Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/01/2026

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jun 30, 2026
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, July 1, 2026
Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI 
Where to Watch:  ESPN, MLB TV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +135, Brewers -163; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +135, Brewers -165; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +135, Brewers -160; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Cincinnati Reds:  39-44 (5th place, NL Central)
Milwaukee Brewers:  51-31 (1st place, NL Central)

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Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds:  4-6 last 10
Milwaukee Brewers:  6-4 last 10



Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview and Analysis


The Reds are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-44 record overall and have a road record of 20-22. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Brewers on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. The Reds lost the series opener on Monday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .699 OPS. Rhett Lowder is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Andrew Abbott is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-4 with a 3.90 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 3 ER, 3 HR, and 1 BB with 6 SO on 6 hits through 5.1 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Brewers are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-31 record overall and have a home record of 27-17. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Reds on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Brewers won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .732 OPS. Brandon Sproat is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Shane Drohan is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 3-2 with a 3.12 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 walks with 5 strikeouts on 5 hits through 4.1 innings pitched against the Cincinnati Reds.


Reds vs Brewers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have looked great in their games this season with their 51-31 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL Central with one of the best records in MLB. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 27-17 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Reds haven't looked good in their games this season with their 39-44 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the NL Central. They haven't been a great road team either with their 20-22 road record this year. The Reds are 4-6 in their last 10 games and they have been starting to collapse lately after treading water for a lot of the season. The Brewers have been one of the best in MLB all season though and they are starting to get hot again, now 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Brewers are going with Drohan in this one and he has looked good this year. He is 3-2 with a 3.12 ERA and he has been having a great rookie year. His team has had some trouble lately, losing 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he gave up no runs in his last start and that has been a common theme for him. His last start was also against the Reds last week, so he is going to continue pitching well here against a Reds offense that has been up and down all season. The Reds are going with Abbott in this one and he hasn't looked bad this season. He is 5-4 with a 3.90 ERA, but lately he has been giving up more runs. The team has won 2 games in a row now with him starting, but he did give up 3 earned runs in his last start and the Brewers have one of the best pitching staffs in the league right now. All signs are pointing to the Brewers taking another game in this series and continuing to roll against a Reds team that has been in collapse. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game. 

Reds Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 1, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Brewers 4 Reds 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Cincinnati Reds: 198-210 (-8.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 53-72 (-19.8 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 106-115 (-12.8 units) on the moneyline vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse. 25-16 OVER in road games.

Milwaukee Brewers: 245-174 (+48.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 129-84 (+18.2 units) on the moneyline in home games. 149-91 (+19.5 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 32-14 OVER as a home favorite of -150 to -200.

Key Injuries


Cincinnati Reds:  D. Myers (CF) Day To Day - Body. E. Suarez (DH) Day To Day - Hand. B. Dunn (CF) Ten Day IL - Elbow. T. Santillan (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. G. Ashcraft (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. K. Hayes (3B) Ten Day IL - Back. E. Pagan (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Hamstring. B. Williamson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. H. Greene (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Milwaukee Brewers:  Q. Priester (SP) Sixty Day IL - Wrist. C. Crow (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. B. Fitzpatrick (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Rodriguez (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. D. Hall (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Pectoral. R. Zastryzny (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. A. Zerpa (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. L. Henderson (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. B. Lockridge (LF) Ten Day IL - Knee.


Notable Quotes


"We needed to get Petty through Vaughn. It wasn't working out as well as we obviously wanted it to. If we could get there, because they had pinch hit, I thought we had a chance. And then we opened it up for the righties for Antone, but it didn't work very well." - Terry Francona after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Monday. 


"I've seen a great attitude. I've seen having fun again. I've seen a kid that's accepted his role and looking forward to being a good Major League baseball player for a while." - Pat Murphy on Joey Ortiz after his team’s win against the Reds in their game on Monday. 


Starting Lineups


Cincinnati Reds
Elly De La Cruz (S) DH
Sal Stewart (R) 3B
Spencer Steer (R) 1B
JJ Bleday (L) LF
Dane Myers (R) CF
Noelvi Marte (R) RF
Tyler Stephenson (R) C
Matt McLain (R) SS
Edwin Arroyo (S) 2B

Milwaukee Brewers
Jackson Chourio (R) LF
Brice Turang (L) 2B
William Contreras (R) C
Andrew Vaughn (R) 1B
Gary Sánchez (R) DH
Blake Perkins (S) CF
Sal Frelick (L) RF
Cooper Pratt (R) SS
Joey Ortiz (R) 3B

Statistical Leaders


Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average:  Blake Dunn (.282)
Hits:  Sal Stewart (80)
Home Runs:  Sal Stewart (15)
RBI:  Sal Stewart (57)
Stolen Bases:  Sal Stewart (11)
Wins:  Chase Burns (9)
Saves:  Emilio Pagán (6)
ERA:  Caleb Ferguson (1.84)

Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  Andrew Vaughn (.339)
Hits:  William Contreras (89)
Home Runs:  Jake Bauers (14)
RBI:  William Contreras (50)
Stolen Bases:  David Hamilton (17)
Wins:  Aaron Ashby (11)
Saves:  Trevor Megill (11)
ERA:  Jared Koenig (0.00)

Managers:
Cincinnati Reds: Terry Francona (2nd season)
Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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