by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Aug 25, 2022
Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Friday, August 26, 2022
Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Where to Watch: BSWI
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Cubs +130, Brewers -150; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Cubs +130, Brewers -150; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Cubs +130, Brewers -150; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Season Record
Chicago Cubs: 54-70 (3rd place, NL Central)
Milwaukee Brewers: 65-58 (2nd place, NL Central)
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Recent Form
Chicago Cubs: 7-3 last 10
Milwaukee Brewers: 4-6 last 10
Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview and Analysis
The Cubs won 2 of their last 3 games and enter this game off of a win. They won their last series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 54-70 record overall and have a road record of 26-33. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Friday with the series finale of their series against the St. Louis Cardinals still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .705 OPS. Marcus Stroman is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Justin Steele is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-7 with a 3.25 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 9 Ks on 2 hits through 6 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.
The Brewers enter this game on a 2 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 65-58 record overall and have a home record of 31-24. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Cubs on Friday and they have Thursday off as a rest day. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .724 OPS. Adrian Houser was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Freddy Peralta is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-3 with a 4.08 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Chicago Cubs.
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Cubs listed as an underdog in this game. The Cubs have been playing very well in their recent games though. They just played a very tough series against a hot Cardinals team but they played very well in that series and their pitching was great as it has been over the last week. They have not been allowing many runs in their games recently and they should have another great performance from their starter here as Steele has been pitching very well recently, not allowing many runs in his starts at all. The Brewers just got smashed in their last series against the Dodgers and the Brewers have not been playing well in general over the last week, even losing a series to the Cubs just last week. Their pitching has been awful recently as they just allowed over 10 runs in 2 straight games against the Dodgers, and Peralta has not been a great starter for them all season either. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cubs to keep rolling and pitch another gem in this game as they will win.
Cubs Brewers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 26, 2022 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Cubs 4 Brewers 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Chicago Cubs: 28-28 (+3.4 Units) ML against division opponents. 28-19 UNDER after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals. 27-15 UNDER this season in the second half of the season.
Milwaukee Brewers: 65-58 (-16.5 Units) ML in all games. 31-24 (-6.6 Units) ML in home games. 19-7 UNDER after allowing 10 runs or more 2 straight games.
Key Injuries
Chicago Cubs: J. Heyward (RF) out for season - Knee. M. Hermosillo (CF) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. W. Contreras (C) Ques Thurs - Ankle.
Milwaukee Brewers: M. Brosseau (3B) Mid Sept - Oblique. A. Ashby (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Peterson (2B) Early Sept - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
"Really nice bunt. Kind of got things going." - David Ross on Ortega in his team’s win against the Cardinals on Wednesday.
"They made us work for every out. We had some nice defensive plays to get out of it." - Craig Counsell after his team’s win against the Dodgers on Monday.
Starting Lineups
Chicago Cubs
Nick Madrigal (R) 2B
Ian Happ (S) LF
Franmil Reyes (R) DH
Nico Hoerner (R) SS
Patrick Wisdom (R) 1B
Rafael Ortega (L) CF
Yan Gomes (R) C
Nelson Velazquez (R) RF
Zach McKinstry (L) 3B
Milwaukee Brewers
Christian Yelich (L) LF
Willy Adames (R) SS
Andrew McCutchen (R) DH
Hunter Renfroe (R) RF
Rowdy Tellez (L) 1B
Luis Urias (R) 3B
Victor Caratini (S) C
Kolten Wong (L) 2B
Tyrone Taylor (R) CF
Statistical Leaders
Chicago Cubs
Batting Average: Franmil Reyes (.300)
Hits: Ian Happ (120)
Home Runs: Patrick Wisdom (22)
RBI: Patrick Wisdom (58)
Stolen Bases: Nico Hoerner (14)
Wins: Keegan Thompson (9)
Saves: David Robertson (14)
ERA: Conner Menez (0.00)
Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average: Pablo Reyes (.267)
Hits: Christian Yelich (112)
Home Runs: Rowdy Tellez (26)
RBI: Rowdy Tellez (74)
Stolen Bases: Christian Yelich (16)
Wins: Brandon Woodruff (9)
Saves: Devin Williams (8)
ERA: Mike Brosseau (0.00)
Managers:
Chicago Cubs: David Ross (3rd season)
Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
