Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/28/2022

Game Time: 8:05 pm ET, Tuesday, June 28, 2022

Venue:  Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL

Where to Watch:  MARQ

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds -110, Cubs -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +100, Cubs -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds -110, Cubs -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

 

Cincinnati Reds:  25-47 (5th place, NL Central)

Chicago Cubs:  28-45 (4th place, NL Central)

 

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Cincinnati Reds:  2-8 last 10

Chicago Cubs:  5-5 last 10

 

 

 

 

The Reds have won 2 of their last 3 games and are entering this game off of a win. They won their last series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 25-47 record overall and have a road record of 13-24. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Cubs on Tuesday and they had Monday off as a rest day. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .688 OPS. Tyler Mahle was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Luis Castillo will be making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-4 with a 3.71 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 6 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings played against the Los Angeles Dodgers. 

 

The Cubs have won 2 of their last 3 games and are entering this game off of a win. They won their last series against the St. Louis Cardinals 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 28-45 record overall and have a home record of 13-25. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Reds on Tuesday and they had Monday off as a rest day. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .711 OPS. Alec Mills was on the mound on Sunday while Keegan Thompson will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-2 with a 3.10 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates. 

The current betting odds have the Cubs listed as a slight favorite here. They have been gaining some steam recently with a series win over the Cardinals in their last. The Reds have also been heating up though as they just won their last series against the Giants. The Cubs have been playing well despite being on a road trip but now they are starting a homestand here and should perform better over the next few games. Castillo is starting for the Reds here and he has been good this season but the Cubs have Thompson getting the nod here and he leads his pitching staff in wins this season. Both of these starters have been having good seasons but the offenses of both teams have not been very good. The under might be a good look in this game due to the solid starters here along with the bad batting on both sides. As for a side, the Cubs have the slight advantage with their batting and their pitcher has been solid all season, they have a little bit of an edge here at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the under or on the Cubs to win here.

 

Reds Cubs Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 28, 2022 (8:05 pm ET start time) is Cubs 4 Reds 2.

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Cincinnati Reds: 31-31 (+7.7 Units) ML as a road underdog of +100 to +150. 16-10 (+5.9 Units) ML after scoring 10 runs or more. 12-7 OVER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse.

Chicago Cubs: 133-164 (-27.9 Units) ML in all games. 69-82 (-21.5 Units) ML in home games. 11-6 OVER when the money line is -100 to -150.

 

 

Cincinnati Reds:  T. Naquin (CF) Early July - Quadricep. A. Aquino (RF) Late July - Ankle. J. Fraley (CF) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Chicago Cubs:  S. Suzuki (LF) Early July - Finger. F. Schwindel (1B) Out indefinitely - Back. N. Madrigal (2B) Out indefinitely - Groin.

 

 

 

"Great inning, maybe one of the best innings of the year if not the best inning. It's tough to do all that with two outs. At that point DeSclafani was definitely rolling, getting a lot of groundball outs. Sometimes one little thing that shifts everything around." - David Bell after his team’s win against the Giants on Sunday.

 

 

"He didn't get frustrated. He locked it back in." - David Ross on Contreras after his team’s win against the Cardinals on Sunday.

 

 

 

Max Schrock (L) DH

Brandon Drury (R) 3B

Tommy Pham (R) LF

Joey Votto (L) 1B

Donovan Solano (R) 2B

Matt Reynolds (R) SS

Albert Almora Jr. (R) RF

Nick Senzel (R) CF

Aramis Garcia (R) C

 

Christopher Morel (R) CF

Rafael Ortega (L) RF

Willson Contreras (R) DH

Ian Happ (S) LF

Patrick Wisdom (R) 3B

Nico Hoerner (R) SS

Yan Gomes (R) C

Alfonso Rivas (L) 1B

David Bote (R) 2B

 

 

Batting Average:  Donovan Solano (.375)

Hits:  Brandon Drury (64)

Home Runs:  Brandon Drury (15)

RBI:  Brandon Drury (38)

Stolen Bases:  TJ Friedl (5)

Wins:  Graham Ashcraft (4)

Saves:  Tony Santillan (4)

ERA:  Connor Overton (1.82)

 

Batting Average:  Nelson Velazquez (.353)

Hits:  Ian Happ (68)

Home Runs:  Patrick Wisdom (14)

RBI:  Patrick Wisdom (37)

Stolen Bases:  Christopher Morel (7)

Wins:  Keegan Thompson (7)

Saves:  David Robertson (9)

ERA:  Conner Menez (0.00)

 

Managers:

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (4th season)

Chicago Cubs: David Ross (3rd season)