Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/25/2023

Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Tuesday, July 25, 2023

Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI

Where to Watch:  BSWI

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +135, Brewers -155; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +135, Brewers -155; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +135, Brewers -155; Over/Under:  8 runs

Cincinnati Reds:  55-46 (2nd place, NL Central)

Milwaukee Brewers:  55-45 (1st place, NL Central)

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Cincinnati Reds:  5-5 last 10

Milwaukee Brewers:  7-3 last 10

The Reds are entering this series on a 5 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-46 record overall and have a road record of 27-20. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .750 OPS. Graham Ashcraft is their starting pitcher on Monday while rookie pitcher Andrew Abbott is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-2 with a 2.10 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 6 Ks on 1 hit through 8 IP against the San Francisco Giants.

The Brewers are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-45 record overall and have a home record of 27-23. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .685 OPS. Colin Rea is their starting pitcher on Monday while Corbin Burnes is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 9-5 with a 3.49 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 10 strikeouts on 2 hits through 8 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have been playing a lot better lately as they now have the lead of the NL Central and have also had some of the best pitching in the league over the last few weeks. The Reds have also been having a good season but have been really up and down lately since their pitching has been terrible all season and they usually rely heavily on their offense to win games. They just swept the D-Backs in their last series but their offense isn't going to be much help here with the Brewers pitching the way they have been lately, especially when the Brewers just shut down the Reds in 2 different series to take the division lead back. The Brewers also have their ace Burnes on the mound here and he got off to a rough start this season but he has worked through his issues and hasn't been giving up many runs at all in his starts lately. The Reds have Abbott starting here and he has also been pitching really well in his starts lately, but he is also in his rookie year and the Brewers offense has been hitting much better during this run of good play they have been in. The Brewers are going to continue rolling at home here as they look to spread the gap between them and the Reds in the division. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game.

Reds Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 25, 2023 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 4 Reds 2.

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Cincinnati Reds: 55-46 (+19.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 27-20 (+14.4 units) on the moneyline in road games. 28-19 OVER in road games. 22-15 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher.

Milwaukee Brewers: 44-36 (-10.5 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -125 to -175. 63-61 (-14.1 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 16-9 OVER at home with a money line of -100 to -150. 17-10 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5.

Cincinnati Reds:  V. Gutierrez (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. T. Antone (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. R. Sanmartin (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. K. Newman (2B) Out indefinitely - Stomach. H. Greene (SP) Early Aug - Hip. J. Dunn (SP) Mid Sept - Shoulder. C. Legumina (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. N. Lodolo (SP) Early Aug - Calf. C. Overton (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Milwaukee Brewers:  J. Wilson (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. B. Sousa (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. W. Miley (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. R. Tellez (1B) Mid Aug - Forearm. B. Anderson (1B) Early Aug - Back. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder.

“Just the way we drew it up. Elly handled it great. He looked a little refreshed.” - David Bell after his team’s win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Sunday.

“They’ve been a big reason why we’re at where we are. A little bit, we’ve got to point to like, we’re giving them a one-run lead. Scoring two runs is probably, regardless of what happens the rest of the game, it’s probably not going to win you a lot of games.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Sunday.

Elly De La Cruz (S) 3B

TJ Friedl (L) CF

Matt McLain (R) SS

Spencer Steer (R) 1B

Jake Fraley (L) RF

Jonathan India (R) 2B

Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R) DH

Nick Senzel (R) LF

Luke Maile (R) C

Christian Yelich (L) LF

William Contreras (R) DH

Willy Adames (R) SS

Sal Frelick (L) RF

Andruw Monasterio (R) 3B

Victor Caratini (S) C

Owen Miller (R) 1B

Brice Turang (L) 2B

Blake Perkins (S) CF

Batting Average:  Matt McLain (.305)

Hits:  Spencer Steer (99)

Home Runs:  Spencer Steer (14)

RBI:  Jake Fraley (59)

Stolen Bases:  Elly De La Cruz (17)

Wins:  Ian Gibaut (8)

Saves:  Alexis Diaz (29)

ERA:  Ricky Karcher (0.00)

Batting Average:  Sal Frelick (.667)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (105)

Home Runs:  Willy Adames (17)

RBI:  Christian Yelich (54)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (21)

Wins:  Corbin Burnes (9)

Saves:  Devin Williams (25)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Managers:

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (5th season)

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)