by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Saturday, Apr 16, 2022
Game Time: :10 pm ET, Sunday, April 17, 2022
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: Sportsnet LA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Reds +170, Dodgers -200; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Reds +170, Dodgers -200; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Reds +170, Dodgers -200; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Cincinnati Reds: 2-6 (5th place, NL Central)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 5-2 (1st place, NL West)
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Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds: 2-6 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 5-2 last 10
Cincinnati Reds Analysis
The Reds are coming into this game with a 2-6 record overall and they are 2-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one on a 4 game losing streak. They just lost their 2-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-0 and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Dodgers on Sunday night. This will be the 4th game of the series on Sunday with the 3rd game still to be played on Saturday. Rookie pitcher Hunter Greene is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Tyler Mahle will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 1-0 with a 1.00 ERA this season. His team won his first game this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits in 4 IP against the Cleveland Guardians. They scored 8 runs in their last series averaging 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 17 runs against them averaging 8.5 runs allowed per game.
Los Angeles Dodgers Analysis
The Dodgers are coming into this game with a 5-2 record overall and they are 2-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 4 game winning streak. They just won their 2-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-0 and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Reds on Sunday night. This will be the 4th game of the series on Sunday with the 3rd game still to be played on Saturday. Julio Urías is the starter for them on Saturday while Andrew Heaney will be throwing the first pitch for them here on Sunday. He is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season. His team won his first game with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 5 strikeouts on 3 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Minnesota Twins. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging 7 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 2 runs against them averaging 1 run allowed per game.
Reds vs Dodgers Prediction
The Reds are coming into this game as a massive underdog with the current betting odds. They have not been playing well at all in their recent games and they have already lost 2 games to the Dodgers making it impossible for them to win the series. They have played in 3 different series' already and have not won one yet but Mahle is on the mound for them here and he is the best pitcher on their team right now. He had a great first game and he gives his team the best chance of winning, especially against a team as strong as the Dodgers are. The Dodgers have been great this season so far and they have been playing very well in their last few games winning 4 straight but Heaney is starting here and he is not really one of their ace pitchers on this rotation and he might let this game slip with the Reds getting very hungry for a win after all these losses. This is the best pitching matchup for the Reds to steal a game from the Dodgers in this series and their lineup will likely struggle with how well Mahle has been pitching recently. The best bet in this game is on the Reds on the runline to keep this a closer game.
Reds Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Sunday, April 17, 2022 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Reds 3 Dodgers 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
Cincinnati Reds: 116-116 (-18.7u) ML in all games. 49-40 (-5.9u) ML when the total is 9 to 9.5. 20-11 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 172-82 (+25.8u) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 173-86 (+22.8u) ML in all games. 20-8 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5.
Key Injuries
Cincinnati Reds: J. India (2B) Ques Sat - Hamstring injury. L. Sims (RP) Late April - Elbow injury. M. Minor (SP) Late April - Shoulder injury.
Los Angeles Dodgers: C. Ferguson (RP) Early May - Elbow injury. T. Bauer (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. T. Kahnle (RP) Early May - Elbow injury.
Notable Quotes
"It was a nice welcome home for Freddie. That was their way of putting their arms around him. You could tell he was getting emotional. He kind of wears his emotions on his sleeve and I think our fans appreciate that." - Dave Roberts on his team’s win against the Reds on Thursday.
"That's as special as it gets right there. For the fans to be able to create a moment for me in the eighth inning is something I'll never forget." - Freddie Freeman after their win against the Reds on Thursday.
Starting Lineups
Cincinnati Reds
Jake Fraley (L) CF
Tyler Naquin (L) RF
Tommy Pham (R) DH
Joey Votto (L) 1B
Aristides Aquino (R) LF
Brandon Drury (R) 2B
Mike Moustakas (L) 3B
Kyle Farmer (R) SS
Aramis Garcia (R) C
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) RF
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Trea Turner (R) SS
Max Muncy (L) DH
Justin Turner (R) 3B
Will Smith (R) C
Cody Bellinger (L) CF
Chris Taylor (R) LF
Gavin Lux (L) 2B
Statistical Leaders
Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average: Tyler Naquin (.320)
Hits: Tyler Naquin (8)
Home Runs: Tyler Stephenson (2)
RBI: Tyler Stephenson (6)
Stolen Bases: Kyle Farmer (1)
Wins: Hunter Greene (1)
Saves: Tony Santillan (1)
ERA: Alexis Diaz (0.00)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Austin Barnes (.429)
Hits: Trea Turner (9)
Home Runs: Austin Barnes (2)
RBI: Will Smith (6)
Stolen Bases: Cody Bellinger ( 3)
Wins: Walker Buehler (1)
Saves: Craig Kimbrel (2)
ERA: Andrew Heaney (0.00)
Managers:
Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (4th season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (7th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
