Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/08/2025

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jul 07, 2025
Game Time: 7:40 pm ET, Tuesday, July 8, 2025
Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN 
Where to Watch:  MARQ, KMSP, TWINS.tv 


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Cubs -144, Twins +118; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Cubs -140, Twins +120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Cubs -145, Twins +120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Chicago Cubs:  54-36 (1st place, NL Central)
Minnesota Twins:  43-47 (2nd place, AL Central)

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Recent Form
Chicago Cubs:  7-3 last 10
Minnesota Twins:  5-5 last 10



Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins Preview and Analysis


The Cubs are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-36 record overall and have a road record of 24-20. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Twins on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .779 OPS. Matthew Boyd was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Shota Imanaga is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-2 with a 2.78 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 3 HR, and 0 BB with 4 SO on 4 hits through 5.1 IP against the Cleveland Guardians.

The Twins are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-47 record overall and have a home record of 24-18. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Cubs on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .700 OPS. Joe Ryan was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Simeon Woods Richardson is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-4 with a 4.41 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 2 walks with 3 strikeouts on 2 hits through 5 innings pitched against the Miami Marlins.


Cubs vs Twins Prediction

The current betting odds have the Cubs listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cubs have looked great in their games this season with their 54-36 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also been a good road team this year with their 24-20 road record. Meanwhile, the Twins haven't looked good in their games this season with their 43-47 record overall, but that record does have them near the top of the AL Central even though they aren't really in the division race. They have looked better in their own ballpark too with their 24-18 home record this season. The Twins were in a terrible slump and have started to pull themselves out of it, now only 5-5 in their last 10 games, but the Cubs have been hot lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games and they can take advantage of this pitching matchup too. The Twins are going with Woods Richardson in this one and he hasn't looked great this year. He is 4-4 with a 4.41 ERA and has been giving up quite a few runs in his starts. His team has won 2 games in a row now with him starting and he only gave up 1 earned run in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year and the Cubs do have one of the best offenses in the MLB. The Cubs are also going with Imanaga in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 5-2 with a 2.78 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs in any of his starts. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start, but that is on the higher end of what he has given up in games this year. The Cubs also have that great offense to help him out and they have won 2 games in a row now with him starting too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cubs to win this game. 

Cubs Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 8, 2025 (7:40 pm ET start time) is Cubs 6 Twins 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Chicago Cubs: 27-15 (+11.3 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 221-193 (+15.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 140-91 (+17.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 25-16 OVER against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins: 18-26 (-15.4 units) on the moneyline against NL Central opponents. 215-205 (-36.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 46-72 (-16.1 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 36-17 OVER vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 1 or more HR's/start.

Key Injuries


Chicago Cubs:  J. Taillon (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Calf. M. Amaya (C) Ten Day IL - Oblique. E. Morgan (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Assad (RP) Sixty Day IL - Oblique. J. Steele (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Minnesota Twins:  B. Ober (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Hip. Z. Matthews (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. P. Lopez (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. L. Keaschall (2B) Sixty Day IL - Forearm.


Notable Quotes


“Matt’s put together a wonderful first half. He’s very deserving. And to make this staff as one of the starters in this league, that’s not an easy thing to do. So I’m just happy for Matt.” - Craig Counsell on Matt Boyd after his team’s win against the Cardinals in their game on Sunday.


“That’s what top pitchers do. They get through stuff that maybe affects other guys or turns the game around for other guys. But they just find a way to just make good pitches and get through it. Joe has done an excellent job of just pitching in general. We can talk about his situational pitching, which is good because he’s good. He’s just good basically any time he has the ball in his hands.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Rays in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Chicago Cubs
Ian Happ (S) LF
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Seiya Suzuki (R) DH
Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) CF
Michael Busch (L) 1B
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Nico Hoerner (R) 2B
Reese McGuire (L) C
Matt Shaw (R) 3B

Minnesota Twins
Byron Buxton (R) CF
Willi Castro (S) LF
Trevor Larnach (L) RF
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Brooks Lee (S) 2B
Matt Wallner (L) DH
Royce Lewis (R) 3B
Kody Clemens (L) 1B
Christian Vázquez (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Chicago Cubs
Batting Average:  Michael Busch (.297)
Hits:  Kyle Tucker (95)
Home Runs:  Seiya Suzuki (25)
RBI:  Seiya Suzuki (77)
Stolen Bases:  Pete Crow-Armstrong (27)
Wins:  Matthew Boyd (9)
Saves:  Daniel Palencia (10)
ERA:  Michael Fulmer (0.00)

Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Luke Keaschall (.368)
Hits:  Trevor Larnach (80)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (20)
RBI:  Byron Buxton (53)
Stolen Bases:  Byron Buxton (16)
Wins:  Joe Ryan (8)
Saves:  Jhoan Duran (13)
ERA:  Danny Coulombe (0.73)

Managers:
Chicago Cubs: Craig Counsell (2nd season)
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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