Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Sunday, January 30, 2022
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bengals +7, Chiefs -7; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bengals +7, Chiefs -7; Over/Under: 54.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bengals +7.5, Chiefs -7.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Cincinnati Bengals: 10-7 (1st place, AFC North)
Kansas City Chiefs: 12-5 (1st place, AFC West)
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Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs Preview and Analysis
Cincinnati Bengals: won on the road on January 22 against the Tennessee Titans 19-16.
Kansas City Chiefs: won at home on January 23 against the Buffalo Bills in overtime 42-36.
Cincinnati Bengals Analysis
The Bengals are coming into this game after finishing their regular season with a 10-7 record overall and they were 5-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They made it to this AFC Championship game by beating the Las Vegas Raiders at home in the Wild Card Round and then went on the road and took out the number 1 seed Tennessee Titans in their last game. They have won 2 straight games and 5 of their last 6 with their only loss in that span coming against the Browns in week 18 when Burrow was not playing and the Bengals were resting most of their starters for the playoffs. In their last game against the Titans, Joe Burrow completed 28/37 passes for 348 yards and 1 interception. Joe Mixon led the team in rushing with 54 yards and 1 touchdown on 14 carries. Ja'Marr Chase had a nice day as he led the receivers with 109 yards on 5 receptions while Tee Higgins was right behind with 96 yards on 7 receptions. Logan Wilson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Vonn Bell recorded the only sack for the defense in that game while Wilson, Jessie Bates III, and Mike Hilton all came up with 1 interception each in that one. They have scored 460 points in their 17 games this season averaging 27.1 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 376 points against them allowing 22.1 PPG against them. Their offense is averaging 361.5 YPG while their defense is allowing 350.8 YPG.
Kansas City Chiefs Analysis
The Chiefs are coming into this game after finishing the season with a 12-5 record overall and they are 7-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They got to this AFC Championship game by Beating the Pittsburgh Steelers at home in the Wild Card round and then followed that up with a win over the Buffalo Bills in the Divisional Round. The Chiefs have won 3 straight games and they have won 11 of their last 12 games with their only loss in that span coming against the Cincinnati Bengals in week 17. They had a 28-17 lead at halftime in that game against the Bengals and they blew their lead in the 2nd half being held to just 3 points and they went on to lose. In their last game against the Bills, Patrick Mahomes completed 33/44 passes for 378 yards and 3 touchdowns. He also led the team in rushing with 69 yards and 1 touchdown on 7 carries while Clyde Edwards-Helaire was right behind with 60 yards on 7 carries. Mecole Hardman also ran in 1 TD as well. Tyreek Hill had a nice day as he led the receivers with 150 yards and 1 touchdown on 11 receptions while Travis Kelce was right behind with 96 yards and 1 touchdown on 8 receptions. Byron Pringle caught the other touchdown pass in that one. Dainel Sorensen and L'Jarius Sneed both led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones each. Jarran Reed and Melvin Ingram both led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 each while no one on the defense came up with any interception for them in that one. They have scored 480 points in their 17 games this season averaging 27.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 364 points against them allowing 21.4 PPG against them. Their offense is averaging 396.8 YPG while their defense is allowing 368.9 YPG.
Bengals vs Chiefs Prediction
The Bengals are coming into this game as a 7 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bengals have too much value coming into this game, they are a 7 point underdog yet they beat the Chiefs 4 weeks ago by 3 points after falling behind early and then making a comeback. The Chiefs do not have the best run defense and the Bengals will be able to gain an edge on them with their running game here. Both of these teams can sling the ball down the field when they need to so if the Bengals fall behind they will be able to come back as they did when they were down 11 points to the Chiefs in their last game against each other. The Chiefs have only lost 1 game in their last 12 but that loss was to the Bengals and even though they will be looking for revenge here, this should be a closer game that goes back and forth like when the Chiefs played the Bills this past week. The Bengals have already shown that they can beat the Chiefs and even if they do not win this game there is no way that they lose by more than a touchdown. The best bet to place in this game is on the Bengals to cover the spread here.
Bengals Chiefs Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 30, 2022 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 38 Bengals 35.
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NFL Betting Trends
Cincinnati Bengals: 15-23 O/U as an underdog. 6-14 O/U as a road underdog. 8-16 O/U in road games. 6-13 O/U in games played on a grass field. 4-12 O/U after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games.
Kansas City Chiefs: 25-17 ATS against conference opponents. 6-2 ATS in playoff games. 10-3 ATS after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games. 11-3 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. 34-18 ATS after allowing 35 points or more last game.
Cincinnati Bengals: A. Tate (WR) Ques Sun - Calf injury. S. Morgan Jr. (WR) Ques Sun - Hamstring injury. C. Sample (DE) Ques Sun - Groin injury.
Kansas City Chiefs: J. Kaindoh (DE) Ques Sun - Ankle injury. K. Saunders (DT) Ques Sun - Knee injury. C. Lammons (DB) Ques Sun - Hip injury.
"He's got ice in his veins. There's not much more to be said. He's just as cool as it gets." - Zac Taylor on Evan McPherson after kicking the game-winning field goal against the Titans.
"It worked out well for us this time. When you have two teams going back and forth, it stinks when you don't get to see the other guy go. But all you can do is play the rules the way the rules are explained, and that's what we did." - Patrick Mahomes after coming out on top in a crazy finish against the Bills in the Divisional Round.
WR Chase, Ja'Marr
WR Boyd, Tyler
WR Higgins, Tee
TE Uzomah, CJ
QB Burrow, Joe
RB Mixon, Joe
Kansas City Chiefs
WR Pringle, Byron
WR Hardman, Mecole
WR Hill, Tyreek
TE TRAVIS KELCE
QB Mahomes II, Patrick
RB Edwards-Helaire, Clyde
FB Burton, Mike
Passing: J. Burrow (4611)
Rushing: J. Mixon (1205)
Receiving: J. Chase (1455)
Touchdowns: J. Mixon (16)
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: P. Mahomes (4839)
Rushing: D. Williams (558)
Receiving: T. Hill (1239)
Touchdowns: T. Kelce (10)
Cincinnati Bengals: Zac Taylor (3rd season)
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (9th season)