Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/31/2023

Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, December 31, 2023

Venue:  GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bengals +6.5, Chiefs -6.5; Over/Under:  44 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bengals +6.5, Chiefs -6.5; Over/Under:  44 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bengals +7.5, Chiefs -7.5; Over/Under:  44 points

Cincinnati Bengals:  8-7 (4th place, AFC North)

Kansas City Chiefs:  9-6 (1st place, AFC West)

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Cincinnati Bengals:  lost their last game on the road against the Pittsburgh Steelers 34-11.

Kansas City Chiefs:  lost their last game at home against the Las Vegas Raiders 20-14.

The Bengals are entering this game with an 8-7 record overall and they have a 0-5 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-3 in their home games, 3-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 34-11. Jake Browning was the starting QB and he completed 28/42 passes for 335 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 3 interceptions. Joe Mixon led the team in rushing yards with 43. Tee Higgins led the receivers with 140 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Jordan Battle led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Trey Hendrickson led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Chiefs are entering this game with a 9-6 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-4 in their home games, 5-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost 

their last game against the Las Vegas Raiders 20-14. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 27/44 passes for 235 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Patrick Mahomes led the team in rushing yards with 53. Rashee Rice led the receivers with 57 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Nick Bolton led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Chris Jones and Charles Omenihu each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs have looked good in their games this season with their 9-6 record overall but they had a very strong start to the season and haven't looked as good in their games lately. They are only 3-4 in their home games this year and just lost at home to the Raiders last week. The Chiefs have not been at their best over the last few weeks but this is a good situation for them to bounce back in since they still need a win to clinch the AFC West and they are going to be motivated to do so at home. Meanwhile, the Bengals have also looked good in their games this season with their 8-7 record overall which has them right in the AFC Wild Card race, but now the injuries are really starting to affect them negatively. The Bengals already lost their starting QB Joe Burrow earlier this season and have managed to keep it together since then but now they are coming off a bad loss against the Steelers last week and were missing Chase in that game too. Now they are playing their 2nd road game in a row against an angry Chiefs team looking to bounce back and silence the critics about the way they have performed over the last month. The Chiefs bounce back in this home game against a Bengals team limping to the finish line. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game. 

Bengals Chiefs Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 31, 2023 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 27 Bengals 14.

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Cincinnati Bengals: 34-20 ATS in all games. 12-4 ATS as a road underdog. 6-2 ATS against AFC West division opponents. 17-6 UNDER as an underdog. 18-10 UNDER in road games. 14-7 UNDER off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. 

Kansas City Chiefs: 1-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. 1-7 ATS after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. 10-5 UNDER in all games. 20-9 UNDER in home games. 29-18 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points. 

Cincinnati Bengals:  M. Wilcox (TE) Prob Sun - Foot. C. Taylor-Britt (CB) Prob Sun - Ankle. C. Sample (DE) Prob Sun - Knee. J. Davis (CB) Ques Sun - Groin. J. Chase (WR) Ques Sun - Shoulder. D. Smith (T) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Ivey (CB) I-R - Knee. D. Reader (DT) I-R - Quadricep. J. Burrow (QB) I-R - Wrist. T. Anderson (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Cochran (T) I-R - Knee. D. Maxwell (DT) I-R - Knee.

Kansas City Chiefs:  T. Smith (G) Prob Sun - Ankle. J. Watson (CB) Prob Sun - Illness. D. Smith (OT) Out Sun - Neck. K. Toney (WR) Out Sun - Hip. C. Edwards-Helaire (RB) Ques Sun - Illness. J. Williams (CB) Prob Sun - Neck. C. Omenihu (DE) Prob Sun - Groin. T. McDuffie (CB) Prob Sun - Shoulder. M. Edwards (S) Prob Sun - Knee. N. Bolton (LB) Prob Sun - Wrist. L. Sneed (CB) Ques Sun - Calf. M. Hardman Jr. (WR) Ques Sun - Thumb. N. Remigio (WR) Ques Sun - Foot. I. Pacheco (RB) Ques Sun - Concussion. J. McKinnon (RB) Out indefinitely - Groin. B. Cook (S) Out indefinitely - Ankle. S. Moore (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. B. Thompson (DE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Wanogho (OT) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. J. Fortson (TE) I-R - Shoulder. N. Johnson (S) I-R - Knee.

“This is a humbling league, this is a humbling day.” - Zac Taylor after his team’s loss against the Steelers in their last game. 

“They played a better game than we did today. On offense we struggled. That’s my responsibility to make sure we put the guys in the right position to make plays, and that didn’t happen the way we wanted it to. I take full responsibility for the way we played offensively there." - Andy Reid after his team’s loss against the Raiders in their last game. 

WR Chase, Ja'Marr 

WR Higgins, Tee 

WR Boyd, Tyler 

TE Sample, Drew 

QB Browning, Jake 

RB Mixon, Joe 

WR Watson, Justin

WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez 

WR Rice, Rashee 

TE Kelce, Travis 

QB Mahomes, Patrick 

RB Pacheco, Isiah

Passing: J. Burrow (2309)

Rushing: J. Mixon (858)

Receiving: J. Chase (1156)

Touchdowns: J. Mixon (9)

Passing: P. Mahomes (3938)

Rushing: I. Pacheco (805)

Receiving: T. Kelce (968)

Touchdowns: I. Pacheco (8)

Coaches:

Cincinnati Bengals: Zac Taylor (5th season)

Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (11th season)