Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 19, 2025
Venue: Citi Field, Flushing, NY
Where to Watch: MLBN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Reds +144, Mets -176; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Reds +145, Mets -175; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Reds +145, Mets -175; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Cincinnati Reds: 50-47 (4th place, NL Central)
New York Mets: 55-42 (2nd place, NL East)
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Cincinnati Reds: 5-5 last 10
New York Mets: 6-4 last 10
Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis
The Reds are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-47 record overall and have a road record of 22-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .714 OPS. Nick Lodolo is their starting pitcher on Friday while Nick Martinez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-9 with a 4.78 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 3 SO on 5 hits through 5.1 IP against the Colorado Rockies.
The Mets are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-42 record overall and have a home record of 33-14. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .738 OPS. Sean Manaea is their starting pitcher on Friday while Clay Holmes is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 8-4 with a 3.31 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 walk with 2 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings pitched against the Kansas City Royals.
Reds vs Mets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Reds have looked good in their games this season with their 50-47 record overall, but that record still has them near the bottom of the NL Central in a competitive division. They haven't been a great road team though with their 22-25 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Mets have looked really good in their games this season with their 55-42 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 33-14 home record. The Mets went into the All-Star break playing well as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are going to have the better pitching matchup in this one too. Holmes is on the mound for the Mets and he has been a solid starter for them this year. He is 8-4 with a 3.31 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs lately. His team has lost 2 of the last 3 games he started in, but he is coming off a good start in which he only gave up 2 earned runs and that has been a common theme for him this year. The Mets also have a really good offense to help him out and the Reds are going with Martinez in this one who hasn't been great this season. Martinez is 7-9 with a 4.78 ERA and he has been giving up quite a few runs this season. He has looked a lot better lately as he only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and the team has won 4 of the last 5 games he started in too, but he has also looked very different on the road this year and this is an offense that is going to put up runs against him. The Reds bullpen has also been really up and down this year so this is a good game to finally fade Martinez after a stretch of good starts. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.
Reds Mets Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 19, 2025 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 4 Reds 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Cincinnati Reds: 208-212 (+9.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 104-105 (+23.5 units) on the moneyline in road games. 116-133 (+21.4 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 48-27 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%).
New York Mets: 45-43 (-8.5 units) on the moneyline against NL Central opponents. 226-208 (-10.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 53-37 (-12 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -150 or more. 14-5 OVER against NL Central opponents.
Key Injuries
Cincinnati Reds: I. Gibaut (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. W. Miley (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Flexor. H. Greene (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Groin. R. Lowder (SP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. C. Spiers (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. T. Callihan (LF) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. B. Williamson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Aguiar (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
New York Mets: D. Nunez (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. J. Winker (LF) Ten Day IL - Back. S. Marte (LF) Ten Day IL - Knee. T. Megill (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Butto (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Illness. P. Blackburn (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. G. Canning (SP) Sixty Day IL - Achilles. J. Siri (CF) Sixty Day IL - Shin. M. Kranick (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. D. Young (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Minter (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. B. Raley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Scott (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. N. Madrigal (3B) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. D. Smith (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“You hope you play yourself into a position where when you show up at the ballpark, you get a little nervous. That’s fun. You’ve got a little anxiety. To me, that’s what this is all about. We’ve really got to push. But I still think our better days are ahead of us. I think it’ll be very exciting.” - Terry Francona on his team this season.
“Typical Sean Manaea. Fastball playing at the top of the zone and getting swings and misses. The sweeper was really good. We saw that the whole year [in 2024], and it was good to see it again today.” - Carlos Mendoza after his team’s loss against the Royals in their last game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Cincinnati Reds
TJ Friedl (L) CF
Matt McLain (R) 2B
Elly De La Cruz (S) SS
Austin Hays (R) LF
Spencer Steer (R) 1B
Noelvi Marte (R) DH
Tyler Stephenson (R) C
Santiago Espinal (R) 3B
Connor Joe (R) RF
New York Mets
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Mark Vientos (R) DH
Juan Soto (L) RF
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Brandon Nimmo (L) LF
Ronny Mauricio (S) 3B
Tyrone Taylor (R) CF
Luis Torrens (R) C
Luisangel Acuña (R) 2B
Statistical Leaders
Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average: Austin Wynns (.400)
Hits: Elly De La Cruz (105)
Home Runs: Elly De La Cruz (18)
RBI: Elly De La Cruz (63)
Stolen Bases: Elly De La Cruz (25)
Wins: Andrew Abbott (8)
Saves: Emilio Pagán (20)
ERA: Andrew Abbott (2.07)
New York Mets
Batting Average: Pete Alonso (.280)
Hits: Pete Alonso (101)
Home Runs: Juan Soto (23)
RBI: Pete Alonso (77)
Stolen Bases: Francisco Lindor (15)
Wins: Clay Holmes (8)
Saves: Edwin Díaz (19)
ERA: Rico Garcia (0.00)
Managers:
Cincinnati Reds: Terry Francona (1st season)
New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (2nd season)