by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jun 28, 2022
Game Time: 8:05 pm ET, Wednesday, June 29, 2022
Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Where to Watch: MARQ
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Reds +120, Cubs -140; Over/Under: 8 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Reds +115, Cubs -135; Over/Under: 8 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Reds +110, Cubs -135; Over/Under: 8 runs
Season Record
Cincinnati Reds: 25-47 (5th place, NL Central)
Chicago Cubs: 28-45 (4th place, NL Central)
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Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds: 2-8 last 10
Chicago Cubs: 5-5 last 10
Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Preview and Analysis
The Reds have won 2 of their last 3 games and are entering this game off of a win. They won their last series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 25-47 record overall and have a road record of 13-24. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Cubs on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .688 OPS. Luis Castillo is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Hunter Greene will be making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 3-8 with a 5.66 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 3 homers, and 2 BB with 3 strikeouts on 9 hits through 5 innings played against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
The Cubs have won 2 of their last 3 games and are entering this game off of a win. They won their last series against the St. Louis Cardinals 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 28-45 record overall and have a home record of 13-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Wednesday with the 1st game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .711 OPS. Keegan Thompson is on the mound on Tuesday while Justin Steele will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Wednesday. He is 2-5 with a 4.59 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 2 HRs, and 0 BB with 8 Ks on 7 hits through 5.2 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Reds vs Cubs Prediction
The current betting odds have the Cubs listed a favorite in this game. Neither of these teams have been having a good season as they are both near the bottom of the standings. The Reds have a rookie pitcher starting in this game while the Cubs have a more experienced pitcher but both have been very bad this season posting similar numbers in their starts. They are both coming off of bad starts where they each allowed 5 runs or more and both of the offenses on these two teams have been hitting the ball much better in their last series. A good play for this game would be on the over here considering how bad both of these pitchers have been and how well the offenses are starting to produce runs recently. As for a side, the Cubs have the more experienced pitcher on the mound who has been slightly better this season and their offense also ranks a lot higher than the Reds do. The best way to place a bet here would be on the over and on the Cubs to win this game.
Reds Cubs Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 29, 2022 (8:05 pm ET start time) is Cubs 8 Reds 6.
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MLB Betting Trends
Cincinnati Reds: 28-32 (+8.8 Units) ML as an underdog of +125 to +175. 16-9 OVER as an underdog of +125 to +175. 16-10 OVER against division opponents.
Chicago Cubs: 133-164 (-27.9 Units) ML in all games. 69-82 (-21.5 Units) ML in home games. 11-6 OVER when the money line is -100 to -150.
Key Injuries
Cincinnati Reds: T. Naquin (CF) Early July - Quadricep. A. Aquino (RF) Late July - Ankle. J. Fraley (CF) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Chicago Cubs: S. Suzuki (LF) Early July - Finger. F. Schwindel (1B) Out indefinitely - Back. N. Madrigal (2B) Out indefinitely - Groin.
Notable Quotes
"Great inning, maybe one of the best innings of the year if not the best inning. It's tough to do all that with two outs. At that point DeSclafani was definitely rolling, getting a lot of groundball outs. Sometimes one little thing that shifts everything around." - David Bell after his team’s win against the Giants on Sunday.
"He didn't get frustrated. He locked it back in." - David Ross on Contreras after his team’s win against the Cardinals on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Cincinnati Reds
Max Schrock (L) DH
Brandon Drury (R) 3B
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Joey Votto (L) 1B
Donovan Solano (R) 2B
Matt Reynolds (R) SS
Albert Almora Jr. (R) RF
Nick Senzel (R) CF
Aramis Garcia (R) C
Chicago Cubs
Christopher Morel (R) CF
Rafael Ortega (L) RF
Willson Contreras (R) DH
Ian Happ (S) LF
Patrick Wisdom (R) 3B
Nico Hoerner (R) SS
Yan Gomes (R) C
Alfonso Rivas (L) 1B
David Bote (R) 2B
Statistical Leaders
Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average: Donovan Solano (.375)
Hits: Brandon Drury (64)
Home Runs: Brandon Drury (15)
RBI: Brandon Drury (38)
Stolen Bases: TJ Friedl (5)
Wins: Graham Ashcraft (4)
Saves: Tony Santillan (4)
ERA: Connor Overton (1.82)
Chicago Cubs
Batting Average: Nelson Velazquez (.353)
Hits: Ian Happ (68)
Home Runs: Patrick Wisdom (14)
RBI: Patrick Wisdom (37)
Stolen Bases: Christopher Morel (7)
Wins: Keegan Thompson (7)
Saves: David Robertson (9)
ERA: Conner Menez (0.00)
Managers:
Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (4th season)
Chicago Cubs: David Ross (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
