Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/27/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jun 26, 2023
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, June 27, 2023
Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  MASN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +120, Orioles -140; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +120, Orioles -140; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +120, Orioles -140; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

Cincinnati Reds:  41-37 (1st place, NL Central)
Baltimore Orioles:  47-29 (2nd place, AL East)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Sean Murphy is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB: 69-50 ($12.1K) this season! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.


Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds:  8-2 last 10
Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10



Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis


The Reds are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-37 record overall and have a road record of 20-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .748 OPS. Rookie pitcher Brandon Williamson is their starting pitcher on Monday while rookie pitcher Andrew Abbott is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-0 with a 1.14 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 3 HR, and 0 BB with 10 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Colorado Rockies.

The Orioles are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 47-29 record overall and have a home record of 24-14. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .746 OPS. Cole Irvin is their starting pitcher on Monday while Tyler Wells is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 6-3 with a 3.22 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers, and 3 BB with 6 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.


Reds vs Orioles Prediction

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have been having a great season this year, they are only 2nd place in their division as they trail the Rays but they do have one of the best records in the entire MLB and also have a really good offense too. The Orioles can definitely put up a ton of runs when they need to and they are going to get plenty of scoring opportunities in this game. The Reds have also been really hot lately as they have been winning a lot of their games but they have been winning most of those games with a great offense since their pitching has been so bad and they have still been giving up a ton of runs in their wins. They have a rookie starting in this game and Abbott has been really good in his few starts this season, but he did give up 3 runs in his last start and he is going to get himself into trouble on the road against this kind of strong offense that the Orioles have. The Orioles haven't been pitching great this season either but their bullpen has been better lately and they do have Wells on the mound who has been a solid starter all season. Wells did give up 4 runs in his last start but that was against the Rays who have the best record and one of the best offenses in the league, he will be looking to bounce back at home here and will have a much better outing with plenty of run support behind him too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Reds Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 27, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 5 Reds 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


Cincinnati Reds: 186-216 (-13.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 69-72 (-11.8 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 17-8 UNDER against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles: 47-29 (+19.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 28-7 (+17.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 34-17 UNDER in an inter-league game. 13-6 UNDER against NL Central opponents.

Key Injuries


Cincinnati Reds:  B. Lively (RP) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. T. Santillan (SP) Early July - Back. J. Dunn (SP) Early July - Shoulder. R. Sanmartin (SP) Early July - Elbow. C. Legumina (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. H. Greene (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. N. Lodolo (SP) Early Aug - Calf. C. Overton (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. Law (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. V. Gutierrez (SP) Mid July - Elbow. T. Antone (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  M. Givens (RP) Early July - Shoulder. J. McCann (C) Out indefinitely - Ankle. A. Voth (SP) Early July - Elbow. R. Mountcastle (1B) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“Games like that, when you lose them are, it’s hard to swallow. Because you fight back so hard. Honestly this team does it more than any team I’ve ever been around.” - David Bell after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Sunday.


“It's not football, where it's once a week and you're getting blown out. Things happen in a game, and sometimes you get beat by a lot of runs. Our guys, and major league players in general, don't really let that carry over.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Mariners in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Cincinnati Reds
TJ Friedl (L) CF
Matt McLain (R) 2B
Spencer Steer (R) 1B
Elly De La Cruz (S) SS
Jake Fraley (L) RF
Joey Votto (L) DH
Will Benson (L) LF
Tyler Stephenson (R) C
Nick Senzel (R) 3B

Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Gunnar Henderson (L) 3B
Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B
Austin Hays (R) LF
Aaron Hicks (S) DH
Adam Frazier (L) 2B
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
Anthony Bemboom (L) C

Statistical Leaders


Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average:  Elly De La Cruz (.333)
Hits:  Jonathan India (78)
Home Runs:  Jake Fraley (11)
RBI:  Jake Fraley (47)
Stolen Bases:  Jake Fraley (12)
Wins:  Ian Gibaut (8)
Saves:  Alexis Diaz (21)
ERA:  Ricky Karcher (0.00)

Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Austin Hays (.318)
Hits:  Austin Hays (82)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (14)
RBI:  Anthony Santander (47)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (21)
Wins:  Kyle Gibson (8)
Saves:  Felix Bautista (21)
ERA:  Yennier Cano (0.95)

Managers:
Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (5th season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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