Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/03/2024

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Wednesday, July 3, 2024

Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Where to Watch:  Amazon Prime Video

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +160, Yankees -192; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +160, Yankees -192; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +160, Yankees -192; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Cincinnati Reds:  39-45 (4th place, NL Central)

New York Yankees:  54-32 (2nd place, AL East)

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Cincinnati Reds:  4-6 last 10

New York Yankees:  3-7 last 10

The Reds are entering this series off a loss and split their 4-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-45 record overall and have a road record of 19-22. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .681 OPS. Graham Ashcraft is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Andrew Abbott is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 7-6 with a 3.41 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 6 BB with 2 Ks on 2 hits through 5 IP against the St Louis Cardinals.

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and split their 4-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-32 record overall and have a home record of 24-14. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .762 OPS. Luis Gil is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Carlos Rodón is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 9-5 with a 4.42 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 8 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 8 strikeouts on 10 hits through 5 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked good in their games this season with their 54-32 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB, trailing right behind the Orioles in 1st place. They have looked great in their home games with their 24-14 home record too. Meanwhile, the Reds haven't looked great in their games this season with their 39-45 record overall and their 19-22 road record which has them near the bottom of the NL Central and out of the playoff race right now. They are going to have Abbott on the mound here and he hasn't been terrible this season with his 7-6 record and his 3.41 ERA. He gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and the team has won their last 2 games with him starting, but the Reds don't have a great offense this season and won't be able to help him out with a lot of run support against this Yankees pitching staff that has been one of the best in the MLB this year. The Yankees are going with Rodon in this game who is 9-5 with a 4.42 ERA this season. The Yankees have lost their last 3 games with him starting and he also gave up 8 earned runs in his last start, but he is due for a bounce back performance since he has been solid for most of the season. The Yankees haven't looked good lately with their 3-7 record in their last 10 games, but this is a good series for them to get back on track so look for them to bounce back with better pitching here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game and on the runline.

Reds Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 3, 2024 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 4 Reds 1.

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Cincinnati Reds: 39-44 (-10.20 units) on the first 5 innings runline in their last 83 games. 32-50 (-8.55 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 82 games. 25-15 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 40 games.

New York Yankees: 37-27 (+14.30 units) on the runline in their last 64 games. 34-19 (+13.40 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 53 games. 23-7 to the over in their last 30 games. 

Cincinnati Reds:  J. Fraley (RF) - Leg. N. Lodolo (SP) - Finger. T. Friedl (CF) - Hamstring. C. Encarnacion-Strand (1B) - Hand. E. Pagán (RP) - Lat. B. Williamson (SP) - Shoulder. I. Gibaut (RP) - Forearm. T. Antone (RP) - Elbow. M. McLain (SS) - Shoulder.

New York Yankees:  G. Stanton (DH) - Hamstring. A. Rizzo (1B) - Wrist. C. Poteet (SP) - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) - Lat. C. Schmidt (SP) - Lat. J. Berti (SS) - Calf. N. Burdi (RP) - Hip. J. Loáisiga (RP) - Elbow. J. Brubaker (SP) - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) - Back.

“I felt like I made some really good pitches. I was constantly behind hitters, but I felt like I was able to figure it out.” - Hunter Greene after their loss against the Cardinals in their game on Sunday.

“It’s just kind of head and shoulders above anything we’re seeing. What him and Juan are doing is hard to wrap your head around, especially in this hitting climate.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Sunday.

J India (R) 2B

E De La Cruz (S) SS

J Candelario (S) DH

S Steer (R) 1B

J Fraley (L) RF

N Marte (R) 3B

S Fairchild (R) CF

W Benson (L) LF

L Maile (R) C

A Volpe (R) SS

J Soto (L) RF

A Judge (R) DH

A Verdugo (L) LF

G Torres (R) 2B

B Rice (L) 1B

A Wells (L) C

D LeMahieu (R) 3B

T Grisham (L) CF

Batting Average:  Austin Wynns (.600)

Hits:  Elly De La Cruz (79)

Home Runs:  Jeimer Candelario (14)

RBI:  Spencer Steer (51)

Stolen Bases:  Elly De La Cruz (40)

Wins:  Nick Lodolo (8)

Saves:  Alexis Díaz (17)

ERA:  Alex Young (0.00)

Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (95)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (31)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (82)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (15)

Wins:  Carlos Rodón (9)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (19)

ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Managers:

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (6th season)

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)