Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/26/2023

by Rod Pearson

Sunday, Jun 25, 2023
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Monday, June 26, 2023
Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  MASN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +130, Orioles -150; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +130, Orioles -150; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +130, Orioles -150; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

Cincinnati Reds:  41-36 (1st place, NL Central)
Baltimore Orioles:  46-29 (2nd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds:  9-1 last 10
Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10



Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis


The Reds are entering this game off of a loss in their last game but completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-36 record overall and have a road record of 20-17. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Atlanta Braves still to be played on Sunday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .746 OPS. Rookie pitcher Levi Stoudt is their starting pitcher on Sunday while rookie pitcher Brandon Williamson is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 1-0 with a 5.40 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Colorado Rockies.

The Orioles are entering this game off of a win in their last game and split their 2-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 1-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-29 record overall and have a home record of 23-14. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Monday with the 3rd game of their series against the Seattle Mariners still to be played on Sunday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .746 OPS. Kyle Bradish is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Cole Irvin is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 1-3 with a 7.71 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 3 homers, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 5 hits through 4 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.


Reds vs Orioles Prediction

The current betting odds have the Reds listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Reds finally had their long winning streak ended on Saturday by the Braves but the Reds are still leading the NL Central and have been really hot over the last 2 weeks. The Orioles have been having a great season all year as they are in 2nd place of the AL East but actually have a better overall record than the Reds do. The Reds have been really hot though and they have been winning a lot of games with their offense as they keep putting up a ton of runs game after game. The Orioles also have a good offense but they have Irvin starting in this game and he has been really shaky in his starts this season. Irvin has had a few performances this year where he was blown up by the other team's offense and with the Reds being so hot lately, he has a lot of potential to implode on the mound here. The Reds are going with a rookie starter in this game and he hasn't been great this season but he hasn't been giving up a ton of runs in his starts either and he will do enough to keep his team in this game while the offense carries the load here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Reds to win this game.

Reds Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, June 26, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Reds 7 Orioles 5.
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MLB Betting Trends


Cincinnati Reds: 186-215 (-12.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 69-72 (-11.8 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 17-8 UNDER against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles: 46-29 (+18.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 28-7 (+17.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 34-17 UNDER in an inter-league game. 13-7 UNDER against NL Central opponents.

Key Injuries


Cincinnati Reds:  B. Lively (RP) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. T. Santillan (SP) Early July - Back. J. Dunn (SP) Early July - Shoulder. R. Sanmartin (SP) Early July - Elbow. C. Legumina (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. H. Greene (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. N. Lodolo (SP) Early Aug - Calf. C. Overton (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. Law (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. V. Gutierrez (SP) Mid July - Elbow. T. Antone (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  M. Givens (RP) Early July - Shoulder. J. McCann (C) Out indefinitely - Ankle. A. Voth (SP) Early July - Elbow. R. Mountcastle (1B) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“It was quite a streak. It went on for a while so we didn't get used to it and that’s a good thing. It was a great streak. We all appreciate what we were able to accomplish against good teams and we learned a lot about ourselves and we became a better team. We became stronger. But as appreciative of the streak as we are, everything who we are and what we have in our clubhouse does not go away.” - David Bell after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Saturday.


“Just sticking to a good routine. Talking to a lot of guys that do play every day and seeing what they do and soaking it all in.” - Ryan McKenna after their win against the Mariners in their game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Cincinnati Reds
TJ Friedl (L) CF
Matt McLain (R) 2B
Spencer Steer (R) 1B
Elly De La Cruz (S) SS
Jake Fraley (L) RF
Joey Votto (L) DH
Will Benson (L) LF
Tyler Stephenson (R) C
Nick Senzel (R) 3B

Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Gunnar Henderson (L) 3B
Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B
Austin Hays (R) LF
Aaron Hicks (S) DH
Adam Frazier (L) 2B
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
Anthony Bemboom (L) C

Statistical Leaders


Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average:  Elly De La Cruz (.359)
Hits:  Jonathan India (77)
Home Runs:  Jake Fraley (11)
RBI:  Jake Fraley (47)
Stolen Bases:  Jake Fraley (12)
Wins:  Ian Gibaut (8)
Saves:  Alexis Diaz (21)
ERA:  Ricky Karcher (0.00)

Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Ryan O'Hearn (.327)
Hits:  Austin Hays (81)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (13)
RBI:  Anthony Santander (45)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (20)
Wins:  Kyle Gibson (8)
Saves:  Felix Bautista (20)
ERA:  Yennier Cano (0.95)

Managers:
Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (5th season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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