Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/24/2023

Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Monday, July 24, 2023

Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI

Where to Watch:  BSWI

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +105, Brewers -125; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +105, Brewers -125; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +105, Brewers -125; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Cincinnati Reds:  54-46 (2nd place, NL Central)

Milwaukee Brewers:  55-44 (1st place, NL Central)

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Cincinnati Reds:  4-6 last 10

Milwaukee Brewers:  7-3 last 10

The Reds entered their last series on a 2 game winning streak and split their 4-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-2. They enter this game with a 54-46 record overall and have a road record of 27-20. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Arizona Diamondbacks still to be played on Sunday. They also won the series opener and the 2nd game of that series on Friday and Saturday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .749 OPS. Luke Weaver is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Graham Ashcraft is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 5-7 with a 5.77 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the San Francisco Giants.

The Brewers entered their last series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1. They enter this game with a 55-44 record overall and have a home record of 27-22. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Monday with the 3rd game of their series against the Atlanta Braves still to be played on Sunday. They also lost the 1st game of that series on Friday but won the 2nd game on Saturday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .686 OPS. Julio Teherán is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Colin Rea is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 5-4 with a 4.64 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 3 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have been playing really well lately as they have taken over the lead of the NL Central and their pitching has been really good in their games lately. The Reds have also been having a good season but they have been leaning a lot on their offense since their pitching has been really bad and now that their offense has been cooling off, they are starting to regress. The Brewers are going to be looking to keep their division lead over the Reds while also stretching that gap a bit more and the Brewers just dominated the Reds in 2 series just over a week ago, 1 before the All-Star break and the other right after. The Brewers have also been pitching really well lately and even though they have Rea starting in this game, he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts lately. Meanwhile, the Reds have Ashcraft starting here and he hasn't been good in most of his starts this season. He has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts lately and the Reds offense is already going to struggle to put up runs with how good the Brewers pitching staff has been, but they are also going to give up a ton with Ashcraft starting and the way their bullpen has been pitching. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game.

Reds Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, July 24, 2023 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 4 Reds 1.

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Cincinnati Reds: 79-92 (-14 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 83-98 (-12.7 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 28-19 OVER in road games. GRAHAM ASHCRAFT is 12-4 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125.

Milwaukee Brewers: 55-44 (+9.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 20-9 (+11.2 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. COLIN REA is 12-5 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125 and 18-6 OVER in home games.

Cincinnati Reds:  V. Gutierrez (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. T. Antone (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. R. Sanmartin (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. L. Weaver (SP) Ques Sun - Elbow. K. Newman (2B) Out indefinitely - Stomach. H. Greene (SP) Early Aug - Hip. J. Dunn (SP) Mid Sept - Shoulder. C. Legumina (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. N. Lodolo (SP) Early Aug - Calf. C. Overton (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Milwaukee Brewers:  J. Wilson (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. B. Sousa (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. W. Miley (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. R. Tellez (1B) Mid Aug - Forearm. B. Anderson (1B) Early Aug - Back. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder.

“The first inning a lot of times when you have an opportunity like that and the pitcher makes pitches to get out of it, it takes a few innings to get it going again. Once we did we got a few of them.” - David Bell after his team’s win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Saturday.

“He showed us everything tonight. He did the things that he’s good at and the reason that he’s here and the reason why he was a first-round pick. He put it all on display tonight.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s win against the Braves in their game on Saturday.

Elly De La Cruz (S) 3B

TJ Friedl (L) CF

Matt McLain (R) SS

Spencer Steer (R) 1B

Jake Fraley (L) RF

Jonathan India (R) 2B

Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R) DH

Nick Senzel (R) LF

Luke Maile (R) C

Christian Yelich (L) LF

William Contreras (R) DH

Willy Adames (R) SS

Sal Frelick (L) RF

Andruw Monasterio (R) 3B

Victor Caratini (S) C

Owen Miller (R) 1B

Brice Turang (L) 2B

Blake Perkins (S) CF

Batting Average:  Matt McLain (.300)

Hits:  Spencer Steer (97)

Home Runs:  Spencer Steer (14)

RBI:  Jake Fraley (58)

Stolen Bases:  Elly De La Cruz (17)

Wins:  Ian Gibaut (8)

Saves:  Alexis Diaz (29)

ERA:  Ricky Karcher (0.00)

Batting Average:  Sal Frelick (1.000)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (103)

Home Runs:  Willy Adames (17)

RBI:  Christian Yelich (54)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (21)

Wins:  Corbin Burnes (9)

Saves:  Devin Williams (25)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Managers:

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (5th season)

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)