Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/11/2026

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Aug 10, 2026
Game Time: 7:40 pm ET, Tuesday, August 11, 2026
Venue:  Rate Field, Chicago, IL
Where to Watch:  MLB TV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +135, White Sox -163; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +135, White Sox -165; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +135, White Sox -160; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Cincinnati Reds:  56-61 (5th place, NL Central)
Chicago White Sox:  61-56 (1st place, AL Central)

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Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds:  6-4 last 10
Chicago White Sox:  5-5 last 10



Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox Preview and Analysis


The Reds are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-61 record overall and have a road record of 27-30. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the White Sox on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .706 OPS. Brady Singer was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Nick Lodolo is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-2 with a 4.60 ERA this season. His team lost 6 of their last 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 4 SO on 5 hits through 5 IP against the Chicago Cubs.

The White Sox are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-56 record overall and have a home record of 36-22. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .722 OPS. Davis Martin was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Sean Burke is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-6 with a 3.08 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 walks with 4 strikeouts on 5 hits through 4.1 innings pitched against the Boston Red Sox.


Reds vs White Sox Prediction

The current betting odds have the White Sox listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The White Sox have looked good in their games this season with their 61-56 record overall which has them right at the top of the AL Central. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 36-22 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Reds haven't looked great in their games this season with their 56-61 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the NL Central. They haven't been a good road team either with their 27-30 road record this year. The Reds are 6-4 in their last 10 games and they have been hot lately, putting themselves right back in the Wild Card race, but they lost a lot of that momentum after getting swept by the Nationals over the weekend. The White Sox are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and have been up and down lately, but they just won a big divisional series at home and they are going to have the better pitching matchup in this one. The White Sox are going with Burke in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 7-6 with a 3.08 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs lately. The team has had some trouble with him lately, losing 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and that has been a common theme for him all year. The Reds are going with Lodolo in this one and he hasn't looked good this season. He is 3-2 with a 4.60 ERA and his team hasn't had a lot of success with him lately. The team has lost 6 of their last 7 games now with him starting and even though he only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, that hasn't been a common theme for him this year. Look for the White Sox to take advantage of this pitching matchup since they have the stronger offense to lean on too. The best way to place a bet here is on the White Sox to win this game. 

Reds White Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 11, 2026 (7:40 pm ET start time) is White Sox 6 Reds 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


Cincinnati Reds: 103-118 (+6.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. 23-31 (+9.1 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +150 or more. 165-161 (+10 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 10-5 OVER against AL Central opponents.

Chicago White Sox: 11-28 (-12.8 units) on the moneyline against NL Central opponents. 162-279 (-55.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 92-128 (-12 units) on the moneyline in home games. 23-13 OVER against NL Central opponents.

Key Injuries


Cincinnati Reds:  B. Dunn (CF) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. H. Greene (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. S. Steer (1B) Ten Day IL - Wrist. N. Lodolo (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Finger. T. Santillan (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. G. Ashcraft (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. B. Williamson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

Chicago White Sox:  C. Meidroth (2B) Day To Day - Wrist. C. Murphy (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Flexor. J. Bart (C) Ten Day IL - Hand. K. Teel (C) Ten Day IL - Ankle. J. Leasure (RP) Sixty Day IL - Flexor. T. Murray (LF) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. P. Berroa (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Baldwin (LF) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. M. Vasil (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. D. Thorpe (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. K. Bush (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“That’s a tough ask, because they’re not going to hit every game. It’s just the way it is. But when they don’t, it gets a little more glaring. They had a bullpen day today and I thought we kind of started chasing, trying to hit everything. They go fast, slow, fast, slow. And [we] started getting into that rocking chair where instead of being stubborn enough to sit on something, we tried to hit everything and kind of played into their hand.” - Terry Francona after his team’s loss against the Nationals in their game on Sunday. 


“You have these plans to get these young guys a nice soft landing spot. Second inning after a rain delay is not something that I think he's done before, and so a challenging situation. As his outing unfolded, he was challenged there in his second inning. It was a really good test for him, and obviously he came through.” - Will Venable after his team’s win against the Guardians in their game on Sunday. 


Starting Lineups


Cincinnati Reds
Elly De La Cruz (S) SS
Sal Stewart (R) 1B
JJ Bleday (L) LF
Tyler Stephenson (R) C
Eugenio Suárez (R) DH
Héctor Rodríguez (L) RF
Dane Myers (R) CF
Matt McLain (R) 2B
Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) 3B

Chicago White Sox
Brenton Doyle (R) CF
Munetaka Murakami (L) 1B
Miguel Vargas (R) 3B
Randal Grichuk (R) LF
Braden Montgomery (S) RF
Colson Montgomery (L) DH
Edgar Quero (S) C
Sam Antonacci (L) 2B
Luisangel Acuña (R) SS

Statistical Leaders


Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average:  Blake Dunn (.282)
Hits:  Sal Stewart (113)
Home Runs:  Sal Stewart (25)
RBI:  Sal Stewart (87)
Stolen Bases:  Elly De La Cruz (21)
Wins:  Chase Burns (13)
Saves:  Emilio Pagán (13)
ERA:  Chase Burns (2.61)

Chicago White Sox
Batting Average:  Brenton Doyle (.286)
Hits:  Chase Meidroth (114)
Home Runs:  Colson Montgomery (26)
RBI:  Colson Montgomery (68)
Stolen Bases:  Luisangel Acuña (16)
Wins:  Davis Martin (9)
Saves:  Seranthony Domínguez (12)
ERA:  Hagen Smith (0.00)

Managers:
Cincinnati Reds: Terry Francona (2nd season)
Chicago White Sox: Will Venable (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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