Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/28/2023

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Wednesday, June 28, 2023

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  MASN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +155, Orioles -180; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +155, Orioles -180; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +155, Orioles -180; Over/Under:  9 runs

Cincinnati Reds:  41-38 (2nd place, NL Central)

Baltimore Orioles:  48-29 (2nd place, AL East)

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Cincinnati Reds:  7-3 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10

The Reds are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-38 record overall and have a road record of 20-18. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also lost the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .746 OPS. Rookie pitcher Andrew Abbott is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Luke Weaver is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 1-2 with a 6.86 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 7 hits through 3.1 IP against the Atlanta Braves.

The Orioles are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-29 record overall and have a home record of 25-14. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .749 OPS. Tyler Wells is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Kyle Gibson is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 8-5 with a 4.30 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 4 strikeouts on 7 hits through 3 innings played against the Seattle Mariners.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have been rolling all season with one of the best records in the MLB and also one of the best offenses as they are in 2nd place of the AL East, trailing the Rays who have the best record in the MLB. The Reds have also been red hot lately as they were on a huge winning streak just over a week ago, but the Braves really put a damper on that in their last series and now the Reds are starting to cool off once again. Their offense has been good lately but their pitching has been really bad and it doesn't help that they have Weaver on the mound here. Weaver has been terrible this season, giving up a ton of runs in all of his starts and even gave up 5 runs in his last start too. The Orioles are going with Gibson in this game and he is also coming off a bad start in his last one but he will be looking to bounce back at home here and he has been a really reliable starter for them this year as he does lead the rotation in wins. Gibson will have a much better performance at home here while Weaver will continue to struggle on the road and give up a ton of runs like he has been doing in his starts all season. The Orioles also have a really strong offense that has been putting up a ton of runs lately and they will get after Weaver in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game and on the runline. 

Reds Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 28, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 7 Reds 4.

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Cincinnati Reds: 186-217 (-14.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 69-72 (-11.8 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 23-15 OVER in road games. 11-6 OVER as a road underdog of +150 or more.

Baltimore Orioles: 48-29 (+20.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 29-7 (+18.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. KYLE GIBSON is 24-15 OVER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 and 23-16 OVER as a favorite of -150 or more.

Cincinnati Reds:  B. Lively (RP) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. T. Santillan (SP) Early July - Back. J. Dunn (SP) Early July - Shoulder. R. Sanmartin (SP) Early July - Elbow. C. Legumina (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. H. Greene (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. N. Lodolo (SP) Early Aug - Calf. C. Overton (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. Law (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. V. Gutierrez (SP) Mid July - Elbow. T. Antone (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  M. Givens (RP) Early July - Shoulder. J. McCann (C) Early July - Ankle. A. Voth (SP) Early July - Elbow. R. Mountcastle (1B) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

“There wasn't anything on the radar, but the storms kept popping up. So it's really tough to predict that. Once you get going, you're trying to keep it going because you don't want to lose the starting pitchers. So I think everyone did as good a job as they possibly could.” - David Bell after his team’s loss against the Orioles in their game on Monday.

“I'm sure he's done it quite a few times. He nailed it right there. Shows he's comfortable and confident in himself.” - Austin Hays on Jordan Westburg after their win against the Reds in their game on Monday.

Kevin Newman (R) 1B

Matt McLain (R) SS

Jonathan India (R) 2B

Elly De La Cruz (S) 3B

Spencer Steer (R) LF

Nick Senzel (R) RF

Tyler Stephenson (R) DH

TJ Friedl (L) CF

Curt Casali (R) C

Austin Hays (R) DH

Adley Rutschman (S) C

Anthony Santander (S) 1B

Aaron Hicks (S) RF

Ramon Urias (R) 3B

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Jordan Westburg (R) 2B

Ryan McKenna (R) LF

Jorge Mateo (R) SS

Batting Average:  Matt McLain (.317)

Hits:  Jonathan India (79)

Home Runs:  Spencer Steer (12)

RBI:  Jake Fraley (47)

Stolen Bases:  Jake Fraley (12)

Wins:  Ian Gibaut (8)

Saves:  Alexis Diaz (21)

ERA:  Ricky Karcher (0.00)

Batting Average:  Austin Hays (.319)

Hits:  Austin Hays (84)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (14)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (47)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (21)

Wins:  Kyle Gibson (8)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (21)

ERA:  Yennier Cano (0.95)

Managers:

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (5th season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)