Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/10/2025

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jun 09, 2025
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, June 10, 2025
Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  CLEGUARDIANS.tv


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds -110, Guardians -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds -110, Guardians -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds -110, Guardians -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Cincinnati Reds:  33-33 (4th place, NL Central)
Cleveland Guardians:  34-30 (3rd place, AL Central)

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Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds:  5-5 last 10
Cleveland Guardians:  5-5 last 10



Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians Preview and Analysis


The Reds are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 33-33 record overall and have a road record of 15-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .717 OPS. Wade Miley is their starting pitcher on Monday while Andrew Abbott is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-1 with a 2.18 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 7 hits through 6 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Guardians are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-30 record overall and have a home record of 18-13. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .683 OPS. Luis Ortiz is their starting pitcher on Monday while Slade Cecconi is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-2 with a 4.87 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 3 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings played against the New York Yankees.


Reds vs Guardians Prediction

The current betting odds have the Reds listed as a pick ‘em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Reds haven't looked great in their games this season with their 33-33 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the NL Central. They haven't been a good road team either with their 15-17 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Guardians have looked good in their games this season with their 34-30 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL Central. They have looked better in their own ballpark too with their 18-13 home record this season. Both of these teams are 5-5 in their last 10 games and haven't looked great lately, but the Guardians did lose their last series while the Reds won theirs and have some momentum on their side now. The Reds also have the much better pitching matchup in this one and they can take advantage of that. Abbott is on the mound for the Reds here and he has been lights out for most of the season. He is 5-1 with a 2.18 ERA and the team has been having success with him on the mound, winning 3 of the last 4 games he started in. He did give up 5 earned runs in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this season and he will be looking to bounce back in this game. The Guardians are going with Cecconi in this one and he hasn't looked that great this season. He is 1-2 with a 4.87 ERA and he has been giving up quite a few runs in his starts all year. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year and the Reds are coming into this series hot. The best way to place a bet here is on the Reds to win this game. 

Reds Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 10, 2025 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Reds 4 Guardians 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Cincinnati Reds: 107-125 (+17.3 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 96-97 (+21.4 units) on the moneyline in road games. 142-134 (+22.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 22-16 UNDER against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians: 53-59 (-10.3 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 60-60 (-7.2 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 14-26 (-11.3 units) on the moneyline vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better. 25-14 UNDER against NL Central opponents.

Key Injuries


Cincinnati Reds:  H. Greene (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Groin. R. Lowder (SP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. A. Hays (LF) Ten Day IL - Foot. C. Spiers (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. T. Callihan (LF) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. N. Marte (3B) Ten Day IL - Side. J. Candelario (3B) Ten Day IL - Back. B. Williamson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Aguiar (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Cleveland Guardians:  A. Walters (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. A. Hedges (C) Seven Day IL - Concussion. L. Thomas (CF) Ten Day IL - Foot. B. Lively (SP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. W. Brennan (RF) Ten Day IL - Forearm. P. Sewald (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. E. Sabrowski (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. T. Stephan (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Means (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. S. Hentges (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“Things like that really help. When you’ve got your teammates beating you on the back, telling you, ‘Way to go’, that goes a long way.” - Terry Francona after his team’s win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Sunday.


“Getting in a little ‘Guards Ball’ with the bunt and the throwaway. That looked like us.” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s win against the Astros in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Cincinnati Reds
TJ Friedl (L) CF
Gavin Lux (L) DH
Elly De La Cruz (S) SS
Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R) 3B
Will Benson (L) LF
Spencer Steer (R) 1B
Jose Trevino (R) C
Jake Fraley (L) RF
Matt McLain (R) 2B

Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) LF
Angel Martínez (S) CF
José Ramírez (S) 3B
David Fry (R) DH
Carlos Santana (S) 1B
Gabriel Arias (R) SS
Johnathan Rodríguez (R) RF
Bo Naylor (L) C
Will Wilson (R) 2B

Statistical Leaders


Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average:  Austin Wynns (.400)
Hits:  TJ Friedl (69)
Home Runs:  Elly De La Cruz (12)
RBI:  Elly De La Cruz (43)
Stolen Bases:  Elly De La Cruz (19)
Wins:  Brady Singer (6)
Saves:  Emilio Pagán (15)
ERA:  Joe La Sorsa (0.00)

Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  José Ramírez (.333)
Hits:  José Ramírez (78)
Home Runs:  José Ramírez (12)
RBI:  José Ramírez (31)
Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (18)
Wins:  Gavin Williams (5)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (14)
ERA:  Hunter Gaddis (1.40)

Managers:
Cincinnati Reds: Terry Francona (1st season)
Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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