. He is 3-6 with a 4.23 ERA and the team hasn't been playing well in his starts. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year, and the Reds have also lost their last 4 games with him starting. The Yankees have the much better offense and they will be looking to bounce back and still win this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Reds Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 4, 2024 (1:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 7 Reds 4.

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Cincinnati Reds: 40-44 (-9.20 units) on the first 5 innings runline in their last 84 games. 33-50 (-7.10 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 83 games. 26-15 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 41 games.

New York Yankees: 33-21 (+16.85 units) on the runline in their last 54 games. 34-20 (+12.10 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 54 games. 23-8 to the over in their last 31 games. 

Cincinnati Reds:  J. Fraley (RF) - Leg. N. Lodolo (SP) - Finger. T. Friedl (CF) - Hamstring. C. Encarnacion-Strand (1B) - Hand. E. Pagán (RP) - Lat. B. Williamson (SP) - Shoulder. I. Gibaut (RP) - Forearm. T. Antone (RP) - Elbow. M. McLain (SS) - Shoulder.

New York Yankees:  G. Stanton (DH) - Hamstring. A. Rizzo (1B) - Wrist. C. Poteet (SP) - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) - Lat. C. Schmidt (SP) - Lat. J. Berti (SS) - Calf. N. Burdi (RP) - Hip. J. Loáisiga (RP) - Elbow. J. Brubaker (SP) - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) - Back.

“Some players are just comfortable in the big spot. And he’s just at the beginning. There's going to be a lot bigger spots and bigger stages.” - David Bell after his team’s win against the Yankees in their game on Tuesday.

“I'm going to get into the thesaurus because I've used all the other adjectives up that I can hold.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Reds in their game on Tuesday.

J India (R) 2B

E De La Cruz (S) SS

J Candelario (S) DH

S Steer (R) 1B

T Stephenson (R) C

N Martini (L) LF

N Marte (R) 3B

S Fairchild (R) CF

W Benson (L) RF

A Volpe (R) SS

J Soto (L) RF

A Judge (R) DH

A Verdugo (L) LF

G Torres (R) 2B

B Rice (L) 1B

D LeMahieu (R) 3B

T Grisham (L) CF

J Trevino (R) C

Batting Average:  Austin Wynns (.600)

Hits:  Elly De La Cruz (81)

Home Runs:  Elly De La Cruz (15)

RBI:  Spencer Steer (51)

Stolen Bases:  Elly De La Cruz (40)

Wins:  Nick Lodolo (8)

Saves:  Alexis Díaz (18)

ERA:  Alex Young (0.00)

Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (98)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (32)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (83)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (15)

Wins:  Carlos Rodón (9)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (19)

ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Managers:

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (6th season)

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)