by Rod Pearson
Monday, Aug 07, 2023
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, August 8, 2023
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch: SNY
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Cubs -130, Mets +110; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Cubs -130, Mets +110; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Cubs -130, Mets +110; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Chicago Cubs: 58-54 (2nd place, NL Central)
New York Mets: 50-61 (4th place, NL East)
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Recent Form
Chicago Cubs: 7-3 last 10
New York Mets: 3-7 last 10
Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis
The Cubs are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-54 record overall and have a road record of 26-26. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .755 OPS. Drew Smyly is their starting pitcher on Monday while Jameson Taillon is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 6-6 with a 5.36 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 7 hits through 5 IP against the Cincinnati Reds.
The Mets are entering this series on a 6 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-61 record overall and have a home record of 26-23. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Cubs on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .714 OPS. Rookie pitcher Kodai Senga is their starting pitcher on Monday while Carlos Carrasco is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-6 with a 6.60 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 0 strikeouts on 8 hits through 6 innings played against the Kansas City Royals.
Cubs vs Mets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Cubs listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cubs have been rolling in their games lately as they were under .500 just a few weeks ago and are now in 2nd place of the NL Central since they have been really hot over the last week or so. They just beat the Braves in a home series and now travel to New York to take on a struggling Mets team in the middle of a big slump when they have already struggled all season with their losing record. The Mets are going with Carrasco in this game but he has been really up and down in his starts, giving up 6 runs in his last one too. He has been giving up a lot more runs lately and the Mets haven't really had a great offense to offer him any run support either. Meanwhile, the Cubs will have Taillon on the mound here and after a terrible start to the season for him where he was giving up a ton of runs, he has been a lot better in his starts lately and will not give up many runs here with the Mets offense struggling so much. The Cubs have the division within their reach now and they are going to be looking to continue rolling in this series as they beat up on a struggling team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cubs to win this game.
Cubs Mets Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 8, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Cubs 8 Mets 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Chicago Cubs: 35-30 (+6.3 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 13-5 (+6.9 units) on the moneyline on the road with a money line of -100 to -150. 38-24 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10. JAMESON TAILLON is 20-11 OVER when the money line is -100 to -150.
New York Mets: 50-61 (-28.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 7-28 (-20.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. CARLOS CARRASCO is 14-5 OVER as a home underdog of +100 or higher and 8-2 OVER against NL Central opponents.
Key Injuries
Chicago Cubs: M. Stroman (SP) Mid Aug - Hip. N. Burdi (RP) Mid Aug - Appendix. B. Boxberger (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. B. Hughes (RP) out for season - Knee. C. Heuer (RP) out for season - Elbow. E. Roberts (RP) out for season - Elbow.
New York Mets: S. Coonrod (RP) Mid Aug - Back. T. Locastro (CF) Mid Aug - Thumb. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. L. Guillorme (2B) Mid Sept - Ankle. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
"The offense again, man, just relentless at-bats. The walks fuel us a little bit, and getting guys on and creating traffic. Stealing a base here or there and putting the pressure on the defense and some timely hitting.” - David Ross after his team’s win against the Braves in their game on Sunday.
“When we're on top of our game, we can give people trouble. We haven't been.” - Buck Showalter after his team’s loss against the Orioles in their game on Saturday.
Starting Lineups
Chicago Cubs
Mike Tauchman (L) RF
Nico Hoerner (R) 2B
Ian Happ (S) LF
Cody Bellinger (L) CF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Jeimer Candelario (S) 1B
Christopher Morel (R) DH
Nick Madrigal (R) 3B
Miguel Amaya (R) C
New York Mets
Jeff McNeil (L) LF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
DJ Stewart (L) RF
Omar Narvaez (L) C
Mark Vientos (R) 3B
Brett Baty (L) DH
Danny Mendick (R) 2B
Rafael Ortega (L) CF
Statistical Leaders
Chicago Cubs
Batting Average: Jeimer Candelario (.571)
Hits: Nico Hoerner (119)
Home Runs: Patrick Wisdom (19)
RBI: Nico Hoerner (58)
Stolen Bases: Nico Hoerner (27)
Wins: Justin Steele (13)
Saves: Adbert Alzolay (14)
ERA: Jose Cuas (0.00)
New York Mets
Batting Average: Michael Perez (.571)
Hits: Brandon Nimmo (104)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (31)
RBI: Pete Alonso (77)
Stolen Bases: Starling Marte (24)
Wins: Kodai Senga (7)
Saves: David Robertson (14)
ERA: Edwin Uceta (0.00)
Managers:
Chicago Cubs: David Ross (4th season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
