Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/26/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jul 25, 2023
Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 26, 2023
Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Where to Watch:  BSWI


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +115, Brewers -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +115, Brewers -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +115, Brewers -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Cincinnati Reds:  55-47 (2nd place, NL Central)
Milwaukee Brewers:  56-45 (1st place, NL Central)

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Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds:  5-5 last 10
Milwaukee Brewers:  7-3 last 10



Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview and Analysis


The Reds are entering this series on a 5 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-47 record overall and have a road record of 27-21. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also lost the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .746 OPS. Rookie pitcher Andrew Abbott is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Ben Lively is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-5 with a 3.88 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 6 Ks on 4 hits through 4.2 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Brewers are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-45 record overall and have a home record of 28-23. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .686 OPS. Corbin Burnes is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Freddy Peralta is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-8 with a 4.72 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers, and 3 BB with 5 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5 innings played against the Atlanta Braves.


Reds vs Brewers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Reds listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Reds have been rolling in their games lately but right now they are trailing the Brewers for the lead of the NL Central and have struggled to beat them in their last few meetings. The Brewers have also been pitching really well lately but the Reds have a much stronger offense and their offense will be able to take advantage of this better pitching matchup. The Brewers have Peralta on the mound here but he has been giving up a lot of runs in his starts and just gave up 6 runs in his last start too. The Reds haven't had great pitching but their offense has been really good lately and they will put up runs in this game with how bad Peralta has been lately. The Reds also have Lively starting here and even though their pitching hasn't been great as a whole, Lively has still been pretty good in his starts this season and hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts lately. The Brewers also have one of the weakest offenses in the MLB this season so Lively will have an easier time shutting down the Brewers lineup and the Reds offense will be able to carry them to another win in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Reds to win this game.

Reds Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 26, 2023 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Reds 8 Brewers 4.
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MLB Betting Trends


Cincinnati Reds: 55-47 (+18.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 27-21 (+13.4 units) on the moneyline in road games. 28-20 OVER in road games. 22-16 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher.

Milwaukee Brewers: 44-36 (-10.5 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -125 to -175. 120-95 (-14.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. FREDDY PERALTA is 27-10 OVER when the money line is -100 to -150 and 9-5 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5.

Key Injuries


Cincinnati Reds:  C. Casali (C) Early Aug - Foot. V. Gutierrez (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. T. Antone (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. R. Sanmartin (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. K. Newman (2B) Ques Tues - Stomach. H. Greene (SP) Early Aug - Hip. J. Dunn (SP) Mid Sept - Shoulder. C. Legumina (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. N. Lodolo (SP) Early Aug - Calf. C. Overton (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Milwaukee Brewers:  J. Wilson (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. B. Sousa (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. W. Miley (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. R. Tellez (1B) Mid Aug - Forearm. B. Anderson (1B) Early Aug - Back. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“It’s crazy how much one run, the very first play of the game, the difference that that can make." - David Bell after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Monday.


“We left a lot out there. They made some good pitches and we just couldn’t cash in. We just kept getting traffic, though. If you keep getting traffic, eventually something good’s going to happen.” - Christian Yelich after their win against the Reds in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Cincinnati Reds
Elly De La Cruz (S) SS
TJ Friedl (L) CF
Matt McLain (R) 2B
Jake Fraley (L) RF
Spencer Steer (R) 3B
Joey Votto (L) 1B
Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R) DH
Tyler Stephenson (R) C
Will Benson (L) LF

Milwaukee Brewers
Christian Yelich (L) LF
William Contreras (R) C
Willy Adames (R) SS
Sal Frelick (L) RF
Andruw Monasterio (R) 3B
Owen Miller (R) 1B
Brice Turang (L) 2B
Jahmai Jones (R) DH
Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Statistical Leaders


Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average:  Matt McLain (.301)
Hits:  Spencer Steer (100)
Home Runs:  Spencer Steer (14)
RBI:  Jake Fraley (59)
Stolen Bases:  Elly De La Cruz (17)
Wins:  Ian Gibaut (8)
Saves:  Alexis Diaz (29)
ERA:  Ricky Karcher (0.00)

Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  Sal Frelick (.556)
Hits:  Christian Yelich (106)
Home Runs:  Willy Adames (17)
RBI:  Christian Yelich (55)
Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (22)
Wins:  Corbin Burnes (9)
Saves:  Devin Williams (25)
ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Managers:
Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (5th season)
Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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