Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/30/2022

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Jun 29, 2022
Game Time: 8:05 pm ET, Thursday, June 30, 2022
Venue:  Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Where to Watch:  MARQ

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +105, Cubs -125; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +105, Cubs -125; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +100, Cubs -120; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
 

Season Record

Cincinnati Reds:  26-47 (5th place, NL Central)
Chicago Cubs:  28-46 (4th place, NL Central)
 
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Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds:  3-7 last 10
Chicago Cubs:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Preview and Analysis

 
The Reds enter this game on a 2 game winning streak. They won their last series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 26-47 record overall and have a road record of 14-24. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Cubs on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .690 OPS. Rookie pitcher Hunter Greene is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while rookie pitcher Graham Ashcraft will be making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 4-1 with a 3.27 ERA this season. His team won 6 of their 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 8 strikeouts on 6 hits through 8 innings played against the San Francisco Giants. 
 
The Cubs have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are entering this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the St. Louis Cardinals 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 28-46 record overall and have a home record of 13-26. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .711 OPS. Justin Steele is on the mound on Wednesday while Kyle Hendricks will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Thursday. He is 3-6 with a 4.90 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 5 hits through 7.1 IP against the St. Louis Cardinals. 

 

Reds vs Cubs Prediction

The current betting odds have the Reds listed as a slight underdog in this game. They have not been a very good team this season with one of the worst records in the MLB but they have been playing much better recently and have been scoring a lot of runs in their games. They just won a series on the road against the Giants where they scored a bunch of runs in those games and they already took the series opener here. They have a rookie on the mound here but Ashcraft has been pitching very well in his starts this season and the team has been having a lot of success winning games with him starting. The Cubs have Hendricks starting here and he has been in the league for a while now but has not been pitching too well over the last few seasons. He is having another bad season where he is consistently allowing runs in their games and he has already been credited with quite a few losses as well. The best way to place a bet here is on the Reds with this pitching matchup considering their bats have also been hotter recently.
 
Reds Cubs Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 30, 2022 (8:05 pm ET start time) is Reds 4 Cubs 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Cincinnati Reds: 32-31 (+8.8 Units) ML as a road underdog of +100 to +150. 31-20 OVER against right-handed starters. 16-11 OVER against division opponents.
Chicago Cubs: 133-165 (-29.1 Units) ML in all games. 69-83 (-22.8 Units) ML in home games. 11-7 OVER when the money line is -100 to -150.
 

Key Injuries

 
Cincinnati Reds:  T. Naquin (CF) Early July - Quadricep. A. Aquino (RF) Late July - Ankle. J. Fraley (CF) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Chicago Cubs:  S. Suzuki (LF) Early July - Finger. F. Schwindel (1B) Out indefinitely - Back. N. Madrigal (2B) Out indefinitely - Groin.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"He just stayed after it. It just says so much about Luis." - David Bell after his team’s win against the Cubs on Tuesday.
 
 
"I felt good tonight. But late, I got maybe a little tired there. But I got to find a way to dig down and make those pitches there at the end and get through that inning." - Keegan Thompson after their loss against the Reds on Tuesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Cincinnati Reds
Jonathan India (R) 2B
Brandon Drury (R) 3B
Donovan Solano (R) DH
Joey Votto (L) 1B
Kyle Farmer (R) SS
Max Schrock (L) LF
Albert Almora Jr. (R) RF
Nick Senzel (R) CF
Aramis Garcia (R) C
 
Chicago Cubs
Christopher Morel (R) CF
Rafael Ortega (L) RF
Willson Contreras (R) DH
Ian Happ (S) LF
Patrick Wisdom (R) 3B
Nico Hoerner (R) SS
Yan Gomes (R) C
Alfonso Rivas (L) 1B
David Bote (R) 2B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average:  Donovan Solano (.381)
Hits:  Brandon Drury (66)
Home Runs:  Brandon Drury (15)
RBI:  Brandon Drury (39)
Stolen Bases:  TJ Friedl (5)
Wins:  Graham Ashcraft (4)
Saves:  Tony Santillan (4)
ERA:  Connor Overton (1.82)
 
Chicago Cubs
Batting Average:  Nelson Velazquez (.353)
Hits:  Ian Happ (68)
Home Runs:  Patrick Wisdom (14)
RBI:  Patrick Wisdom (37)
Stolen Bases:  Christopher Morel (7)
Wins:  Keegan Thompson (7)
Saves:  David Robertson (9)
ERA:  Conner Menez (0.00)
 
Managers:
Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (4th season)
Chicago Cubs: David Ross (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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