by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 15, 2024
Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, November 17, 2024
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Where to Watch: NBC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bengals +1.5, Chargers -1.5; Over/Under: 48 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bengals +1.5, Chargers -1.5; Over/Under: 48 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bengals +1.5, Chargers -1.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Season Record
Cincinnati Bengals: 4-6 (3rd place, AFC North)
Los Angeles Chargers: 6-3 (2nd place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Cincinnati Bengals: lost their last game on the road against the Baltimore Ravens 35-34.
Los Angeles Chargers: won their last game at home against the Tennessee Titans 27-17.
Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Chargers Preview and Analysis
The Bengals are entering this game with a 4-6 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-4 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 35-34. Joe Burrow was the starting QB and he completed 34/56 passes for 428 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Chase Brown led the team in rushing yards with 42 and 1 TD. Ja'Marr Chase led the receivers with 264 receiving yards on 11 receptions and 3 TDs. Germaine Pratt led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Chargers are entering this game with a 6-3 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 27-17. Justin Herbert was the starting QB and he completed 14/18 passes for 164 passing yards, 1 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Gus Edwards led the team in rushing yards with 55. Ladd McConkey led the receivers with 52 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Daiyan Henley led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Bud Dupree and Tuli Tuipulotu each led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Bengals vs Chargers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Chargers listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chargers have looked good in their games this season with their 6-3 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AFC West and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They have looked better in their home games this year with their 3-1 home record and they have one of the best defenses in the NFL too. Meanwhile, the Bengals haven't looked great in their games this season with their 4-6 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AFC North and struggling to even get into playoff contention. They are coming off another tough loss in their last one, losing by 1 point to the Ravens in a divisional game, but this game won't be an easier with the Chargers not giving up many points all season. Their offense hasn't looked great this year, but they have looked a lot better in their games lately and they will be able to move the ball at home with the way the Bengals defense has been giving up points and yards all season. The Bengals do have one of the best offenses in the NFL, but the Chargers have the defense to slow them down here, just like how the Bengals struggled against a better Eagles defense a few weeks ago. Harbaugh has flipped the Chargers on its head since getting there this season but they are turning things around and at this point in the season, they are more of a playoff threat than the Bengals with that defense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chargers to cover the spread in this game.
Bengals Chargers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 17, 2024 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Chargers 20 Bengals 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Cincinnati Bengals: 16-8 ATS in road games. 11-5 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 10-2 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 7-4 UNDER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 3-0 UNDER against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better.
Los Angeles Chargers: 3-6 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 4-8 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 5-9 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 yards/play or more. 27-15 UNDER in all games. 13-7 UNDER in home games. 11-5 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record.
Key Injuries
Cincinnati Bengals: A. Cappa (G) Injured - Illness. T. Hendrickson (DE) Injured - Neck. J. Bachie (LB) Injured - Hip. L. Wilson (LB) Injured - Quadricep. B. Hill (DT) Injured - Knee. C. Jones (WR) Injured - Groin. O. Brown (OT) Injured - Knee. J. Burrow (QB) Injured - Wrist. T. Higgins (WR) Injured - Quadricep.
Los Angeles Chargers: J. Dobbins (RB) Injured - Rest. H. Hurst (TE) Injured - Non-Injury. D. Henley (LB) Injured - Illness. D. Leonard (DB) Injured - Hamstring. G. Edwards (RB) Injured - Ankle. T. Pipkins (T) Injured - Ankle. J. Bosa (OLB) Injured - Hip. K. Mack (OLB) Injured - Groin. K. Fulton (CB) Injured - Hamstring. S. Smartt (TE) Injured - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“We had our opportunity. We got down there, went for two and just didn’t work out for us. This team is going to continue to put us in good positions, and there’s going to be a point in the season where that turns.” - Zac Taylor after his team’s loss against the Ravens in their last game.
“A complete, total team win. When you look at the offense, the drives that we put together ... tough, gritty type of conversions on third down and fourth down. They’re playing lights out on the defensive side. And then special teams, another big return by our punt return unit.” - Jim Harbaugh after his team’s win against the Titans in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Cincinnati Bengals
WR Chase, Ja'Marr
WR Burton, Jermaine
WR Iosivas, Andrei
TE Gesicki, Mike
QB Burrow, Joe
RB Brown, Chase
Los Angeles Chargers
WR Johnston, Quentin
WR Palmer, Joshua
WR McConkey, Ladd
TE Dissly, Will
QB Herbert, Justin
RB Dobbins, J.K
FB Matlock, Scott
Statistical Leaders
Cincinnati Bengals
Passing: J. Burrow (2672)
Rushing: C. Brown (521)
Receiving: J. Chase (981)
Touchdowns: J. Chase (10)
Los Angeles Chargers
Passing: J. Herbert (1889)
Rushing: J. Dobbins (670)
Receiving: L. McConkey (492)
Touchdowns: J. Dobbins (6)
Coaches:
Cincinnati Bengals: Zac Taylor (6th season)
Los Angeles Chargers: Jim Harbaugh (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
