by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Aug 08, 2023
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, August 9, 2023
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch: MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Cubs -120, Mets +100; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Cubs -120, Mets +100; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Cubs -120, Mets +100; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Season Record
Chicago Cubs: 58-55 (3rd place, NL Central)
New York Mets: 51-61 (4th place, NL East)
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Recent Form
Chicago Cubs: 6-4 last 10
New York Mets: 3-7 last 10
Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis
The Cubs are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-55 record overall and have a road record of 26-27. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Mets on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also lost the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .753 OPS. Jameson Taillon is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Kyle Hendricks is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-6 with a 3.98 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 7 ER, 2 HR, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 8 hits through 4 IP against the Atlanta Braves.
The Mets are entering this series on a 6 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-61 record overall and have a home record of 27-23. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Cubs on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .717 OPS. Carlos Carrasco is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while David Peterson is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 3-7 with a 5.65 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 1 strikeout on 1 hit through 3 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.
Cubs vs Mets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets have been terrible lately as they are in the middle of a slump but really they have been slumping all season with their losing record. The Cubs have been getting hot over the last few weeks and are right back in the playoff conversation now. As bad as the Mets have been lately, they still have a winning home record this year and will be looking to bring their best effort in this game so they can win a series and get back on track. They have Peterson starting in this game and he had a really rocky start to the year but he has been pitching a lot better lately and hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts. Meanwhile, the Cubs have Hendricks starting here and his season has gone the opposite way as he started off pitching really well but lately he has been falling apart in his starts giving up a ton of runs, even giving up 7 runs in his last start. The Mets have been a lot better in their home games this year and now that they have a taste of winning again from the series opener, they will be looking to get a series win under their belt. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.
Cubs Mets Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, August 9, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 9 Cubs 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Chicago Cubs: 35-31 (+5.3 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 20-16 (+4.4 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 39-24 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10. 25-17 OVER as an underdog of +100 to +150.
New York Mets: 51-61 (-27.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 6-14 (-12.7 units) on the moneyline against NL Central opponents. DAVID PETERSON is 12-4 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125 and 11-4 OVER when the total is 9 to 9.5.
Key Injuries
Chicago Cubs: M. Stroman (SP) Mid Aug - Hip. N. Burdi (RP) Mid Aug - Appendix. B. Boxberger (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. B. Hughes (RP) out for season - Knee. C. Heuer (RP) out for season - Elbow. E. Roberts (RP) out for season - Elbow.
New York Mets: S. Marte (CF) Out indefinitely - Groin. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid Aug - Back. T. Locastro (CF) Mid Aug - Thumb. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. L. Guillorme (2B) Mid Sept - Ankle. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
"The offense again, man, just relentless at-bats. The walks fuel us a little bit, and getting guys on and creating traffic. Stealing a base here or there and putting the pressure on the defense and some timely hitting.” - David Ross after his team’s win against the Braves in their game on Sunday.
“That’s just a complete team win.” - Pete Alonso after their win against the Cubs in their game on Monday.
Starting Lineups
Chicago Cubs
Mike Tauchman (L) RF
Nico Hoerner (R) 2B
Ian Happ (S) LF
Cody Bellinger (L) CF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Jeimer Candelario (S) 1B
Christopher Morel (R) DH
Yan Gomes (R) C
Nick Madrigal (R) 3B
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Francisco Alvarez (R) C
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Mark Vientos (R) DH
Jeff McNeil (L) RF
Danny Mendick (R) 3B
Rafael Ortega (L) LF
Jonathan Arauz (S) 2B
Statistical Leaders
Chicago Cubs
Batting Average: Jeimer Candelario (.480)
Hits: Nico Hoerner (121)
Home Runs: Patrick Wisdom (19)
RBI: Nico Hoerner (58)
Stolen Bases: Nico Hoerner (27)
Wins: Justin Steele (13)
Saves: Adbert Alzolay (14)
ERA: Jose Cuas (0.00)
New York Mets
Batting Average: Michael Perez (.571)
Hits: Brandon Nimmo (104)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (33)
RBI: Pete Alonso (83)
Stolen Bases: Starling Marte (24)
Wins: Kodai Senga (8)
Saves: David Robertson (14)
ERA: Edwin Uceta (0.00)
Managers:
Chicago Cubs: David Ross (4th season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
