Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/11/2024

Game Time: 6:35 pm ET, Thursday, July 11, 2024

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  MASN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Cubs +110, Orioles -130; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Cubs +110, Orioles -130; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Cubs +110, Orioles -130; Over/Under:  9 runs

Chicago Cubs:  43-49 (5th place, NL Central)

Baltimore Orioles:  57-34 (1st place, AL East)

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Chicago Cubs:  5-5 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10

The Cubs are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-49 record overall and have a road record of 18-28. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Cubs won the series opener of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .682 OPS. Rookie pitcher Shota Imanaga is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Justin Steele is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 1-3 with a 2.95 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 2 hits through 9 IP against the Los Angeles Angels.

The Orioles are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-34 record overall and have a home record of 29-18. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Cubs on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Orioles lost the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .773 OPS. Corbin Burnes is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Albert Suárez is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 5-2 with a 2.48 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the Oakland Athletics.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have looked great in their games this season with their 57-34 record overall which has them leading the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 29-18 home record. Meanwhile, the Cubs have looked terrible in their games this season with their 43-49 record overall which has them well out of the playoff race right now. They haven't looked good on the road either with their 18-28 road record. The Cubs took the 1st game of this series in a 9-2 win, but both teams are going to have better pitching in this one. The Orioles will have Suarez on the mound here and he is 5-2 with a 2.48 ERA. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and that has been a common theme for him since he hasn't been giving up many runs all year. The team has also had a lot of success with him lately, winning the last 2 games he started in. The Cubs are going to have Steele on the mound here and he has also looked great in his starts with his 1-3 record and his 2.95 ERA. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and the team has also won the last 2 games with him starting. He still has more losses than wins this season though, and as good as he has been lately, the Cubs still don't have a great offense that is going to consistently put up a lot of runs. The Orioles are the better team as they have one of the best records in the MLB but they also have the much better offense as it is also one of the best in the MLB. They are also the slightly hotter team coming into this one with their 6-4 record in their last 10 games and their better offense will give them the edge at home here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Cubs Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 11, 2024 (6:35 pm ET start time) is Orioles 3 Cubs 1.

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Chicago Cubs: 27-40 (-15.30 units) on the moneyline in their last 67 games. 24-40 (-24.90 units) on the runline in their last 64 games. 40-27 to the under with their team total in their last 67 games. 

Baltimore Orioles: 24-15 (+5.45 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 39 home games. 42-35 (+13.85 units) on the runline in their last 77 games. 48-29 (+14.20 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 77 games. 

Chicago Cubs:  K. Hendricks (SP) Ques Tues - Back. C. Brewer (RP) Out indefinitely - Hand. Y. Almonte (RP) out of season - Shoulder. K. Thompson (SP) Mid July - Ribs. J. Assad (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. M. Tauchman (LF) Late July - Groin. J. Wicks (SP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. B. Brown (SP) Out indefinitely - Neck. C. Kilian (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. J. Merryweather (RP) Early June - Back. A. Alzolay (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm.

Baltimore Orioles:  D. Coulombe (RP) Mid Sep - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Wells (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

“I thought it was what (Taillon) has been doing all year and that's just attacking the strike zone. He just throws so many strikes and he makes hitters swing. He makes them responsible for every single pitch. There are no free pitches. They are all very competitive pitches. He did a wonderful job.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s win against the Orioles in their game on Tuesday.

“These guys are a good contact team and they got a piece of just about everything. I was in and around the zone, and they just put some swings on some decent pitches.” - Dean Kremer after their loss against the Cubs in their game on Tuesday.

N Hoerner (R) 2B

M Busch (L) 1B

C Bellinger (L) CF

S Suzuki (R) RF

I Happ (S) LF

C Morel (R) DH

D Swanson (R) SS

M Mastrobuoni (L) 3B

T Nido (R) C

G Henderson (L) SS

A Rutschman (S) C

A Santander (S) RF

R O'Hearn (L) DH

J Westburg (R) 2B

H Kjerstad (L) LF

R Mountcastle (R) 1B

C Mullins (L) CF

R Urías (R) 3B

Batting Average:  David Bote (.313)

Hits:  Cody Bellinger (82)

Home Runs:  Christopher Morel (15)

RBI:  Ian Happ (55)

Stolen Bases:  Pete Crow-Armstrong (16)

Wins:  Shota Imanaga (7)

Saves:  Héctor Neris (12)

ERA:  Ethan Roberts (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ryan McKenna (.375)

Hits:  Gunnar Henderson (104)

Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (27)

RBI:  Gunnar Henderson (61)

Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (16)

Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (11)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (23)

ERA:  Craig Kimbrel (2.10)

Managers:

Chicago Cubs: Craig Counsell (1st season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)